Dodgers vs. Twins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/10/2022

by | Aug 10, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Dodgers vs. Twins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/10/2022

Two of the league’s top hitters will meet Wednesday when the Los Angeles Dodgers (76-33) and Minnesota Twins (57-52) take to the field at 10:10 PM ET. Freddie Freeman is batting .323 for the Dodgers (-149 favorites on the moneyline) while Luis Arraez leads the underdog Twins (+127) with a .329 average. Los Angeles’ Andre Jackson gets the start, and he’ll go against Minnesota’s Sonny Gray.

Dodgers vs. Twins Spread and Betting Line

Dodgers vs Twins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Dodgers -149 +127 9 -121 +100 -1.5 +133 -159

Computer Predictions for Dodgers vs. Twins

Our best bet is the Twins on the moneyline at +127 after analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Minnesota Twins (+127) and Over (9)

Dodgers vs. Twins Game Info

  • Los Angeles Dodgers probable starting pitcher: Andre Jackson
  • Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Sonny Gray
  • Game Day: Wednesday, August 10, 2022
  • Game Time: 10:10 PM ET
  • Location: Los Angeles, California
  • Stadium: Dodger Stadium

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Matchup

Jackson Gray
0 GS 16
0-0 W-L 6-3
ERA 3.19
0 IP 79.0
0 BB 24
0 SO 74

Dodgers Starter Andre Jackson

  • Jackson starts for the first time this season for the Dodgers.
  • The 26-year-old righty last appeared Sunday, Oct. 3 against the Milwaukee Brewers, when he came on in relief and went three innings.
  • In his three appearances last season he finished with a 2.31 ERA and a 1.371 WHIP, compiling a 0-1 record.
  • The Twins rank 14th in MLB action with 491 runs scored this season, and are batting .251 with 134 home runs (ninth in baseball).

Twins Starter Sonny Gray

  • The Twins will send Gray (6-3) to the mound for his 17th start this season.
  • The right-hander did not allow a run in five innings pitched on Thursday in his last outing, a matchup with the Toronto Blue Jays.
  • The 32-year-old has an ERA of 3.19 and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .219 in 16 games this season.
  • He has five quality starts in 16 chances this season.
  • Gray has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • The Dodgers have scored 581 runs this season, which ranks second in MLB. They have 970 hits, fifth in baseball, with 140 home runs (seventh in the league).

Dodgers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Dodgers have won 79, or 69.9%, of the 113 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 68-29, a 70.1% win rate, when favored by -149 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Dodgers, based on the moneyline, is 59.8%.
  • Los Angeles and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 47 of their 115 opportunities.
  • In 115 games with a spread this season, the Dodgers are 70-45-0 ATS.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Twins have been underdogs in 46 games this season and have come away with the win 18 times (39.1%) in those contests.
  • This year, Minnesota has won five of 13 games when listed as at least +127 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 44.1% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 53 of their 110 opportunities.
  • The Twins have an against the spread mark of 54-56-0 in 110 games with a line this season.

Dodgers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Freeman leads the Dodgers with a team-best batting average of .323.
  • Freeman’s home runs put him 56th in MLB, and he is 10th in RBI.
  • Freeman carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .294 with two walks and three RBI.
  • Trea Turner’s 80 runs batted in lead his team.
  • Turner is 36th in home runs and fifth in RBI on the season.
  • Turner carries a five-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .318 with two doubles, a home run and four RBI.
  • Mookie Betts has a team-best 25 home runs.
  • Betts has at least one base hit in five games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .429 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
  • Will Smith is batting .275 with 19 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 41 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Freddie Freeman 109 .323 .400 .524 15 71 137
Trea Turner 109 .306 .346 .502 18 80 136
Mookie Betts 92 .276 .345 .535 25 59 105
Will Smith 94 .275 .361 .477 16 61 94
Gavin Lux 100 .297 .370 .425 4 33 95

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Arraez leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .329.
  • Arraez’s home run total puts him 204th in the majors, and he is 154th in RBI.
  • Arraez takes a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .292 with three doubles and two RBI.
  • Jorge Polanco has driven in the most runs for the Twins with 51 runs batted in.
  • Polanco is 67th in home runs and 60th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Byron Buxton has 27 home runs, best in the lineup.
  • Carlos Correa is hitting .265 with 15 doubles, 13 home runs and 37 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Luis Arraez 97 .329 .394 .436 6 36 120
Jorge Polanco 90 .237 .349 .407 14 51 78
Byron Buxton 83 .222 .301 .549 27 49 68
Carlos Correa 85 .265 .342 .431 13 37 86
Gio Urshela 93 .262 .304 .423 10 45 83

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