Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/10/2022

Freddie Freeman, batting .321 this season, leads the Los Angeles Dodgers (94-42) into a matchup with one of the league’s other top hitters, Manny Machado (.302 AVG) and the San Diego Padres (76-62). Freeman and the Dodgers are -152 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup at PETCO Park, beginning at 8:40 PM ET. Los Angeles’ Julio Urias and San Diego’s Blake Snell have been named the starters for this contest.

Dodgers vs. Padres Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Dodgers vs. Padres

Our best bet is the Padres on the moneyline at +128 after looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: San Diego Padres (+128) and Over (8)

Dodgers vs. Padres Game Info

• Los Angeles Dodgers probable starting pitcher: Julio Urías
• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Blake Snell
• Game Day: Saturday, September 10, 2022
• Game Time: 8:40 PM ET
• Location: San Diego, California
• Stadium: PETCO Park

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Pitching Matchup

Dodgers Starter Julio Urías

• The Dodgers are sending Urias (15-7) to make his 27th start of the season. He is 15-7 with a 2.29 ERA and 139 strikeouts through 145 2/3 innings pitched.
• The left-hander last appeared on Sunday against the San Diego Padres, when he went six innings, allowing one earned run while giving up two hits.
• The 26-year-old has a 2.29 ERA and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings in 26 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .196 to opposing hitters.
• Urías is aiming to record his fourth quality start in a row in this outing.
• Urías is looking for his 10th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 frames per appearance on the hill.
• He will face a Padres offense that ranks 13th in the league with 609 runs while batting .241 as a unit. It has a collective .381 slugging percentage (23rd in MLB action) and has hit a total of 129 home runs (21st in MLB).
• In 11 innings over two appearances against the Padres this season, Urías has a 1.64 ERA and a 0.909 WHIP while his opponents are hitting .108.
• The 26-year-old ranks fourth in ERA (2.29), fourth in WHIP (.947), and 21st in K/9 (8.6) among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season.

Padres Starter Blake Snell

• The Padres will hand the ball to Snell (6-8) for his 21st start of the season.
• The left-hander last pitched on Monday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in six innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
• The 29-year-old has an ERA of 3.82 and 12.2 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .233 in 19 games this season.
• If he completes six or more innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed, he’ll earn his third quality start in a row.
• Snell will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
• The Dodgers rank first in MLB with 733 runs scored this season. They have a .261 batting average this campaign with 183 home runs (fourth in the league).
• The Dodgers have gone 4-for-19 with two doubles, a home run and an RBI in one game against the left-hander this season.

Dodgers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Dodgers have entered the game as favorites 138 times this season and won 97, or 70.3%, of those games.
• Los Angeles has a record of 80-35 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -152 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Dodgers have a 60.3% chance to win.
• Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 65 of their 143 games with a total this season.
• The Dodgers have an ATS record of 86-57-0 in 143 games with a spread this season.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• The Padres have been chosen as underdogs in 39 games this year and have walked away with the win 20 times (51.3%) in those games.
• This season, San Diego has come away with a win seven times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least +128 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Padres have an implied victory probability of 43.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 68 of their 140 opportunities.
• In 140 games with a line this season, the Padres have a mark of 60-80-0 against the spread.

Dodgers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Freeman leads the Dodgers with a .321 batting average.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Freeman is 60th in homers and 13th in RBI.
• Freeman has collected a hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with a double, two home runs, three walks and four RBI.
• Mookie Betts’ 33 home runs are a team-high mark.
• Betts ranks fifth in home runs in baseball, and 31st in RBI.
• Trea Turner has put up a team-high 91 runs batted in.
• Turner is on a seven-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last 10 games he is batting .227 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
• Will Smith has 23 doubles, a triple, 21 home runs and 51 walks while hitting .261.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Machado leads the Padres with 26 home runs and 88 runs batted in, while posting a team-best batting average of .302.
• Machado’s home run total puts him 22nd in MLB, and he ranks 11th in RBI.
• Juan Soto is batting .240 with 20 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 118 walks.
• Soto is 28th among all batters in the big leagues in home runs, and 98th in RBI.
• Josh Bell is batting .275 with 28 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 71 walks.
• Jurickson Profar is hitting .241 with 32 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 69 walks.