Guardians vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/30/2022

The Baltimore Orioles (67-60), led by Cedric Mullins on an 11-game hitting streak, will meet the Cleveland Guardians (67-59) Tuesday at Progressive Field. The Guardians are -150 favorites for the matchup, which starts at 6:10 PM ET . Cleveland’s Cal Quantrill gets the start, and he’ll go against Baltimore’s Spenser Watkins.

Guardians vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Guardians vs. Orioles

We have the Orioles on the moneyline at +130 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+130) and Over (8.5)

Guardians vs. Orioles Game Info

• Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill
• Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Spenser Watkins
• Game Day: Tuesday, August 30, 2022
• Game Time: 6:10 PM ET
• Location: Cleveland, Ohio
• Stadium: Progressive Field

Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Guardians Starter Cal Quantrill

• Quantrill (10-5 with a 3.59 ERA and 94 strikeouts in 143 innings pitched) makes the start for the Guardians, his 25th of the season.
• The right-hander’s most recent time out was on Wednesday against the San Diego Padres, when he tossed 7 2/3 scoreless innings while giving up five hits.
• The 27-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.59, with 5.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 24 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .250 batting average against him.
• Quantrill has 13 quality starts under his belt this year.
• Quantrill is aiming for his 10th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.3 innings per appearance on the mound.
• He will take the hill against an Orioles squad that is hitting .237 as a unit (21st in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .391 (14th in MLB) with 132 total home runs (15th in MLB).
• This season, the 27-year-old ranks 36th in ERA (3.59), 39th in WHIP (1.203), and 53rd in K/9 (5.9) among pitchers who qualify.

Orioles Starter Spenser Watkins

• Watkins (4-4) will take to the mound for the Orioles and make his 18th start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed five hits in 6 2/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox.
• The 30-year-old has an ERA of 3.96 and 5.7 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .262 in 18 games this season.
• He has four quality starts in 17 chances this season.
• Watkins has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Guardians rank 10th in MLB with a .250 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 18th in the league (.383) and 100 home runs.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

• The Guardians have won 38, or 62.3%, of the 61 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• This season, Cleveland has won 22 of its 31 games, or 71%, when favored by at least -150 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 60% chance to win.
• So far this season, Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 58 of their 133 games with a total.
• The Guardians are 71-62-0 ATS in their 133 games with a spread this season.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

• The Orioles have been underdogs in 111 games this season and have come away with the win 56 times (50.5%) in those contests.
• This season, Baltimore has been victorious 31 times in 65 chances when named as an underdog of at least +130 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 43.5% chance of walking away with the win.
• Baltimore and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 57 of their 128 opportunities.
• The Orioles have an against the spread record of 85-43-0 in 128 games with a line this season.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians in home runs (26) and runs batted in (106).
• Among all MLB hitters, Ramirez ranks 27th in batting average, 32nd in on-base percentage, and seventh in slugging.
• Steven Kwan is hitting .298 with 20 doubles, five triples, three home runs and 47 walks.
• Kwan is 306th in homers and 187th in RBI on the season.
• Amed Rosario has 22 doubles, seven triples, eight home runs and 23 walks while batting .283.
• Andres Gimenez has a club-best .302 batting average.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

• Anthony Santander leads the Orioles with 23 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 73.
• Santander’s home run total places him 28th in the big leagues, and he is 23rd in RBI.
• Santander carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with a double, two home runs, a walk and five RBI.
• Mullins’ .267 batting average leads his team.
• Mullins is 129th in homers and 97th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Austin Hays is batting .256 with 29 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 26 walks.
• Ryan Mountcastle is hitting .244 with 24 doubles, 18 home runs and 29 walks.