Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/30/2022

The Los Angeles Dodgers (46-28), led by Freddie Freeman on a 13-game hitting streak, will meet the San Diego Padres (46-31) Thursday at Dodger Stadium. The Dodgers are -125 favorites for the matchup, which starts at 10:10 PM ET. Los Angeles’ Mitch White and San Diego’s Joe Musgrove have been named the starters for this contest.

Dodgers vs. Padres Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Dodgers vs. Padres

We have the Padres on the moneyline at +106 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going under the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: San Diego Padres (+106) and Under (8)

Dodgers vs. Padres Game Info

• Los Angeles Dodgers probable starting pitcher: Mitch White
• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Joe Musgrove
• Game Day: Thursday, June 30, 2022
• Game Time: 10:10 PM ET
• Location: Los Angeles, California
• Stadium: Dodger Stadium

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Pitching Matchup

Dodgers Starter Mitch White

• The Dodgers are sending Mitchell White (0-1) to the mound for his sixth start of the season. He is 0-1 with a 4.25 ERA and 30 strikeouts through 29 2/3 innings pitched.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday against the Atlanta Braves, when he threw 4 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing five hits.
• In 10 games this season, the 27-year-old has an ERA of 4.25, with 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .214 against him.
• So far this season, White has not recorded a quality start.
• White is trying to collect his third start of five or more innings this season in this outing.
• He meets a Padres offense that ranks eighth in the league with 357 runs while batting .242 as a squad. It has a collective .379 slugging percentage (23rd in MLB action) and has hit a total of 64 home runs (24th in MLB).
• In one inning over one appearance against the Padres this season, White has a 0 ERA and a 0 WHIP while his opponents are hitting .000.

Padres Starter Joe Musgrove

• Musgrove (8-1) will take to the mound for the Padres and make his 14th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Friday, when he threw 6 2/3 innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, giving up six earned runs while allowing seven hits.
• The 29-year-old has pitched in 13 games this season with an ERA of 2.12 and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .203.
• He has started 13 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in 12 of them.
• Musgrove has pitched five or more innings in 13 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Dodgers rank second in MLB with 376 runs scored this season. They have a .252 batting average this campaign with 92 home runs (10th in the league).
• The 29-year-old’s 2.12 ERA ranks sixth, .953 WHIP ranks sixth, and 8.7 K/9 ranks 26th among qualified pitchers in the majors this year.

Dodgers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Dodgers have been favorites in 77 games this season and won 48 (62.3%) of those contests.
• Los Angeles has entered 76 games this season favored by -125 or more and is 47-29 in those contests.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dodgers have a 55.6% chance to win.
• So far this season, Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 33 of their 79 games with a total.
• The Dodgers are 44-35-0 ATS in their 79 games with a spread this season.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• The Padres have come away with 14 wins in the 23 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, San Diego has come away with a win 10 times in 16 chances when named as an underdog of at least +106 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 48.5% chance of walking away with the win.
• San Diego and their opponents have gone over in 35 of their 78 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Padres are 40-38-0 against the spread in their 78 games that had a posted line this season.

Dodgers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Freeman has 24 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 38 walks while batting .308.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Freeman ranks 74th in home runs and 17th in RBI.
• Freeman has collected a hit in 13 straight games. During his last 10 outings he is batting .405 with two doubles, a triple, four home runs, five walks and 13 RBI.
• Trea Turner has a club-high 57 runs batted in and .309 batting average.
• Turner ranks 53rd in home runs and fifth in RBI among all major league batters this year.
• Turner carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .208 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and four RBI.
• Will Smith is hitting .261 with 10 doubles, 12 home runs and 28 walks.
• Justin Turner is batting .217 with 20 doubles, four home runs and 27 walks.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Manny Machado leads the Padres in home runs (12), runs batted in (46) and has posted a team-high batting average of .328.
• Machado’s home run total puts him 44th in the big leagues, and he is 21st in RBI.
• Jurickson Profar is batting .246 with 17 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 44 walks.
• Profar ranks 91st in homers and 47th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Jake Cronenworth is batting .245 with 20 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 33 walks.
• Eric Hosmer has 14 doubles, six home runs and 24 walks while hitting .276.