Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/4/2022

Two of the league’s top hitters will meet Sunday when the Los Angeles Dodgers (91-41) and San Diego Padres (74-60) take to the field at 7:08 PM ET, live on ESPN. Freddie Freeman is batting .322 for the Dodgers (-160 favorites on the moneyline) while Manny Machado leads the underdog Padres (+138) with a .306 average. Los Angeles’ Ryan Pepiot gets the start, and he’ll go against San Diego’s Mike Clevinger.

Dodgers vs. Padres Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Dodgers vs. Padres

We have the Padres on the moneyline at +138 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going under the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: San Diego Padres (+138) and Under (9)

Dodgers vs. Padres Game Info

• Los Angeles Dodgers probable starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot
• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Mike Clevinger
• Game Day: Sunday, September 4, 2022
• Game Time: 7:08 PM ET
• TV Channel: ESPN
• Location: Los Angeles, California
• Stadium: Dodger Stadium

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Pitching Matchup

Dodgers Starter Ryan Pepiot

• Pepiot makes his first start of the season for the Dodgers.
• It’s the season debut and his first appearance in more than a year for the 25-year-old righty.
• The Padres rank 12th in run scoring in the league (593) this season and are batting .241 while hitting 123 home runs (21st in the league).

Padres Starter Mike Clevinger

• Clevinger (5-5) will take the mound for the Padres, his 17th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw five innings against the San Francisco Giants, giving up two earned runs while allowing five hits.
• The 31-year-old has pitched to a 3.59 ERA this season with 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.8 walks per nine across 17 games.
• He has five quality starts in 16 chances this season.
• Clevinger has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Dodgers have scored 707 runs this season, which ranks first in MLB. They have 1174 hits, fourth in baseball, with 174 home runs (fourth in the league).
• The Dodgers have gone 7-for-21 with two home runs and five RBI in one game against the right-hander this season.

Dodgers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Dodgers have been favorites in 133 games this season and won 94 (70.7%) of those contests.
• Los Angeles has a record of 71-31 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -160 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 61.5% chance of a victory for the Dodgers.
• Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 60 of their 138 games with a total this season.
• The Dodgers are 83-55-0 against the spread this season.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• The Padres have been victorious in 19, or 51.4%, of the 37 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• San Diego has a mark of 4-4 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +138 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Padres have an implied victory probability of 42% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Contests with San Diego have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 64 of 135 chances this season.
• In 135 games with a line this season, the Padres have a mark of 58-77-0 against the spread.

Dodgers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Freeman is the Dodgers best hitter thus far this season, hitting at a team-leading .322 clip along with 16 homers and 82 RBI.
• Among all batters in the majors, Freeman’s home run total ranks him 65th, and his RBI tally ranks him 14th.
• Mookie Betts’ 33 home runs pace his team.
• Betts is fifth in homers and 28th in RBI on the year.
• Trea Turner paces the Dodgers with 88 runs batted in.
• Turner has at least one base hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .182 with a home run, a walk and two RBI.
• Will Smith is hitting .263 with 23 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 49 walks.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Machado leads the squad with a batting average of .306, and paces the Padres in home runs, with 26 and runs batted in with 88.
• Machado ranks 18th in home runs and sixth in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Machado has collected a hit in eight straight games. In his last 10 outings he is batting .350 with three doubles, four home runs, three walks and 12 RBI.
• Juan Soto is hitting .245 with 20 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 115 walks.
• Soto ranks 26th in homers and 87th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Josh Bell is batting .274 with 28 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 68 walks.
• Brandon Drury has 26 doubles, two triples, 25 home runs and 33 walks while batting .262.