Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/28/2022

by | May 27, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 5/28/2022

The Cleveland Guardians (18-23) will try to put a stop to their current three-game losing streak when they visit the Detroit Tigers (16-28) at 4:10 PM ET Saturday. Bookmakers consider the Guardians to be -142 favorites to end their skid, while the Tigers are +123 underdogs looking for the upset. Cleveland’s Triston McKenzie and Detroit’s Elvin Rodriguez have been named the starters for this contest.

Guardians vs. Tigers Spread and Betting Line

Guardians vs Tigers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Guardians -142 +123 7.5 -110 -110 -1.5 +125 -145

Computer Predictions for Guardians vs. Tigers

Our computer pick: Detroit Tigers (+123) and Over (7.5)

Guardians vs. Tigers Game Info

  • Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie
  • Detroit Tigers probable starting pitcher: Elvin Rodriguez
  • Game Day: Saturday, May 28, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Location: Detroit, Michigan
  • Stadium: Comerica Park

Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Pitching Matchup

McKenzie Rodriguez
7 GS 1
3-3 W-L 0-0
2.70 ERA 9.39
43.1 IP 7.2
12 BB 5
37 SO 6

Guardians Starter Triston McKenzie

  • McKenzie makes the start for the Guardians, his eighth of the season. He is 3-3 with a 2.70 ERA and 37 strikeouts in 43 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent time out on Tuesday, the right-hander threw seven innings against the Houston Astros, giving up one earned run while surrendering three hits.
  • In eight games this season, the 24-year-old has amassed an ERA of 2.70, with 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .181 against him.
  • McKenzie is aiming for his fifth quality start in a row.
  • McKenzie will try to continue a six-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.1 frames per appearance).
  • The opposing Tigers offense has a collective .219 batting average, and is last in the league with 313 total hits and last in MLB action with 122 runs scored. It has the worst slugging percentage (.318) and ranks last in home runs (25) in all of MLB.
  • The 24-year-old ranks 18th in ERA (2.70), sixth in WHIP (.900), and 32nd in K/9 (7.7) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Tigers Starter Elvin Rodriguez

  • The Tigers will send Rodriguez to the mound for his second start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Monday, when he threw five innings against the Minnesota Twins, giving up four earned runs.
  • He has pitched in two games this season with an ERA of 9.39, a batting average against of .241 and 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • The Guardians are batting .242 this season, 11th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .384 (17th in the league) with 36 home runs.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Guardians have won eight, or 57.1%, of the 14 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Cleveland has entered five games this season favored by -142 or more and is 3-2 in those contests.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 58.7% chance to win.
  • Games involving Cleveland have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 23 of 45 chances this season.
  • In 45 games with a spread this season, the Guardians are 23-22-0 ATS.

Tigers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Tigers have been underdogs in 31 games this season and have come away with the win 10 times (32.3%) in those contests.
  • Detroit has a mark of 5-15 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +123 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 44.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Detroit and their opponents have gone over in 12 of their 44 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Tigers have posted a record of 19-25-0 against the spread this season.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Jose Ramirez is the bat to watch in the Guardians lineup, leading the team in batting average (.292), home runs (11), and RBI (43).
  • Of all hitters in the majors, Ramirez is seventh in home runs and first in RBI.
  • Ramirez carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .333 with three doubles, two home runs, three walks and six RBI.
  • Myles Straw is hitting .240 with nine doubles, a triple and 23 walks.
  • Straw is 326th in homers and 297th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
  • Owen Miller is batting .272 with 12 doubles, four home runs and 12 walks.
  • Steven Kwan is hitting .257 with six doubles, a triple, a home run and 17 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
José Ramírez 41 .292 .385 .617 11 43 45
Myles Straw 41 .240 .335 .312 0 6 37
Owen Miller 35 .272 .326 .464 4 19 34
Steven Kwan 33 .257 .358 .354 1 13 29
Josh Naylor 25 .292 .347 .539 6 23 26

Tigers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Miguel Cabrera paces the Tigers with 18 runs batted in while accumulating a team-best batting average of .300.
  • Cabrera is 149th in home runs and 104th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
  • Jonathan Schoop’s four home runs are a team-high total.
  • Schoop is 99th in homers and 218th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Jeimer Candelario leads the Tigers with four long balls.
  • Harold Castro is batting .301 with three doubles, a triple, three home runs and two walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Miguel Cabrera 39 .300 .346 .407 3 18 42
Jonathan Schoop 43 .175 .222 .294 4 10 28
Jeimer Candelario 42 .187 .247 .320 4 14 28
Harold Castro 25 .301 .316 .493 3 8 22
Javier Báez 35 .204 .248 .321 3 13 28

Betting Tips for Guardians vs. Tigers

We have the Tigers on the moneyline at +123 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

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