Guardians vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/1/2022

The Cleveland Guardians (68-60) and the Baltimore Orioles (68-61) meet in the rubber match of a three-game series on Thursday at 6:10 PM ET. The Guardians are -185 favorites on the moneyline to win the series over the Orioles (+157). Cleveland’s Shane Bieber and Baltimore’s Kyle Bradish have been named the starters for this contest.

Guardians vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Guardians vs. Orioles

After looking at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Orioles on the moneyline at +157. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+157) and Over (7.5)

Guardians vs. Orioles Game Info

• Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Shane Bieber
• Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Kyle Bradish
• Game Day: Thursday, September 1, 2022
• Game Time: 6:10 PM ET
• Location: Cleveland, Ohio
• Stadium: Progressive Field

Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Guardians Starter Shane Bieber

• Bieber (8-7) takes the mound for the Guardians in his 25th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.02 ERA in 152 innings pitched, with 153 strikeouts.
• In his last appearance on Saturday, the righty went seven innings against the Seattle Mariners, allowing one earned run while surrendering five hits.
• In 24 games this season, the 27-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.02, with 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .234 against him.
• Bieber is looking to continue a sixth-game quality start streak in this outing.
• Bieber will try to continue a 14-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.1 frames per outing).
• The opposing Orioles offense has the 15th-ranked slugging percentage (.389) and ranks 15th in MLB play with 134 home runs. It has a collective .236 batting average, and is 21st in MLB with 1022 total hits and 20th in MLB play scoring 543 runs.
• Head-to-head against the Orioles this season, Bieber has thrown seven innings, giving up two earned runs on three hits while striking out 11.
• The 27-year-old ranks 17th in ERA (3.02), 21st in WHIP (1.086), and 11th in K/9 (9.1) among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season.

Orioles Starter Kyle Bradish

• Bradish (2-5) will take to the mound for the Orioles and make his 17th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw eight scoreless innings against the Houston Astros while allowing two hits.
• The 25-year-old has pitched to a 5.63 ERA this season with 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.3 walks per nine across 16 games.
• In 16 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in three of them.
• Bradish has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Guardians rank 10th in MLB with a .250 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 21st in the league (.382) and 101 home runs.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

• The Guardians have won 39, or 61.9%, of the 63 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Cleveland has a record of 7-3, a 70% win rate, when favored by -185 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The Guardians have a 64.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 58 of their 135 games with a total this season.
• The Guardians are 72-63-0 against the spread this season.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

• The Orioles have been chosen as underdogs in 113 games this year and have walked away with the win 57 times (50.4%) in those games.
• Baltimore has a win-loss record of 14-22 when favored by +157 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 38.9% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Baltimore and their opponents have hit the over in 57 of their 130 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Orioles have posted a record of 86-44-0 against the spread this season.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jose Ramirez has racked up a team-high 26 home runs and 106 runs batted in.
• Among all hitters in baseball, Ramirez is 18th in home runs and second in RBI.
• Ramirez brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .300 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
• Steven Kwan is hitting .295 with 21 doubles, five triples, three home runs and 48 walks.
• Kwan ranks 311th in home runs and 178th in RBI on the season.
• Amed Rosario is hitting .283 with 22 doubles, seven triples, eight home runs and 23 walks.
• Andres Gimenez is hitting .302 to pace his team.

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

• Anthony Santander has managed a team-leading 23 home runs and has driven in 73 runs.
• In all of the big leagues, Santander ranks 29th in home runs and 26th in RBI.
• Cedric Mullins has a club-leading .264 batting average.
• Mullins ranks 136th in homers and 103rd in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Austin Hays is batting .252 with 29 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 26 walks.
• Ryan Mountcastle is batting .243 with 24 doubles, 18 home runs and 30 walks.