Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/3/2022

The Los Angeles Dodgers (90-41) are -220 moneyline favorites Saturday when they plan to send Julio Urias to the mound to face the San Diego Padres (74-59), seeking win No. 15. The teams hit the field at 9:10 PM ET. Los Angeles’ Urias gets the start, and he’ll go against San Diego’s Sean Manaea.

Dodgers vs. Padres Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Dodgers vs. Padres

We have the Padres on the moneyline at +182 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: San Diego Padres (+182) and Over (8.5)

Dodgers vs. Padres Game Info

• Los Angeles Dodgers probable starting pitcher: Julio Urías
• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Sean Manaea
• Game Day: Saturday, September 3, 2022
• Game Time: 9:10 PM ET
• Location: Los Angeles, California
• Stadium: Dodger Stadium

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Pitching Matchup

Dodgers Starter Julio Urías

• Urias (14-7 with a 2.32 ERA and 137 strikeouts in 139 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Dodgers, his 26th of the season.
• In his last appearance on Sunday, the left-hander tossed six innings against the Miami Marlins, giving up one earned run while surrendering one hit.
• In 25 games this season, the 26-year-old has an ERA of 2.32, with 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .200 against him.
• Urías is trying to claim his third quality start in a row in this matchup.
• Urías will try to build on a nine-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 innings per appearance).
• He will match up with a Padres offense that ranks 13th in MLB with 1090 total hits (on a .243 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .383 (21st in MLB) with 122 total home runs (21st in MLB).
• In five innings over one appearance against the Padres this season, Urías has a 1.80 ERA and a 1.000 WHIP while his opponents are batting .118.
• This season, the 26-year-old ranks fourth in ERA (2.32), fourth in WHIP (.952), and 18th in K/9 (8.8) among pitchers who qualify.

Padres Starter Sean Manaea

• The Padres will send Manaea (7-7) to the mound for his 25th start this season.
• The left-hander gave up six earned runs and allowed 10 hits in four innings pitched against the Kansas City Royals on Sunday.
• The 30-year-old has pitched to a 4.90 ERA this season with 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.0 walks per nine across 24 games.
• He has 15 quality starts in 24 chances this season.
• In 24 starts, Manaea has pitched through or past the fifth inning 17 times. He has a season average of 5.2 frames per outing.
• The Dodgers have scored 695 runs this season, which ranks first in MLB. They have 1161 hits, fifth in baseball, with 170 home runs (fifth in the league).
• The Dodgers have gone 16-for-41 with four doubles, two home runs and 14 RBI in two games against the left-hander this season.
• Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 30-year-old’s 4.90 ERA ranks 47th, 1.328 WHIP ranks 41st, and 9.1 K/9 ranks 12th.

Dodgers Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Dodgers have been favored 132 times and won 93, or 70.5%, of those games.
• Los Angeles is 34-14 this season when entering a game favored by -220 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Dodgers, based on the moneyline, is 68.8%.
• Los Angeles’ games have gone over the total in 59 of their 137 chances.
• The Dodgers have an ATS record of 82-55-0 in 137 games with a spread this season.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• The Padres have been chosen as underdogs in 36 games this year and have walked away with the win 19 times (52.8%) in those games.
• This is the worst odds of a win that sportsbooks have given San Diego this season with a +182 moneyline set for this game.
• The Padres have an implied victory probability of 35.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Contests with San Diego have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 63 of 134 chances this season.
• The Padres have posted a record of 58-76-0 against the spread this season.

Dodgers Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Dodgers best hitter so far this season is Freddie Freeman, who’s hitting at a team-leading .318 rate along with 16 homers and 81 RBI.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Freeman ranks 65th in home runs and 15th in RBI.
• Mookie Betts has shown his power as he leads his team with 32 home runs.
• Betts ranks fifth in home runs and 30th in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
• Trea Turner has sent home a team-high 86 runs batted in.
• Will Smith is hitting .262 with 22 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 49 walks.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Manny Machado leads the squad with a batting average of .306, while leading the Padres in home runs, with 25 and runs batted in with 87.
• Machado’s home run total places him 21st in the majors, and he is sixth in RBI.
• Machado carries a seven-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .341 with three doubles, three home runs, three walks and 11 RBI.
• Juan Soto is batting .246 with 20 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 115 walks.
• Among all MLB batters, Soto is 25th in homers and 87th in RBI.
• Josh Bell is batting .275 with 28 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 67 walks.
• Brandon Drury has swatted a team-high 25 home runs.