Giants vs. Reds Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/29/2022

by | May 29, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Giants vs. Reds Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/29/2022

The Cincinnati Reds (16-30) seek to complete a series sweep as they take a 2-0 lead into the finale versus the San Francisco Giants (24-21) at 11:35 AM ET on Sunday from Great American Ball Park. The Giants are favored (-146) by bookmakers to prevent the sweep and pick up their first win of the series. Alex Cobb starts for San Francisco while Tyler Mahle is Cincinnati’s starter for the contest.

Giants vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Giants vs Reds Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Giants -146 +125 9 -120 +100 -1.5 +110 -132

Computer Predictions for Giants vs. Reds

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+125) and Under (9)

Giants vs. Reds Game Info

  • San Francisco Giants probable starting pitcher: Alex Cobb
  • Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Tyler Mahle
  • Game Day: Sunday, May 29, 2022
  • Game Time: 11:35 AM ET
  • Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
  • Stadium: Great American Ball Park

San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Cobb Mahle
7 GS 10
3-2 W-L 2-5
6.25 ERA 6.32
31.2 IP 47.0
9 BB 23
39 SO 50

Giants Starter Alex Cobb

  • Cobb (3-2) takes the mound for the Giants in his eighth start of the season. He’s put together a 6.25 ERA in 31 2/3 innings pitched, with 39 strikeouts.
  • The righty’s most recent time out came on Tuesday against the New York Mets, when he tossed six innings, surrendering six earned runs while allowing 10 hits.
  • In seven games this season, the 34-year-old has an ERA of 6.25, with 11.1 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .303 against him.
  • Cobb has not recorded a quality start on the season.
  • Cobb will try to prolong a five-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.2 innings per outing).
  • He will match up with a Reds squad that is hitting .226 as a unit (26th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .365 (24th in MLB) with 41 total home runs (20th in MLB).

Reds Starter Tyler Mahle

  • The Reds will hand the ball to Mahle (2-5) for his 11th start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up eight earned runs and allowed nine hits in four innings against the Chicago Cubs.
  • The 27-year-old has pitched in 10 games this season with an ERA of 6.32 and 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .254.
  • He has started 10 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in two of them.
  • Mahle has started 10 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings five times. He averages 4.2 innings per appearance.
  • The Giants have scored 226 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB. They have 378 hits, 10th in baseball, with 53 home runs (seventh in the league).
  • The 27-year-old’s 6.32 ERA ranks 56th, 1.489 WHIP ranks 53rd, and 9.6 K/9 ranks 13th among qualified pitchers in the majors this year.

Giants Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Giants have won 22, or 57.9%, of the 38 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • San Francisco has a record of 11-9, a 55% win rate, when favored by -146 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Giants have a 59.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • San Francisco’s games have gone over the total in 25 of their 46 chances.
  • The Giants are 19-26-0 ATS in their 45 games with a spread this season.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 39 games this year and have walked away with the win 14 times (35.9%) in those games.
  • This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win nine times in 28 chances when named as an underdog of at least +125 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 44.4% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Cincinnati and their opponents have gone over in 26 of their 47 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Reds are 22-25-0 against the spread in their 47 games that had a posted line this season.

Giants Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Wilmer Flores has 10 doubles, four home runs and 12 walks while batting .267.
  • Of all batters in baseball, Flores ranks 105th in home runs and 31st in RBI.
  • Flores carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .333 with two doubles and an RBI.
  • Joc Pederson has hit 11 home runs with 26 runs batted in. Both pace his team.
  • Pederson enters this game looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .438 with a double, four home runs, two walks and 12 RBI.
  • Mike Yastrzemski paces the Giants with a .308 batting average.
  • Thairo Estrada has 11 doubles, two home runs and nine walks while batting .271.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Wilmer Flores 41 .267 .325 .418 4 25 39
Joc Pederson 37 .264 .336 .600 11 26 29
Mike Yastrzemski 36 .308 .411 .496 4 15 36
Thairo Estrada 43 .271 .310 .381 2 20 42
Darin Ruf 44 .224 .354 .320 3 17 33

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Brandon Drury has posted a team-high eight home runs and has driven in 26 runs.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Drury’s home run total ranks 33rd and his RBI tally ranks 25th.
  • Drury carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .208 with a double, a home run and four RBI.
  • Kyle Farmer has 11 doubles, four home runs and eight walks while batting .254.
  • Among all MLB hitters, Farmer ranks 105th in home runs and 31st in RBI.
  • Tyler Naquin leads the Reds’ lineup with a .258 batting average.
  • Tyler Stephenson is hitting .308 with six doubles, four home runs and nine walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Brandon Drury 38 .239 .312 .486 8 26 33
Kyle Farmer 39 .254 .309 .420 4 25 35
Tyler Naquin 37 .258 .315 .470 5 22 34
Tyler Stephenson 33 .308 .370 .477 4 24 33
Mike Moustakas 33 .218 .320 .345 3 10 24

Betting Tips for Giants vs. Reds

After analyzing all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Reds on the moneyline at +125. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going under the total of 9 runs.

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