Guardians vs. Royals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/10/2022

by | Jul 10, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Guardians vs. Royals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/10/2022

The Cleveland Guardians (41-41) will meet the Kansas City Royals (31-52) on Sunday at 2:10 PM ET. Andrew Benintendi will be looking for his 98th hit of the season for the underdog Royals (+101) when the game gets underway at Kauffman Stadium. Zach Plesac will get the ball for Cleveland while Kansas City counter with Zack Greinke.

Guardians vs. Royals Spread and Betting Line

Guardians vs Royals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Guardians -120 +101 9 +101 -121 -1.5 +136 -162

Computer Predictions for Guardians vs. Royals

Our best bet is the Royals on the moneyline at +101 after digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Kansas City Royals (+101) and Over (9)

Guardians vs. Royals Game Info

  • Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Zach Plesac
  • Kansas City Royals probable starting pitcher: Zack Greinke
  • Game Day: Sunday, July 10, 2022
  • Game Time: 2:10 PM ET
  • Location: Kansas City, Missouri
  • Stadium: Kauffman Stadium

Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals Pitching Matchup

Plesac Greinke
15 GS 13
2-6 W-L 2-5
3.80 ERA 4.85
85.1 IP 68.2
22 BB 13
60 SO 34

Guardians Starter Zach Plesac

  • Plesac (2-6 with a 3.80 ERA and 60 strikeouts in 85 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Guardians, his 16th of the season.
  • The righty’s most recent appearance was on Monday against the Detroit Tigers, when he threw 6 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • The 27-year-old has an ERA of 3.80, with 6.3 strikeouts per nine innings, in 15 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .250 batting average against him.
  • Plesac is looking to record his eighth straight quality start in this matchup.
  • Plesac will try to go five or more innings for his eighth straight start. He’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing.
  • He will match up with a Royals offense that ranks 19th in MLB with 673 total hits (on a .240 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .377 (23rd in MLB) with 71 total home runs (24th in MLB).
  • In 11 2/3 innings over two appearances against the Royals this season, Plesac has a 0.77 ERA and a 0.686 WHIP while his opponents are hitting .186.
  • This season, the 27-year-old ranks 39th in ERA (3.80), 40th in WHIP (1.230), and 58th in K/9 (6.3) among qualifying pitchers.

Royals Starter Zack Greinke

  • The Royals will send Greinke (2-5) to the mound for his 14th start this season.
  • The right-hander gave up six earned runs in 5 2/3 innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Houston Astros.
  • The 38-year-old has pitched in 13 games this season with an ERA of 4.85, a 2.615 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.311.
  • He has earned a quality start four times in 13 starts this season.
  • Greinke has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • The Guardians are batting .247 this season, 11th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .384 (19th in the league) with 66 home runs.
  • The Guardians have gone 5-for-21 with a double and an RBI in one game against the right-hander this season.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Guardians have been favorites in 41 games this season and won 25 (61%) of those contests.
  • Cleveland has entered 36 games this season favored by -120 or more and is 21-15 in those contests.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
  • So far this season, Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 41 of their 88 games with a total.
  • In 88 games with a spread this season, the Guardians are 44-44-0 ATS.

Royals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Royals have won in 27, or 37.5%, of the 72 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Kansas City has a mark of 21-41 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +101 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Royals have an implied victory probability of 49.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Kansas City and their opponents have hit the over in 41 of their 86 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Royals are 37-49-0 against the spread in their 86 games that had a posted line this season.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

  • The Guardians best power option comes in the form of Jose Ramirez and his 17-home-run 66-RBI season, both team highs.
  • Ramirez ranks 19th in homers and second in RBI among all batters in baseball.
  • Ramirez carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with three doubles, a home run and three RBI.
  • Amed Rosario is hitting .279 with 12 doubles, five triples, four home runs and 17 walks.
  • Rosario is 230th in homers in the majors, and 168th in RBI.
  • Rosario enters this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .200 with a home run, a walk and two RBI.
  • Steven Kwan has 11 doubles, three triples, a home run and 30 walks while batting .279.
  • Kwan will look to build on his three-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .273 with three doubles, a walk and three RBI.
  • Josh Naylor is batting .280 with 13 doubles, 11 home runs and 17 walks.
  • Naylor has recorded at least one hit in five straight games. In his last five games he is batting .500 with two home runs, two walks and two RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
José Ramírez 79 .294 .375 .589 17 66 88
Amed Rosario 76 .279 .319 .390 4 25 86
Steven Kwan 70 .279 .363 .361 1 23 68
Josh Naylor 56 .280 .338 .510 11 43 56
Andrés Giménez 71 .300 .355 .481 9 41 70

Royals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Whit Merrifield is hitting .235 with 18 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 28 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .288.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Merrifield’s home run total is 195th and his RBI tally is 85th.
  • Benintendi has a club-leading .317 batting average.
  • Benintendi is currently 258th in home runs and 102nd in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has been solid source of run production for the Royals with 12 long balls and 42 runs batted in.
  • Hunter Dozier is batting .266 with 17 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 22 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Whit Merrifield 83 .235 .288 .339 5 36 79
Andrew Benintendi 82 .317 .387 .402 3 34 97
Bobby Witt Jr. 79 .239 .288 .443 12 42 73
Hunter Dozier 73 .266 .329 .446 9 30 71
Michael A. Taylor 63 .265 .342 .382 5 24 54

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