Dodgers vs. Reds Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/21/2022

by | Jun 20, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Dodgers vs. Reds Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/21/2022

The Cincinnati Reds (23-43) will try to end their four-game losing streak when they host the Los Angeles Dodgers (40-25) on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET. Sportsbooks consider the Dodgers to be -195 favorites for the contest, while the Reds are +165 underdogs looking for the upset. Tony Gonsolin will get the ball for Los Angeles while Cincinnati counter with Tyler Mahle.

Dodgers vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Dodgers vs Reds Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Dodgers -195 +165 10 -105 -115 -1.5 -125 +105

Computer Predictions for Dodgers vs. Reds

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+165) and Over (10)

Dodgers vs. Reds Game Info

  • Los Angeles Dodgers probable starting pitcher: Tony Gonsolin
  • Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle
  • Game Day: Tuesday, June 21, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
  • Stadium: Great American Ball Park

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Gonsolin Mahle
12 GS 14
8-0 W-L 2-5
1.42 ERA 4.46
63.1 IP 74.2
20 BB 30
60 SO 86

Dodgers Starter Tony Gonsolin

  • Gonsolin makes the start for the Dodgers, his 13th of the season. He is 8-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 60 strikeouts in 63 1/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent appearance came on Wednesday against the Los Angeles Angels, when the righty tossed 6 1/3 scoreless innings while allowing just one hit.
  • In 12 games this season, the 28-year-old has amassed an ERA of 1.42, with 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting just .147 against him.
  • Gonsolin is looking for his seventh quality start in a row.
  • Gonsolin will look to extend a nine-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.1 innings per outing).
  • He will take the mound against a Reds team that is hitting .238 as a unit (17th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .377 (22nd in MLB) with 62 total home runs (20th in MLB).
  • Gonsolin has a 0 ERA and a 1.5 WHIP against the Reds this season in four innings pitched, allowing a .200 batting average over one appearance.

Reds Starter Tyler Mahle

  • The Reds will hand the ball to Mahle (2-5) for his 15th start of the season.
  • The right-hander did not allow a run in 9 2/3 innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Arizona Diamondbacks.
  • The 27-year-old has an ERA of 4.46 and 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .220 in 14 games this season.
  • If he completes six or more innings with three or fewer earned runs allowed, he’ll earn his fifth quality start in a row.
  • Mahle has pitched five or more innings in four straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • The Dodgers have scored 326 runs this season, which ranks fifth in MLB. They have 541 hits, 14th in baseball, with 77 home runs (11th in the league).
  • The right-hander has faced the Dodgers one time this season, allowing them to go 7-for-18 with four doubles and seven RBI in 3 2/3 innings.
  • Among qualified pitchers in the majors this season, the 27-year-old ranks 58th in ERA (4.46), 41st in WHIP (1.232), and seventh in K/9 (10.4).

Dodgers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Dodgers have been favorites in 69 games this season and won 42 (60.9%) of those contests.
  • Los Angeles is 24-13 this season when entering a game favored by -195 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Dodgers have a 66.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • So far this season, Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 29 of their 70 games with a total.
  • The Dodgers are 38-32-0 ATS in their 70 games with a spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Reds have been underdogs in 50 games this season and have come away with the win 18 times (36%) in those contests.
  • This season, Cincinnati has been victorious three times in 15 chances when named as an underdog of at least +165 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 37.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 35 of their 67 opportunities.
  • The Reds have posted a record of 31-36-0 against the spread this season.

Dodgers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Trea Turner comes into Tuesday’s game hitting .301 with 50 RBI, both team-leading marks for the Dodgers. He has also connected on nine home runs in 2022.
  • In all of the majors, Turner is 53rd in home runs and sixth in RBI.
  • Turner brings a hitting streak of 12 games into this game. During his last 10 outings he is batting .310 with a double, three home runs, two walks and five RBI.
  • Freddie Freeman is hitting .291 with 22 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 33 walks.
  • Freeman ranks 109th in homers and 40th in RBI on the year.
  • Freeman heads into this game looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with a double, a home run, four walks and an RBI.
  • Will Smith is batting .243 with eight doubles, eight home runs and 28 walks.
  • Smith is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .200 with a double, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
  • Justin Turner is hitting .209 with 17 doubles, four home runs and 23 walks.
  • Justin Turner brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .167 with a double, three walks and three RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Trea Turner 65 .301 .352 .480 9 50 77
Freddie Freeman 65 .291 .375 .457 6 35 74
Will Smith 53 .243 .344 .416 8 29 45
Justin Turner 61 .209 .282 .338 4 34 47
Gavin Lux 59 .280 .357 .382 2 16 52

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Brandon Drury has racked up a team-best 14 home runs.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Drury is 18th in homers and 40th in RBI.
  • Tommy Pham has nine doubles, nine home runs and 34 walks while batting .258.
  • Pham is 53rd in home runs and 113th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
  • Kyle Farmer paces the Reds with 38 runs batted in while recording a team-best batting average of .282.
  • Joey Votto is hitting .207 with 10 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 27 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Brandon Drury 57 .263 .328 .512 14 35 56
Tommy Pham 58 .258 .358 .431 9 26 54
Kyle Farmer 57 .282 .342 .426 5 38 57
Joey Votto 50 .207 .337 .367 5 22 35
Mike Moustakas 46 .219 .322 .318 3 14 33

Betting Tips for Dodgers vs. Reds

We have the Reds on the moneyline at +165 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 10 runs.

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