Giants vs. Phillies Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/4/2022

The San Francisco Giants (63-68) hope to complete a three-game sweep of the Philadelphia Phillies (73-60) when the teams meet at 4:05 PM ET Sunday. The Giants are -127 favorites to keep the Phillies out of the win column in the series. San Francisco’s Carlos Rodon gets the start, and he’ll go against Philadelphia’s Ranger Suarez.

Giants vs. Phillies Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Giants vs. Phillies

After looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Phillies on the moneyline at +106. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Philadelphia Phillies (+106) and Over (7.5)

Giants vs. Phillies Game Info

• San Francisco Giants probable starting pitcher: Carlos Rodón
• Philadelphia Phillies probable starting pitcher: Ranger Suárez
• Game Day: Sunday, September 4, 2022
• Game Time: 4:05 PM ET
• Location: San Francisco, California
• Stadium: Oracle Park

San Francisco Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies Pitching Matchup

Giants Starter Carlos Rodón

• Rodon makes the start for the Giants, his 27th of the season. He is 12-7 with a 3.03 ERA and 191 strikeouts in 151 1/3 innings pitched.
• The lefty’s most recent time out was on Tuesday against the San Diego Padres, when he threw 4 2/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while giving up four hits.
• The 29-year-old has a 3.03 ERA and 11.4 strikeouts per nine innings in 26 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .207 to opposing hitters.
• Rodon enters this outing with 14 quality starts under his belt this season.
• Rodon has pitched five or more innings in a game 23 times this year entering this outing.
• The opposing Phillies offense has the seventh-ranked slugging percentage (.420) and is seventh in MLB play with 165 home runs. It has a collective .253 batting average, and is eighth in MLB with 1148 total hits and fifth in MLB play scoring 626 runs.
• Rodon has thrown five innings, giving up one earned run on six hits while striking out six against the Phillies this season.
• The 29-year-old’s 3.03 ERA ranks 16th, 1.057 WHIP ranks 16th, and 11.4 K/9 ranks first among qualifying pitchers this season.

Phillies Starter Ranger Suárez

• The Phillies will hand the ball to Suarez (8-5) for his 24th start of the season.
• The left-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw 3 2/3 innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks, giving up two earned runs while allowing five hits.
• The 27-year-old has pitched to a 3.42 ERA this season with 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.4 walks per nine across 23 games.
• He has earned a quality start eight times in 23 starts this season.
• Suarez has made 16 starts of five or more innings in 23 chances this season, and averages 5.1 frames when he pitches.
• The Giants are batting .234 this season, 23rd in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .389 (16th in the league) with 145 home runs.
• The Giants have gone 5-for-18 with two doubles and two RBI in one game against the left-hander this season.

Giants Betting Picks & Insights

• The Giants have won 52, or 57.8%, of the 90 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• San Francisco has entered 73 games this season favored by -127 or more and is 39-34 in those contests.
• The Giants have a 55.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• San Francisco’s games have gone over the total in 64 of their 132 chances.
• The Giants have an ATS record of 59-72-0 in 131 games with a spread this season.

Phillies Betting Picks & Insights

• The Phillies have come away with 22 wins in the 46 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Philadelphia has a win-loss record of 19-14 when favored by +106 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 48.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Philadelphia and their opponents have gone over in 68 of their 133 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 133 games with a line this season, the Phillies have a mark of 69-64-0 against the spread.

Giants Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Giants RBI leader this season is Wilmer Flores, who has knocked in 61 runs while hitting .244 with 16 home runs.
• Flores ranks 65th in home runs and 56th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Thairo Estrada has a club-leading .263 batting average.
• Of all major league hitters, Estrada ranks 140th in home runs and 87th in RBI.
• Estrada has seven straight games with at least one hit. During his last 10 games he is hitting .250 with a double, five walks and three RBI.
• Joc Pederson has racked up a team-best 21 home runs and 61 runs batted in.
• Pederson will look to build on his eight-game hitting in this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is batting .433 with a double, three home runs, five walks and 14 RBI.
• Mike Yastrzemski is hitting .208 with 24 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 53 walks.
• Yastrzemski is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .214 with two doubles and three walks.

Phillies Leaders & Batting Stats

• Kyle Schwarber has managed a team-high 36 home runs and has driven in 78 runs.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Schwarber’s home run total is second and his RBI tally is 19th.
• Rhys Hoskins has 25 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 64 walks while hitting .251.
• Hoskins is 18th overall in homers and 43rd in RBI this season.
• J.T. Realmuto is hitting .269 with 23 doubles, five triples, 14 home runs and 35 walks.
• Alec Bohm leads the Phillies with a team-high batting average of .289.