Guardians vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/25/2022

The Cleveland Guardians (36-30), led by Jose Ramirez on a 13-game hitting streak, will meet the Boston Red Sox (40-31) Saturday at Progressive Field. The Guardians are -160 favorites for the matchup, which starts at 6:10 PM ET. Cleveland’s Shane Bieber gets the start, and he’ll go against Boston’s Josh Winckowski.

Guardians vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Guardians vs. Red Sox

Our best bet is the Red Sox on the moneyline at +137 after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+137) and Over (8.5)

Guardians vs. Red Sox Game Info

• Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Shane Bieber
• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Josh Winckowski
• Game Day: Saturday, June 25, 2022
• Game Time: 6:10 PM ET
• Location: Cleveland, Ohio
• Stadium: Progressive Field

Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Guardians Starter Shane Bieber

• Bieber (3-3 with a 3.12 ERA and 84 strikeouts in 78 innings pitched) gets the start for the Guardians, his 14th of the season.
• His most recent appearance was on Sunday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when the right-hander threw 6 1/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing seven hits.
• The 27-year-old has a 3.12 ERA and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings across 13 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .251 to his opponents.
• Bieber is looking to build upon a second-game quality start streak in this matchup.
• Bieber will look to last five or more innings for his third straight appearance. He’s averaging 6.0 frames per outing.
• He will take the mound against a Red Sox team that is hitting .259 as a unit (second in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .417 (sixth in MLB) with 69 total home runs (19th in MLB).
• This season, the 27-year-old ranks 23rd in ERA (3.12), 34th in WHIP (1.179), and 14th in K/9 (9.7) among qualifying pitchers.

Red Sox Starter Josh Winckowski

• The Red Sox will send Winckowski (2-1) to the mound for his fourth start this season.
• The right-hander gave up two earned runs in 6 2/3 innings pitched on Monday in his last outing, a matchup with the Detroit Tigers.
• The 23-year-old has an ERA of 3.68, a 1.8 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.500 in three games this season.
• He has one quality starts in three chances this season.
• Winckowski has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Guardians rank 16th in MLB with 303 runs scored this season. They have a .251 batting average this campaign with 54 home runs (28th in the league).

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Guardians have been favored 32 times and won 21, or 65.6%, of those games.
• Cleveland has a record of 6-2 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -160 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 61.5% chance to win.
• Games involving Cleveland have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 34 of 71 chances this season.
• The Guardians are 39-32-0 ATS in their 71 games with a spread this season.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have been victorious in 12, or 42.9%, of the 28 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• The Red Sox have won all of their three games in which they were named as at least a +137 moneyline underdog.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 42.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Boston and their opponents have gone over in 27 of their 71 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Red Sox have posted a record of 39-32-0 against the spread this season.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ramirez has gone yard 16 times in the 2022 campaign while knocking in 62 runs, both totals that lead the Guardians.
• Of all hitters in the majors, Ramirez’s home run total ranks him 15th, and his RBI tally ranks him second.
• Ramirez carries a 13-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is hitting .326 with six doubles, a walk and six RBI.
• Andres Gimenez’s .314 batting average is a team-high mark.
• Gimenez ranks 82nd in homers and 58th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Gimenez carries a five-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with a double, a home run and three RBI.
• Josh Naylor has 13 doubles, eight home runs and 15 walks while batting .280.
• Naylor will look to build on his four-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .316 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and four RBI.
• Amed Rosario has 10 doubles, four triples, two home runs and 11 walks while hitting .278.
• Rosario has recorded at least one hit in four straight games. In his last five games he is batting .348 with a home run and two RBI.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rafael Devers has a team-best 17 home runs.
• Devers is 10th in home runs and 23rd in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Devers carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .294 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and two RBI.
• Xander Bogaerts is batting .335 to lead the lineup.
• Among all MLB hitters, Bogaerts is 126th in homers and 83rd in RBI.
• J.D. Martinez is hitting .325 with 23 doubles, eight home runs and 26 walks.
• Trevor Story has put up a team-leading 48 runs batted in.