Posted on June 2, 2016 by Travis Pulver
It is a great but sad time of year for NBA fans. The Finals are upon us, and this year the best two teams in the NBA, the Golden State Warriors and Cleveland Cavaliers, made it. After the Cavs had taken the Warriors to six games last season, fans hoped both teams would make it back–and they did.
As high as the anticipation of an epic series is, the 2015-16 NBA season only has 4-7 games left before it is all over—and that is sad.
So the question on every NBA fan’s mind has been this: Can a fully-loaded Cavaliers team take the Warriors in a best of seven series?
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Every fan has their own opinion as do the so-called experts. ESPN polled its staff to see how they think the NBA Finals are going to play out. The results are not too surprising:
- 20 of the 26 surveyed writers picked the Warriors
- Of the six that chose Cleveland, four think it will only take six games while the other two said it will take seven.
- Of the 20 that picked Golden State, 11 think it will take all seven games; eight picked the Warriors in six.
- Only one writer, Tom Haberstroh, chose the winner (Golden State) to only need five games
- ESPN’s Basketball Power Index gives the Cavaliers a 25 percent chance to win and the Warriors a 75 percent chance.
Vegas thinks the Warriors are going to repeat too. According to the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, the Warriors opened as the favorite at -185 with Cleveland a +165 underdog. By Tuesday, the lines shifted, but the Warriors remained the favorites (-210 to +180).
The odds vary among sportsbooks, but the Golden State Warriors are the clear favorite.
So—does that mean the Cavaliers don’t have a shot? Absolutely not, but they do have to do everything right while the Warriors make a few mistakes in order to win.
They will need to do something that had not been done yet—slow down the Warriors offense. That means finding a solution for Steph Curry and Klay Thompson. It would not be a bad idea to figure out how to stifle Draymond Green as well.
It is unlikely the Cavaliers will be able to slow down all three so they will likely need to outscore the Warriors to win. Adding Channing Frye late in the season gave them a better three-point shooter, but the Warriors are full of shooters. The Cavs are going to need to be the three-point shooters they were against Atlanta.
As much as Warriors fans may want to point at the two wins their team had over Cleveland during the regular season, those wins came against a David Blatt-led team. The Cavaliers have transformed into a different—and better—squad under Tyron Lue.
Have they turned into one good enough to take down the champs? After watching Game Six of the Eastern Conference Finals and the first four games of the Western Conference Finals, it would have been easy to say yes.
However, now that the Warriors scoring machine has reawakened—probably not.
Game One is Thursday night.