Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/5/2022

by | Aug 5, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/5/2022

Mookie Betts is on the brink of his 98th hit of the season for the Los Angeles Dodgers (72-33) as they get set to take on the San Diego Padres (61-47) on Friday. The Dodgers enter the matchup as -158 favorites on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Dodger Stadium at 10:10 PM ET. Los Angeles’ Tony Gonsolin and San Diego’s Sean Manaea have been named the starters for this contest.

Dodgers vs. Padres Spread and Betting Line

Dodgers vs Padres Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Dodgers -158 +134 8.5 -115 -105 -1.5 +129 -154

Computer Predictions for Dodgers vs. Padres

We have the Padres on the moneyline at +134 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: San Diego Padres (+134) and Over (8.5)

Dodgers vs. Padres Game Info

  • Los Angeles Dodgers probable starting pitcher: Tony Gonsolin
  • San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Sean Manaea
  • Game Day: Friday, August 5, 2022
  • Game Time: 10:10 PM ET
  • Location: Los Angeles, California
  • Stadium: Dodger Stadium

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Pitching Matchup

Gonsolin Manaea
19 GS 19
12-1 W-L 6-5
2.41 ERA 4.25
104.2 IP 110.0
28 BB 42
96 SO 111

Dodgers Starter Tony Gonsolin

  • Gonsolin (12-1) takes the mound for the Dodgers in his 20th start of the season. He has a 2.41 ERA in 104 2/3 innings pitched, with 96 strikeouts.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday against the Colorado Rockies, when he tossed five innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • The 28-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.41, with 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings, in 19 games this season. Opponents are hitting .178 against him.
  • Gonsolin is trying to collect his 10th quality start of the year in this matchup.
  • Gonsolin is looking for his 16th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 frames per appearance on the mound.
  • He will face a Padres offense that ranks 10th in the league with 481 runs while batting .243 as a unit. It has a collective .383 slugging percentage (21st in MLB play) and has hit a total of 97 home runs (22nd in MLB).
  • Gonsolin has thrown 7 2/3 innings, giving up one earned run on four hits while striking out eight against the Padres this season.

Padres Starter Sean Manaea

  • The Padres’ Manaea (6-5) will make his 20th start of the season.
  • The left-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed six innings while giving up two earned runs on four hits in a matchup with the Minnesota Twins.
  • The 30-year-old has pitched in 19 games this season with an ERA of 4.25, a 2.643 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.273.
  • In 19 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in 14 of them.
  • Manaea has 15 starts of five or more innings this season in 19 chances. He averages 5.2 innings per outing.
  • The Dodgers have scored 551 runs this season, which ranks second in MLB. They have 922 hits, fifth in baseball, with 135 home runs (fifth in the league).
  • This season, the left-hander has pitched against the Dodgers in one game, and they have gone 6-for-19 with two home runs and six RBI over 4 1/3 innings.
  • The 30-year-old ranks 47th in ERA (4.25), 45th in WHIP (1.273), and 13th in K/9 (9.1) among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign.

Dodgers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Dodgers have been favorites in 109 games this season and won 75 (68.8%) of those contests.
  • Los Angeles has entered 83 games this season favored by -158 or more and is 56-27 in those contests.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dodgers have a 61.2% chance to win.
  • Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 44 of their 111 chances.
  • In 111 games with a spread this season, the Dodgers are 66-45-0 ATS.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Padres have been victorious in 17, or 54.8%, of the 31 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • San Diego has a win-loss record of 3-2 when favored by +134 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The Padres have an implied victory probability of 42.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 51 of their 109 opportunities.
  • In 109 games with a line this season, the Padres have a mark of 50-59-0 against the spread.

Dodgers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Freddie Freeman paces the Dodgers with a .324 batting average.
  • Among all hitters in baseball, Freeman’s home run total ranks him 47th, and his RBI tally puts him ninth.
  • Trea Turner’s 77 runs batted in lead his team.
  • Of all major league hitters, Turner ranks 35th in homers and fifth in RBI.
  • Betts has collected a team-high 25 home runs.
  • Will Smith has 18 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 41 walks while batting .263.
  • Smith is riding a seven-game hitting streak into this one. During his last 10 games he is hitting .244 with four doubles, a home run, three walks and eight RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Freddie Freeman 105 .324 .399 .530 15 68 133
Trea Turner 105 .305 .346 .505 18 77 130
Mookie Betts 88 .266 .337 .532 25 59 97
Will Smith 90 .263 .354 .462 15 55 86
Gavin Lux 97 .298 .373 .427 4 33 92

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Juan Soto has swatted a team-high 21 home runs.
  • Soto’s home run total puts him 18th in the majors, and he is 74th in RBI.
  • Soto carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .385 with a double, a triple, a home run, nine walks and an RBI.
  • Josh Bell’s .303 batting average leads his team.
  • Bell is 60th among all batters in MLB in home runs, and 28th in RBI.
  • Manny Machado is hitting .293 with 22 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 44 walks.
  • Jurickson Profar is batting .255 with 24 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 54 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Juan Soto 103 .249 .410 .491 21 46 87
Josh Bell 105 .303 .388 .492 14 58 115
Manny Machado 97 .293 .368 .512 19 60 108
Jurickson Profar 100 .255 .352 .426 12 47 96
Brandon Drury 94 .272 .336 .522 21 63 97

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