Guardians vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/3/2022

The Cleveland Guardians (53-50) host the Arizona Diamondbacks (46-57) Wednesday to close out a three-game series. The Guardians are favored (-234) to win the rubber match, which starts at 1:10 PM ET from Progressive Field. Cleveland’s Shane Bieber gets the start, and he’ll go against Arizona’s Tommy Henry.

Guardians vs. Diamondbacks Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Guardians vs. Diamondbacks

Our best bet is the Diamondbacks on the moneyline at +195 after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Arizona Diamondbacks (+195) and Over (8.5)

Guardians vs. Diamondbacks Game Info

• Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Shane Bieber
• Arizona Diamondbacks probable starting pitcher: Tommy Henry
• Game Day: Wednesday, August 3, 2022
• Game Time: 1:10 PM ET
• Location: Cleveland, Ohio
• Stadium: Progressive Field

Cleveland Guardians vs Arizona Diamondbacks Pitching Matchup

Guardians Starter Shane Bieber

• Bieber gets the start for the Guardians, his 20th of the season. He is 5-6 with a 3.41 ERA and 118 strikeouts through 118 2/3 innings pitched.
• His most recent appearance came on Friday against the Tampa Bay Rays, when the right-hander threw seven innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up five hits.
• The 27-year-old has a 3.41 ERA and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings in 19 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .239 to his opponents.
• Bieber has recorded 13 quality starts this season.
• Bieber is seeking his ninth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.1 innings per appearance on the mound.
• The opposing Diamondbacks offense has the 19th-ranked slugging percentage (.386) and is 11th in MLB play with 117 home runs. It has a collective .225 batting average, and is 28th in MLB with 764 total hits and 20th in MLB play scoring 437 runs.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 27-year-old ranks 31st in ERA (3.41), 28th in WHIP (1.138), and 20th in K/9 (8.9).

Diamondbacks Starter Tommy Henry

• Henry gets the nod for the Diamondbacks and will make his first start of the season.
• This will be the first MLB start for the 25-year-old left-hander.
• The Guardians rank seventh in MLB with a .252 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 17th in the league (.387) and 82 home runs.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Guardians have been favored 50 times and won 31, or 62%, of those games.
• Cleveland has played as a favorite of -234 or more twice this season and won both games.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 70.1% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
• So far this season, Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 53 of their 111 games with a total.
• The Guardians are 58-53-0 ATS in their 111 games with a spread this season.

Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Insights

• The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 84 games this season and have come away with the win 36 times (42.9%) in those contests.
• Arizona has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +195 or worse on the moneyline this season.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 33.9% chance of pulling out a win.
• Arizona’s games have gone over the total in 49 of their 108 opportunities.
• The Diamondbacks have an against the spread record of 62-46-0 in 108 games with a line this season.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jose Ramirez paces the Guardians with 21 home runs and 85 runs batted in.
• Ramirez’s home runs put him 17th in the majors, and he ranks third in RBI.
• Amed Rosario is hitting .291 with 18 doubles, six triples, five home runs and 20 walks.
• Rosario ranks 218th in home runs and 117th in RBI on the year.
• Steven Kwan has 17 doubles, three triples, two home runs and 36 walks while batting .298.
• Kwan has at least one base hit in 16 straight games. In his last 10 outings he is batting .356 with three doubles, a home run, four walks and two RBI.
• Andres Gimenez’s .304 batting average paces his team.
• Gimenez brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .421 with three doubles, a home run, three walks and five RBI.

Diamondbacks Leaders & Batting Stats

• Christian Walker paces the Diamondbacks in home runs (25) and runs batted in (58).
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Walker ranks eighth in homers and 23rd in RBI.
• Walker brings a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .190 with a double, two home runs and six RBI.
• Ketel Marte’s .260 batting average is a team-high mark.
• Marte ranks 107th among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 135th in RBI.
• Daulton Varsho is hitting .236 with 15 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 31 walks.
• Josh Rojas is hitting .268 with 13 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 30 walks.