Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/2/2022

by | Sep 2, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/2/2022

Two of the league’s top hitters will meet Friday when the Los Angeles Dodgers (90-40) and San Diego Padres (73-59) take to the field at 10:10 PM ET. Freddie Freeman is batting .320 for the Dodgers (-165 favorites on the moneyline) while Manny Machado leads the underdog Padres (+140) with a .306 average. Dustin May gets the starting nod for Los Angeles while Yu Darvish is San Diego’s starter for the contest.

Dodgers vs. Padres Spread and Betting Line

Dodgers vs Padres Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Dodgers -165 +140 8 -104 -116 -1.5 +124 -149

Computer Predictions for Dodgers vs. Padres

After taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Padres on the moneyline at +140. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: San Diego Padres (+140) and Over (8)

Dodgers vs. Padres Game Info

  • Los Angeles Dodgers probable starting pitcher: Dustin May
  • San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Yu Darvish
  • Game Day: Friday, September 2, 2022
  • Game Time: 10:10 PM ET
  • Location: Los Angeles, California
  • Stadium: Dodger Stadium

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Pitching Matchup

May Darvish
2 GS 24
1-1 W-L 11-7
1.64 ERA 3.41
11.0 IP 155.2
3 BB 29
13 SO 153

Dodgers Starter Dustin May

  • May (1-1) gets the starting nod for the Dodgers, his third this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday against the Miami Marlins, when he threw six innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • Opposing hitters have compiled a batting average of just .162 against him this season. He has a 1.64 ERA and 10.6 strikeouts per nine innings over his two appearances.
  • May will aim to go five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing.
  • He will take the mound against a Padres offense that ranks 12th in MLB with 1083 total hits (on a .243 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .382 (21st in MLB) with 119 total home runs (21st in MLB).

Padres Starter Yu Darvish

  • The Padres’ Darvish (11-7) will make his 25th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed seven innings while giving up three earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Kansas City Royals.
  • The 36-year-old has pitched in 24 games this season with an ERA of 3.41 and 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .216.
  • If he completes six or more innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed, he’ll earn his third quality start in a row.
  • Darvish has pitched five or more innings in 22 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • The Dodgers rank first in MLB with a .260 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks first in the league (.448) and 170 home runs.
  • The right-hander has faced the Dodgers three times this season, allowing them to go 16-for-71 with four doubles, four home runs and seven RBI in 18 innings.
  • Among qualified pitchers this season, the 36-year-old’s 3.41 ERA ranks 29th, .989 WHIP ranks 10th, and 8.8 K/9 ranks 18th.

Dodgers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Dodgers have been favorites in 131 games this season and won 93 (71%) of those contests.
  • Los Angeles has entered 97 games this season favored by -165 or more and is 69-28 in those contests.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 62.3% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
  • Los Angeles and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 58 of their 136 opportunities.
  • The Dodgers are 82-54-0 against the spread this season.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Padres have come away with 18 wins in the 35 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • San Diego has a mark of 3-3 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +140 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 41.7% chance of pulling out a win.
  • San Diego and their opponents have hit the over in 62 of their 133 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Padres are 57-76-0 against the spread in their 133 games that had a posted line this season.

Dodgers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Freeman paces the Dodgers with a .320 batting average.
  • In all of the majors, Freeman is 65th in homers and 15th in RBI.
  • Mookie Betts has shown his power as he paces his team with 32 home runs.
  • Betts ranks fifth in home runs and 30th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Betts carries a six-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last nine games he is hitting .316 with four doubles, five home runs, three walks and eight RBI.
  • Trea Turner leads the Dodgers with 86 runs batted in.
  • Will Smith is hitting .264 with 22 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 49 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Freddie Freeman 130 .320 .392 .506 16 81 163
Mookie Betts 112 .280 .350 .561 32 70 129
Trea Turner 130 .306 .351 .478 18 86 162
Will Smith 111 .264 .351 .463 19 75 107
Justin Turner 105 .272 .343 .418 9 67 104

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Juan Soto leads the Padres with 24 long balls.
  • Soto is 23rd in home runs and 86th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Machado’s 24 home runs, 85 runs batted in and .306 batting average are all tops in the lineup.
  • Machado is 23rd in home runs and 11th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Josh Bell is hitting .278 with 28 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 67 walks.
  • Brandon Drury paces the Padres with 24 home runs.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Juan Soto 124 .248 .409 .474 24 52 105
Manny Machado 121 .306 .374 .536 24 85 143
Josh Bell 129 .278 .371 .454 16 66 130
Brandon Drury 118 .261 .317 .489 24 77 117
Jurickson Profar 124 .241 .340 .389 12 48 112

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