Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/21/2022

by | May 21, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/21/2022

The Detroit Tigers (13-26) will try to end their three-game losing streak when they visit the Cleveland Guardians (17-19) on Saturday at 6:10 PM ET. Bookmakers consider the Guardians to be -188 favorites for the contest, while the Tigers are +161 underdogs looking for the upset. Shane Bieber takes the mound for Cleveland while Alex Faedo is Detroit’s starter for the contest.

Guardians vs. Tigers Spread and Betting Line

Guardians vs Tigers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Guardians -188 +161 8 -108 -112 -1.5 +110 -132

Computer Predictions for Guardians vs. Tigers

Our computer pick: Detroit Tigers (+161) and Over (8)

Guardians vs. Tigers Game Info

  • Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Shane Bieber
  • Detroit Tigers probable starting pitcher: Alex Faedo
  • Game Day: Saturday, May 21, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:10 PM ET
  • Location: Cleveland, Ohio
  • Stadium: Progressive Field

Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Pitching Matchup

Bieber Faedo
7 GS 3
1-2 W-L 0-1
3.96 ERA 2.87
38.2 IP 15.2
12 BB 4
36 SO 12

Guardians Starter Shane Bieber

  • Bieber makes the start for the Guardians, his eighth of the season. He is 1-2 with a 3.96 ERA and 36 strikeouts in 38 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Saturday, the right-hander tossed six innings against the Minnesota Twins, giving up one earned run while surrendering seven hits.
  • The 26-year-old has amassed a 3.96 ERA and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings across seven games this season, while allowing a batting average of .257 to his opponents.
  • Bieber is looking to record his fifth quality start of the season.
  • Bieber is trying to record his sixth start of five or more innings this season in this outing.
  • The opposing Tigers offense has a collective .218 batting average, and is 28th in the league with 274 total hits and last in MLB action with 106 runs scored. It has the worst slugging percentage (.312) and ranks last in home runs (20) in all of MLB.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 26-year-old ranks 42nd in ERA (3.96), 48th in WHIP (1.293), and 25th in K/9 (8.4).

Tigers Starter Alex Faedo

  • Faedo (0-1) will take the mound for the Tigers, his fourth start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in 5 2/3 innings pitched against the Tampa Bay Rays on Monday.
  • The 26-year-old has pitched in three games this season with an ERA of 2.87 and 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .271.
  • Faedo will look to pitch five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
  • The Guardians rank sixth in MLB with a .247 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks ninth in the league (.395) and 33 home runs.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Guardians have won eight, or 61.5%, of the 13 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Cleveland has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -188.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Guardians, based on the moneyline, is 65.3%.
  • Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 22 of their 40 chances.
  • The Guardians are 20-20-0 against the spread this season.

Tigers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Tigers have been underdogs in 27 games this season and have come away with the win eight times (29.6%) in those contests.
  • This year, Detroit has won two of nine games when listed as at least +161 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 38.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Contests with Detroit have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 11 of 39 chances this season.
  • The Tigers have posted a record of 16-23-0 against the spread this season.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Not only does Jose Ramirez lead the Guardians in hitting with his .287 average, he also is their premier power option with nine home runs and 37 RBI.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Ramirez’s home run total ranks him 10th, and his RBI tally ranks him first.
  • Ramirez carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .200 with a triple, two home runs, a walk and five RBI.
  • Owen Miller is batting .286 with 12 doubles, four home runs and 11 walks.
  • Miller ranks 75th in homers and 91st in RBI among all batters in the majors.
  • Myles Straw has eight doubles, a triple and 22 walks while hitting .254.
  • Steven Kwan has six doubles, a triple, a home run and 17 walks while batting .265.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
José Ramírez 36 .287 .380 .588 9 37 39
Owen Miller 30 .286 .342 .514 4 16 30
Myles Straw 36 .254 .354 .328 0 6 34
Steven Kwan 29 .265 .374 .373 1 13 27
Andrés Giménez 32 .310 .327 .530 4 20 31

Tigers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Jeimer Candelario has six doubles, a triple, three home runs and nine walks while batting .201.
  • Candelario’s home run total puts him 121st in the big leagues, and he ranks 155th in RBI.
  • Miguel Cabrera has 14 runs batted in while batting .276. Both lead his team.
  • Cabrera is 121st overall in home runs and 123rd in RBI this season.
  • Jonathan Schoop is batting .157 with four doubles, three home runs and six walks.
  • Spencer Torkelson has swatted a team-high four home runs.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Jeimer Candelario 37 .201 .257 .328 3 12 27
Miguel Cabrera 34 .276 .321 .390 3 14 34
Jonathan Schoop 38 .157 .203 .250 3 8 22
Spencer Torkelson 35 .179 .290 .321 4 11 19
Harold Castro 23 .288 .304 .409 1 6 19

Betting Tips for Guardians vs. Tigers

Our best bet is the Tigers on the moneyline at +161 after looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 8 runs.

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