Giants vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/11/2022

by | Jul 11, 2022

Following a two-homer game in a win over the Padres, Wilmer Flores leads the San Francisco Giants (43-41) into action as -164 favorites against the Arizona Diamondbacks (38-48). First pitch from Oracle Park at 9:45 PM ET on Monday. Alex Cobb will get the ball for San Francisco while Arizona counter with Merrill Kelly.

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Spread and Betting Line

Giants vs Diamondbacks Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Giants -164 +140 7.5 -118 -103 -1.5 +129 -154

Computer Predictions for Giants vs. Diamondbacks

Our best bet is the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at +140 after analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (+140) and Over (7.5)

Giants vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

  • San Francisco Giants probable starting pitcher: Alex Cobb
  • Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Merrill Kelly
  • Game Day: Monday, July 11, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:45 PM ET
  • Location: San Francisco, California
  • Stadium: Oracle Park

San Francisco Giants vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Cobb Kelly
12 GS 17
3-3 W-L 7-5
5.05 ERA 3.42
57.0 IP 97.1
16 BB 34
59 SO 80

Giants Starter Alex Cobb

  • Cobb (3-3) takes the mound for the Giants in his 13th start of the season. He has a 5.05 ERA in 57 innings pitched, with 59 strikeouts.
  • The righty’s last appearance was on Thursday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when he threw 6 2/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • In 12 games this season, the 34-year-old has amassed an ERA of 5.05, with 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .278 against him.
  • Cobb has one quality start under his belt this year.
  • Cobb will look to go five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 4.2 innings per outing.
  • The opposing Diamondbacks offense has the 19th-ranked slugging percentage (.382) and ranks 11th in MLB play with 100 home runs. It has a collective .221 batting average, and is 28th in MLB with 623 total hits and 17th in MLB action scoring 367 runs.
  • Cobb has pitched six innings, giving up four earned runs on seven hits while striking out three against the Diamondbacks this season.

Diamondbacks Starter Merrill Kelly

  • The Diamondbacks will hand the ball to Kelly (7-5) for his 18th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed 6 1/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on two hits in a matchup with the San Francisco Giants.
  • The 33-year-old has pitched in 17 games this season with an ERA of 3.42, a 2.353 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.233.
  • He’s going for his third quality start in a row.
  • Kelly has nine starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • The Giants have scored 396 runs this season, which ranks ninth in MLB. They are batting .235 for the campaign with 99 home runs, 12th in the league.
  • This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Giants in one game, and they have gone 2-for-21 with two doubles and two RBI over 6 1/3 innings.
  • Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 33-year-old’s 3.42 ERA ranks 32nd, 1.233 WHIP ranks 41st, and 7.4 K/9 ranks 43rd.

Giants Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Giants have entered the game as favorites 63 times this season and won 35, or 55.6%, of those games.
  • This season, San Francisco has won 14 of its 27 games, or 51.9%, when favored by at least -164 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 62.1% chance of a victory for the Giants.
  • San Francisco’s games have gone over the total in 41 of their 85 chances.
  • The Giants have an ATS record of 41-43-0 in 84 games with a spread this season.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have been victorious in 31, or 43.7%, of the 71 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Arizona has come away with a win 11 times in 31 chances when named as an underdog of at least +140 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 41.7% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Arizona’s games have gone over the total in 42 of their 91 opportunities.
  • In 91 games with a line this season, the Diamondbacks have a mark of 50-41-0 against the spread.

Giants Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Flores has accumulated a team-best 47 runs batted in.
  • Including all MLB hitters, Flores is 85th in batting average, 59th in on-base percentage, and 64th in slugging.
  • Flores carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with three home runs, two walks and six RBI.
  • Joc Pederson’s 17 home runs are a team-high mark.
  • Thairo Estrada leads the Giants with a .256 batting average.
  • Mike Yastrzemski is batting .231 with 17 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 35 walks.
  • Yastrzemski brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .188 with a triple and two RBI.
Wilmer Flores 79 .249 .338 .432 12 47 68
Joc Pederson 74 .259 .336 .536 17 41 57
Thairo Estrada 73 .256 .309 .398 7 33 65
Mike Yastrzemski 75 .231 .330 .402 8 34 58
Darin Ruf 74 .222 .333 .352 7 30 51

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Christian Walker leads the Diamondbacks with 21 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 43.
  • Among all batters in the majors, Walker is ninth in homers and 50th in RBI.
  • Ketel Marte has a club-leading .266 batting average.
  • Marte is currently 168th in homers and 155th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Daulton Varsho is batting .234 with 15 doubles, 12 home runs and 21 walks.
  • David Peralta is hitting .241 with 16 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 23 walks.
Christian Walker 84 .205 .316 .468 21 43 60
Ketel Marte 77 .266 .361 .432 6 27 72
Daulton Varsho 79 .234 .295 .413 12 41 67
David Peralta 74 .241 .307 .452 11 36 58
Josh Rojas 55 .288 .351 .439 5 26 57

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