Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/2/2022

by | Jul 2, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/2/2022

The Los Angeles Dodgers (48-28) will vie for their fourth straight victory when they host the San Diego Padres (46-33) on Saturday at 7:15 PM ET. The Dodgers are listed as -150 favorites by bookmakers, while the Padres are +128 underdogs. Tyler Anderson will get the ball for Los Angeles while San Diego counter with Yu Darvish.

Dodgers vs. Padres Spread and Betting Line

Dodgers vs Padres Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Dodgers -150 +128 7.5 +100 -120 -1.5 +145 -173

Computer Predictions for Dodgers vs. Padres

After analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Padres on the moneyline at +128. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: San Diego Padres (+128) and Over (7.5)

Dodgers vs. Padres Game Info

  • Los Angeles Dodgers probable starting pitcher: Tyler Anderson
  • San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Yu Darvish
  • Game Day: Saturday, July 2, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:15 PM ET
  • Location: Los Angeles, California
  • Stadium: Dodger Stadium

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Pitching Matchup

Anderson Darvish
12 GS 14
8-1 W-L 7-3
3.23 ERA 3.26
78.0 IP 88.1
13 BB 18
67 SO 75

Dodgers Starter Tyler Anderson

  • Anderson gets the start for the Dodgers, his 13th of the season. He is 8-1 with a 3.23 ERA and 67 strikeouts through 78 innings pitched.
  • The lefty’s last time out came on Tuesday against the Colorado Rockies, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up 10 hits.
  • In 14 games this season, the 32-year-old has a 3.23 ERA and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .230 to opposing batters.
  • Anderson has five quality starts under his belt this year.
  • Anderson will try to extend a four-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 innings per appearance).
  • The opposing Padres offense has a collective .240 batting average, and is 13th in the league with 644 total hits and 10th in MLB action with 359 runs scored. It has the 23rd-ranked slugging percentage (.376) and ranks 24th in home runs (65) in all of MLB.
  • Anderson has a 3.86 ERA and a 1.5 WHIP against the Padres this season in 4 2/3 innings pitched, allowing a .250 batting average over one appearance.
  • The 32-year-old ranks 27th in ERA (3.23), 14th in WHIP (1.026), and 38th in K/9 (7.7) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Padres Starter Yu Darvish

  • The Padres’ Darvish (7-3) will make his 15th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed 6 2/3 innings while giving up three earned runs on seven hits in a matchup with the Philadelphia Phillies.
  • The 35-year-old has pitched in 14 games this season with an ERA of 3.26, a 4.167 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of .985.
  • If he completes six or more innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed, he’ll earn his fifth quality start in a row.
  • Darvish will look to pitch five or more innings for the 13th start in a row.
  • The Dodgers rank first in MLB with 384 runs scored this season. They have a .252 batting average this campaign with 96 home runs (eighth in the league).
  • The Dodgers have gone 1-for-19 in six innings this season against the right-hander.
  • Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 35-year-old’s 3.26 ERA ranks 29th, .985 WHIP ranks ninth, and 7.6 K/9 ranks 39th.

Dodgers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Dodgers have been favorites in 79 games this season and won 50 (63.3%) of those contests.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 41-24, a 63.1% win rate, when favored by -150 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Dodgers, based on the moneyline, is 60%.
  • So far this season, Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 33 of their 81 games with a total.
  • The Dodgers are 46-35-0 against the spread in their 81 chances this season.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Padres have been victorious in 14, or 56%, of the 25 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, San Diego has come away with a win three times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +128 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 43.9% chance of walking away with the win.
  • San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 35 of their 80 opportunities.
  • The Padres are 40-40-0 against the spread in their 80 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Dodgers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Freddie Freeman has 25 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 39 walks while batting .303.
  • Freeman’s home runs rank him 76th in the majors, and he is 19th in RBI.
  • Trea Turner’s 57 RBI and .306 batting average are both team-highs.
  • Including all major league hitters, Turner ranks 53rd in homers and fifth in RBI.
  • Will Smith is hitting .259 with 10 doubles, 12 home runs and 29 walks.
  • Justin Turner has 20 doubles, six home runs and 28 walks while hitting .224.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Freddie Freeman 76 .303 .387 .490 9 48 91
Trea Turner 76 .306 .352 .485 11 57 94
Will Smith 63 .259 .342 .461 12 37 59
Justin Turner 71 .224 .297 .371 6 41 58
Gavin Lux 68 .288 .358 .384 2 17 63

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Manny Machado leads the lineup with a batting average of .326, while pacing the Padres in home runs, with 12 and runs batted in with 46.
  • In all of MLB, Machado ranks 47th in home runs and 22nd in RBI.
  • Jurickson Profar is batting .250 with 20 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 44 walks.
  • Profar ranks 95th overall in homers and 54th in RBI this year.
  • Jake Cronenworth has 20 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 33 walks while hitting .245.
  • Eric Hosmer has 14 doubles, six home runs and 24 walks while batting .270.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Manny Machado 68 .326 .397 .543 12 46 84
Jurickson Profar 78 .250 .352 .414 8 38 73
Jake Cronenworth 77 .245 .337 .396 7 43 73
Eric Hosmer 71 .270 .329 .390 6 32 72
Ha-Seong Kim 71 .224 .315 .344 4 26 54

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