Dodgers vs. Padres Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/9/2022

A pair of surging power hitters meet Friday when Max Muncy — with his two-game homer streak in tow — and the Los Angeles Dodgers (94-42) take on Jake Cronenworth (home runs in two straight) and the San Diego Padres (76-62). The Dodgers are favorites (-155) for the contest, which starts at 9:40 PM ET, live from PETCO Park. Dustin May will get the ball for Los Angeles while San Diego counter with Sean Manaea.

Dodgers vs. Padres Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Dodgers vs. Padres

Our best bet is the Padres on the moneyline at +135 after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: San Diego Padres (+135) and Over (8.5)

Dodgers vs. Padres Game Info

• Los Angeles Dodgers probable starting pitcher: Dustin May
• San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Sean Manaea
• Game Day: Friday, September 9, 2022
• Game Time: 9:40 PM ET
• Location: San Diego, California
• Stadium: PETCO Park

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Pitching Matchup

Dodgers Starter Dustin May

• May (1-2) gets the starting nod for the Dodgers in his fourth start of the season. He’s put together a 4.50 ERA in 16 innings pitched, with 18 strikeouts.
• The righty’s most recent time out was on Saturday against the San Diego Padres, when he tossed five innings, surrendering six earned runs while allowing four hits.
• The 25-year-old has amassed an ERA of 4.50, with 10.1 strikeouts per nine innings, in three games this season. Opposing hitters have a .182 batting average against him.
• May is aiming for his fourth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.1 frames per appearance on the mound.
• The opposing Padres offense has a collective .241 batting average, and is 14th in the league with 1120 total hits and 12th in MLB play with 609 runs scored. It has the 23rd-ranked slugging percentage (.381) and ranks 21st in home runs (129) in all of MLB.
• May has pitched five innings, giving up six earned runs on four hits while striking out five against the Padres this season.

Padres Starter Sean Manaea

• Manaea (7-8) will take the mound for the Padres, his 26th start of the season.
• The left-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, when he threw 4 1/3 innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers, giving up eight earned runs while allowing nine hits.
• The 30-year-old has pitched to a 5.27 ERA this season with 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.0 walks per nine across 25 games.
• In 25 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in 15 of them.
• Manaea has started 25 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 17 times. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance.
• The Dodgers are batting .261 this season, first in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .452 (first in the league) with 183 home runs.
• The left-hander has faced the Dodgers three times this season, allowing them to go 25-for-63 with five doubles, a triple, five home runs and 22 RBI in 12 2/3 innings.
• Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 30-year-old’s 5.27 ERA ranks 49th, 1.359 WHIP ranks 43rd, and 9.1 K/9 ranks 12th.

Dodgers Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Dodgers have been favored 137 times and won 97, or 70.8%, of those games.
• This season, Los Angeles has won 77 of its 110 games, or 70%, when favored by at least -155 on the moneyline.
• The Dodgers have a 60.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Los Angeles and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 64 of their 142 opportunities.
• The Dodgers have an ATS record of 86-56-0 in 142 games with a spread this season.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

• The Padres have been victorious in 19, or 50%, of the 38 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, San Diego has won four of nine games when listed as at least +135 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Padres have a 42.6% chance of walking away with the win.
• San Diego and their opponents have gone over in 67 of their 139 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Padres have an against the spread mark of 59-80-0 in 139 games with a line this season.

Dodgers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Freddie Freeman has accumulated a team-best batting average of .320.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Freeman ranks 62nd in homers and 14th in RBI.
• Freeman takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .389 with a double, a home run, four walks and three RBI.
• Mookie Betts’ 33 home runs lead his team.
• Betts ranks fifth in home runs and 30th in RBI on the season.
• Trea Turner paces the Dodgers with 91 runs batted in.
• Turner is on a six-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last 10 games he is hitting .209 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
• Will Smith is hitting .261 with 23 doubles, a triple, 21 home runs and 51 walks.

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

• Juan Soto is batting .243 with 20 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 117 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .406.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Soto ranks 28th in home runs and 96th in RBI.
• Manny Machado has hit 26 home runs with 88 runs batted in while batting .297. Those numbers are pace the clubhouse.
• Machado ranks 20th in homers and 11th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Josh Bell has 28 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 71 walks while hitting .276.
• Jurickson Profar is batting .244 with 32 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 69 walks.