Guardians vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/2/2022

by | Aug 2, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Arizona Diamondbacks 9 Guardians vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/2/2022

The Cleveland Guardians (53-49) are -138 favorites when they take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (45-57) on Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET. Steven Kwan has 99 hits on the season and will hope to hit his milestone 100th once the game begins at Progressive Field. Cleveland’s Triston McKenzie gets the start, and he’ll go against Arizona’s Zac Gallen.

Guardians vs. Diamondbacks Spread and Betting Line

Guardians vs Diamondbacks Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Guardians -138 +117 7.5 -117 -104 -1.5 +155 -187

Computer Predictions for Guardians vs. Diamondbacks

After looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at +117. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (+117) and Over (7.5)

Guardians vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

  • Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie
  • Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Zac Gallen
  • Game Day: Tuesday, August 2, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Location: Cleveland, Ohio
  • Stadium: Progressive Field

Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

McKenzie Gallen
18 GS 19
7-7 W-L 5-2
3.24 ERA 3.32
114.0 IP 105.2
30 BB 29
106 SO 101

Guardians Starter Triston McKenzie

  • McKenzie makes the start for the Guardians, his 19th of the season. He is 7-7 with a 3.24 ERA and 106 strikeouts in 114 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent appearance on Thursday against the Boston Red Sox, the right-hander tossed 7 2/3 innings, allowing four earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • The 25-year-old has an ERA of 3.24, with 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings, in 19 games this season. Opponents are hitting .200 against him.
  • McKenzie has 10 quality starts under his belt this year.
  • McKenzie will look to pitch five or more innings for his seventh straight start. He’s averaging 6.0 frames per outing.
  • He will match up with a Diamondbacks offense that ranks 28th in MLB with 750 total hits (on a .223 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .383 (19th in MLB) with 115 total home runs (11th in MLB).
  • Among pitchers who qualify in MLB action this season, the 25-year-old ranks 24th in ERA (3.24), 10th in WHIP (.982), and 32nd in K/9 (8.4).

Diamondbacks Starter Zac Gallen

  • Gallen (5-2) will take to the mound for the Diamondbacks and make his 20th start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in 5 2/3 innings against the San Francisco Giants.
  • The 26-year-old has pitched in 19 games this season with an ERA of 3.32 and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .205.
  • He has earned a quality start 10 times in 19 starts this season.
  • Gallen has eight starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • The Guardians have scored 450 runs this season, which ranks 16th in MLB. They have 880 hits, seventh in baseball, with 82 home runs (28th in the league).
  • The 26-year-old’s 3.32 ERA ranks 30th, 1.022 WHIP ranks 15th, and 8.6 K/9 ranks 28th among qualified pitchers in the majors this season.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Guardians have won 31 out of the 49 games, or 63.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • This season, Cleveland has won 21 of its 28 games, or 75%, when favored by at least -138 on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 58% chance to win.
  • Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 52 of their 110 chances.
  • The Guardians are 58-52-0 against the spread this season.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Diamondbacks have won in 35, or 42.2%, of the 83 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Arizona has a win-loss record of 21-37 when favored by +117 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 46.1% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Arizona and their opponents have hit the over in 48 of their 107 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Diamondbacks are 61-46-0 against the spread in their 107 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

  • The Guardians best power option comes in the form of Jose Ramirez and his 21-homer 84-RBI season, both team highs.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Ramirez’s home run total ranks him 17th, and his RBI tally puts him third.
  • Amed Rosario is batting .294 with 18 doubles, six triples, five home runs and 20 walks.
  • Rosario ranks 214th in home runs and 112th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Rosario heads into this game looking for his fifth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with a home run, a walk and three RBI.
  • Kwan is hitting .297 with 16 doubles, three triples, two home runs and 35 walks.
  • Kwan has at least one base hit in 15 straight games. During his last 10 outings he is batting .340 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
  • Andres Gimenez’s .303 batting average leads his team.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
José Ramírez 98 .287 .362 .566 21 84 108
Amed Rosario 96 .294 .329 .408 5 38 116
Steven Kwan 90 .297 .370 .381 2 28 99
Andrés Giménez 91 .303 .365 .495 12 51 90
Josh Naylor 71 .278 .330 .506 14 53 72

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Christian Walker has put up a team-high 24 home runs and has driven in 55 runs.
  • Walker’s home run total places him eighth in the big leagues, and he is 31st in RBI.
  • Walker takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .143 with a double, a home run and three RBI.
  • Ketel Marte is batting .261 to lead the lineup.
  • Marte ranks 106th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 126th in RBI.
  • Daulton Varsho is hitting .239 with 15 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 31 walks.
  • Josh Rojas is batting .276 with 14 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 29 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Christian Walker 100 .200 .304 .445 24 55 71
Ketel Marte 92 .261 .350 .455 10 36 86
Daulton Varsho 93 .239 .311 .423 14 49 79
Josh Rojas 71 .276 .348 .409 6 29 70
Alek Thomas 71 .252 .308 .393 7 25 61

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