Giants vs. Cubs Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/28/2022

The San Francisco Giants (48-50) hope to avoid their eighth straight defeat when they host the Chicago Cubs (40-57) Thursday at 9:45 PM ET. The Giants are listed as -137 favorites to snap their losing skid, while the Cubs are +116 underdogs. Alex Wood will get the ball for San Francisco while Chicago counter with Justin Steele.

Giants vs. Cubs Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Giants vs. Cubs

Our best bet is the Cubs on the moneyline at +116 after analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Chicago Cubs (+116) and Over (8)

Giants vs. Cubs Game Info

• San Francisco Giants probable starting pitcher: Alex Wood
• Chicago Cubs probable starting pitcher: Justin Steele
• Game Day: Thursday, July 28, 2022
• Game Time: 9:45 PM ET
• Location: San Francisco, California
• Stadium: Oracle Park

San Francisco Giants vs Chicago Cubs Pitching Matchup

Giants Starter Alex Wood

• Wood (6-8) gets the starting nod for the Giants in his 20th start of the season. He has a 4.21 ERA in 94 innings pitched, with 96 strikeouts.
• The lefty’s most recent appearance was on Saturday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when he went 4 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing four hits.
• The 31-year-old has a 4.21 ERA and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings in 19 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .262 to opposing hitters.
• Wood is trying to pick up his fourth quality start of the season in this outing.
• Wood has pitched five or more innings in a game 13 times this season heading into this matchup.
• He will take the hill against a Cubs offense that ranks 15th in MLB with 812 total hits (on a .246 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .399 (12th in MLB) with 98 total home runs (18th in MLB).

Cubs Starter Justin Steele

• Steele (4-6) will take to the mound for the Cubs and make his 19th start of the season.
• The left-hander gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in 5 2/3 innings pitched against the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday.
• The 27-year-old has pitched in 18 games this season with an ERA of 4.02, a 1.976 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.420.
• He has earned a quality start five times in 18 starts this season.
• Steele has pitched five or more innings in nine straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Giants rank 24th in MLB with a .234 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 15th in the league (.394) and 115 home runs.

Giants Betting Picks & Insights

• The Giants have won 39, or 55.7%, of the 70 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• San Francisco is 21-25 this season when entering a game favored by -137 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Giants, based on the moneyline, is 57.8%.
• So far this season, San Francisco and its opponents have hit the over in 48 of their 99 games with a total.
• The Giants are 45-53-0 ATS in their 98 games with a spread this season.

Cubs Betting Picks & Insights

• The Cubs have come away with 28 wins in the 68 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Chicago has a mark of 18-26 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +116 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 46.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 45 of their 97 opportunities.
• The Cubs are 50-47-0 against the spread in their 97 games that had a posted line this season.

Giants Leaders & Batting Stats

• Wilmer Flores has sent home a team-high 53 runs batted in.
• In all of the majors, Flores is 47th in homers and 29th in RBI.
• Flores has collected a hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .158 with two doubles, a home run and two RBI.
• Thairo Estrada is batting .262 to lead his team.
• Estrada is 116th in homers in MLB, and 85th in RBI.
• Joc Pederson has hit a team-best 17 home runs.
• Mike Yastrzemski is hitting .230 with 20 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 38 walks.

Cubs Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ian Happ has 25 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 42 walks while batting .282.
• In all of MLB, Happ is 116th in home runs and 59th in RBI.
• Happ brings a hitting streak of six games into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is batting .325 with two doubles, a walk and five RBI.
• Willson Contreras has 20 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 37 walks while batting .258.
• Contreras ranks 47th overall in home runs and 111th in RBI this season.
• Nico Hoerner has racked up a team-high batting average of .306.
• Patrick Wisdom paces the Cubs in home runs (17) and runs batted in (47).