Guardians vs. Mariners Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/25/2022

The Cleveland Guardians (66-56) will look to Jose Ramirez, who is coming off a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the Seattle Mariners (67-57) Thursday at 4:10 PM ET. The Guardians are -118 favorites for the contest, according to sportsbooks. Cleveland’s Triston McKenzie and Seattle’s Marco Gonzales have been named the starters for this contest.

Guardians vs. Mariners Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Guardians vs. Mariners

After analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Mariners on the moneyline at -102. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Seattle Mariners (-102) and Over (7.5)

Guardians vs. Mariners Game Info

• Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie
• Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales
• Game Day: Thursday, August 25, 2022
• Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
• Location: Seattle, Washington
• Stadium: T-Mobile Park

Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners Pitching Matchup

Guardians Starter Triston McKenzie

• McKenzie aims for his 10th win when he gets the start for the Guardians, his 23rd of the season. He is 9-9 with a 3.11 ERA and 138 strikeouts in 141 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his last appearance on Friday, the righty threw 7 2/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox, giving up two earned runs while surrendering six hits.
• The 25-year-old has an ERA of 3.11, with 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings, in 23 games this season. Opponents are batting .200 against him.
• McKenzie is seeking his fourth quality start in a row.
• McKenzie will aim to last five or more innings for his 11th straight start. He’s averaging 6.0 innings per outing.
• The opposing Mariners offense has the 19th-ranked slugging percentage (.384) and ranks 12th in MLB play with 139 home runs. It has a collective .232 batting average, and is 22nd in MLB with 958 total hits and 22nd in MLB action scoring 513 runs.
• The 25-year-old’s 3.11 ERA ranks 23rd, .960 WHIP ranks sixth, and 8.8 K/9 ranks 20th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Mariners Starter Marco Gonzales

• Gonzales (8-12) will take the mound for the Mariners, his 25th start of the season.
• The left-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw 5 1/3 innings against the Oakland Athletics, giving up one earned run while allowing six hits.
• The 30-year-old has an ERA of 4.08, a 1.786 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.411 in 24 games this season.
• He has earned a quality start 13 times in 24 starts this season.
• Gonzales has 12 starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Guardians have scored 531 runs this season, which ranks 16th in MLB. They are batting .252 for the campaign with 99 home runs, 29th in the league.
• Among qualified pitchers this campaign, the 30-year-old’s 4.08 ERA ranks 42nd, 1.411 WHIP ranks 49th, and 5.0 K/9 ranks 54th.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Guardians have won 38 out of the 59 games, or 64.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Cleveland has a record of 35-19, a 64.8% win rate, when favored by -118 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Guardians, based on the moneyline, is 54.1%.
• So far this season, Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 58 of their 129 games with a total.
• The Guardians are 70-59-0 ATS in their 129 games with a spread this season.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mariners have won in 31, or 44.3%, of the 70 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Seattle has a win-loss record of 25-33 when favored by -102 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 50.5% chance of walking away with the win.
• Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 60 of their 124 opportunities.
• The Mariners have posted a record of 64-60-0 against the spread this season.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ramirez is the Guardians best power hitter, hitting 25 homers this season in addition to collecting 103 RBI, both team highs.
• Among all MLB batters, Ramirez is 26th in batting average, 27th in on-base percentage, and seventh in slugging.
• Ramirez carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .389 with a double, three home runs, two walks and seven RBI.
• Steven Kwan is batting .298 with 19 doubles, five triples, three home runs and 45 walks.
• Kwan is 301st in homers and 185th in RBI on the year.
• Amed Rosario is batting .283 with 21 doubles, seven triples, eight home runs and 23 walks.
• Rosario has at least one base hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .250 with a walk and two RBI.
• Andres Gimenez has a club-high .309 batting average.

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

• Julio Rodriguez is batting .271 with 19 doubles, three triples, 20 home runs and 29 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .328.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Rodriguez ranks 35th in homers and 36th in RBI.
• Ty France’s .278 batting average paces his team.
• France is currently 82nd in home runs and 39th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Eugenio Suarez has been a significant run producer for the Mariners with 23 home runs and 71 runs batted in.
• J.P. Crawford is batting .256 with 21 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 46 walks.