Duke vs. North Carolina NCAA Tournament Final Four Betting Picks and Predictions

by | Mar 28, 2022

Duke vs. North Carolina Betting Picks & Predictions

A pair of streaking teams hit the court when the No. 9 Duke Blue Devils (32-6, 16-4 ACC) host the North Carolina Tar Heels (28-9, 15-5 ACC) on Saturday, April 2, 2022 at 8:49 PM ET. The Blue Devils are 4.5-point favorites and put their four-game win streak on the line against the Tar Heels, who have won four straight. Find more below on the Duke vs. North Carolina betting line, head-to-head stats, best bets and more. The matchup has an over/under of 151.

Duke vs. North Carolina Betting Line

Duke vs North Carolina Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Duke -4.5 151 -110 -110 -206 168

Duke vs. North Carolina Game Info

  • Game Day: Saturday, April 2, 2022
  • Game Time: 8:49 PM ET
  • TV Channel: TBS
  • Location: New Orleans, Louisiana

Computer Predictions for Duke vs. North Carolina

Computer picks for Blue Devils vs Tar Heels
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Duke (-4.5) Under (151) North Carolina 76 Duke 72

Duke vs. North Carolina Betting Trends

  • In Duke’s 38 games this year, it has 22 wins against the spread.
  • This season, the Blue Devils have an ATS record of 17-16-1 in their 34 games as a favorite of 4.5 points or more.
  • Duke has hit the over in 57.5% of its opportunities this year (23 times in 40 games with a set point total).
  • Duke Leaders

  • Paolo Banchero leads the Blue Devils in scoring (17.1 points per game) and rebounding (7.8 rebounds per game).
  • The squad is led in assists by Wendell Moore’s 4.4 per game.
  • The Blue Devils are led by AJ Griffin from long distance. He hits 1.9 shots from deep per game.
  • Duke’s blocks leader is Mark Williams, who averages 2.9 per game. Moore leads the team averaging 1.3 steals an outing.
  • Duke Season Stats

    Stat Rank
    Field Goal % 49.3 4
    Opp. Field Goal % 41.7 90
    Rebounds Per Game 35.1 36
    Opp. Rebounds Per Game 30.4 116
    Turnovers Per Game 10.1 320
    Opp. Turnovers Per Game 10.3 41

    North Carolina vs. Duke Betting Trends

  • North Carolina’s record against the spread is 22-16-1.
  • The Tar Heels’ ATS record as 4.5-point underdogs or greater is 4-1.
  • North Carolina has played 37 games this year, and 22 of them have gone over the total.
  • North Carolina Leaders

  • Armando Bacot leads the team in both scoring (16.5 points per game) and rebounding (12.8 rebounds per game).
  • Caleb Love has the title of North Carolina assist leader, dishing out 3.7 assists per game this season.
  • Brady Manek leads the Tar Heels in shooting from beyond the arc, averaging 2.5 made threes per game.
  • RJ Davis tops North Carolina in steals with 1.1 per game, and Bacot leads the squad in blocks with 1.7 per game.
  • North Carolina Season Stats

    Stat Rank
    Field Goal % 45.2 107
    Opp. Field Goal % 42.5 137
    Rebounds Per Game 37.6 6
    Opp. Rebounds Per Game 29.6 70
    Turnovers Per Game 11.2 256
    Opp. Turnovers Per Game 9.5 11

    Betting Tips for Duke vs. North Carolina

    We have the Duke (-4.5) listed as the best bet in this game. Our computer model has the scoring going under the total of 151 points, with the teams finishing with a final score of Duke 76, North Carolina 72 when all is said and done.

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