Giants vs. Padres Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/29/2022

by | Aug 29, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Giants vs. Padres Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/29/2022

The San Francisco Giants (61-65) are -136 favorites when they play the San Diego Padres (70-59) on Monday at 9:45 PM ET. Thairo Estrada has 97 hits on the season and will hope to hit his milestone 100th once the game begins at Oracle Park. San Francisco’s Carlos Rodon gets the start, and he’ll go against San Diego’s Mike Clevinger.

Giants vs. Padres Spread and Betting Line

Giants vs Padres Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Giants -136 +115 7 -126 +106 -1.5 +155 -187

Computer Predictions for Giants vs. Padres

Our best bet is the Padres on the moneyline at +115 after taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: San Diego Padres (+115) and Over (7)

Giants vs. Padres Game Info

  • San Francisco Giants probable starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón
  • San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Mike Clevinger
  • Game Day: Monday, August 29, 2022
  • Game Time: 9:45 PM ET
  • Location: San Francisco, California
  • Stadium: Oracle Park

San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres Pitching Matchup

Rodón Clevinger
25 GS 15
12-6 W-L 4-5
2.81 ERA 3.59
147.1 IP 80.1
41 BB 26
189 SO 70

Giants Starter Carlos Rodón

  • Rodon makes the start for the Giants, his 26th of the season. He is 12-6 with a 2.81 ERA and 189 strikeouts in 147 1/3 innings pitched.
  • His last appearance was on Tuesday against the Detroit Tigers, when the lefty threw seven innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up five hits.
  • The 29-year-old has put up a 2.81 ERA and 11.5 strikeouts per nine innings across 25 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .206 to opposing hitters.
  • Rodon is seeking his fourth straight quality start.
  • Rodon will try to continue a 15-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.3 innings per outing).
  • He will take the mound against a Padres team that is hitting .243 as a unit (16th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .382 (21st in MLB) with 117 total home runs (21st in MLB).
  • Rodon has thrown 15 innings, giving up three earned runs on eight hits while striking out 18 against the Padres this season.
  • The 29-year-old’s 2.81 ERA ranks 15th, 1.032 WHIP ranks 17th, and 11.5 K/9 ranks third among qualifying pitchers this season.

Padres Starter Mike Clevinger

  • The Padres will hand the ball to Clevinger (4-5) for his 16th start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed six innings while giving up two earned runs on two hits in a matchup with the Cleveland Guardians.
  • The 31-year-old has an ERA of 3.59, a 2.692 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.158 in 16 games this season.
  • He has started 15 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in five of them.
  • Clevinger has made nine starts of five or more innings in 15 chances this season, and averages 5.0 frames when he pitches.
  • The Giants are batting .232 this season, 23rd in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .389 (16th in the league) with 142 home runs.

Giants Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Giants have won 51, or 58%, of the 88 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • San Francisco has a record of 32-31 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -136 on the moneyline.
  • The Giants have a 57.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Games involving San Francisco have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 60 of 127 chances this season.
  • The Giants have an ATS record of 55-71-0 in 126 games with a spread this season.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Padres have been chosen as underdogs in 34 games this year and have walked away with the win 17 times (50%) in those games.
  • This season, San Diego has been victorious 10 times in 20 chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 60 of their 130 opportunities.
  • The Padres are 56-74-0 against the spread in their 130 games that had a posted line this season.

Giants Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Wilmer Flores has put up a team-high 60 runs batted in.
  • Among all hitters in baseball, Flores ranks 60th in homers and 52nd in RBI.
  • Flores takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .105 with a walk and an RBI.
  • Estrada is hitting .256 to lead his team.
  • Estrada ranks 129th in home runs and 96th in RBI on the year.
  • Estrada has two games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .105 with a double and a walk.
  • Joc Pederson has a team-best 18 homers.
  • Pederson has at least one base hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with a double, three walks and an RBI.
  • Mike Yastrzemski is hitting .208 with 22 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 50 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Wilmer Flores 119 .249 .331 .432 16 60 102
Thairo Estrada 108 .256 .307 .404 11 49 97
Joc Pederson 104 .258 .334 .495 18 48 77
Mike Yastrzemski 114 .208 .307 .369 12 44 77
Brandon Crawford 90 .225 .306 .347 7 41 70

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Juan Soto paces the Padres with 24 long balls.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Soto is 22nd in home runs and 81st in RBI.
  • Soto brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with two home runs, three walks and three RBI.
  • Manny Machado proven to be a run producer as he paces his team with 24 home runs and 81 runs batted in, with a team-leading .304 batting average.
  • Machado is 22nd in home runs and 12th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
  • Josh Bell is batting .279 with 28 doubles, three triples, 16 home runs and 64 walks.
  • Brandon Drury is hitting .259 with 25 doubles, two triples, 23 home runs and 33 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Juan Soto 121 .254 .413 .487 24 52 105
Manny Machado 118 .304 .374 .537 24 81 138
Josh Bell 126 .279 .370 .459 16 64 128
Brandon Drury 115 .259 .317 .484 23 74 113
Jurickson Profar 121 .241 .339 .387 12 48 110

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