Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/6/2022

by | Jul 6, 2022

The Cleveland Guardians (40-39) stumble into Wednesday’s matchup with the Detroit Tigers (33-47) looking to break a three-game losing streak. The contest starts at 1:10 PM ET with the Guardians listed as -178 favorites to right the ship. Shane Bieber will get the ball for Cleveland while Detroit counter with Michael Pineda.

Guardians vs. Tigers Spread and Betting Line

Guardians vs Tigers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Guardians -178 +152 7.5 -111 -109 -1.5 +102 -122

Computer Predictions for Guardians vs. Tigers

Our best bet is the Tigers on the moneyline at +152 after taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Detroit Tigers (+152) and Over (7.5)

Guardians vs. Tigers Game Info

  • Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Shane Bieber
  • Detroit Tigers probable starting pitcher: Michael Pineda
  • Game Day: Wednesday, July 6, 2022
  • Game Time: 1:10 PM ET
  • Location: Detroit, Michigan
  • Stadium: Comerica Park

Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Pitching Matchup

Bieber Pineda
15 GS 6
3-4 W-L 1-3
3.26 ERA 3.62
91.0 IP 27.1
22 BB 4
93 SO 15

Guardians Starter Shane Bieber

  • The Guardians are sending Bieber (3-4) out for his 16th start of the season. He is 3-4 with a 3.26 ERA and 93 strikeouts through 91 innings pitched.
  • The righty’s last appearance came on Thursday against the Minnesota Twins, when he went 6 2/3 innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • The 27-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.26, with 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in 15 games this season. Opponents are hitting .249 against him.
  • Bieber is looking to register his fifth quality start in a row in this matchup.
  • Bieber will look to last five or more innings for his fifth straight start. He’s averaging 6.0 innings per outing.
  • He will face a Tigers offense that ranks last in the league with 251 runs while batting .231 as a unit. It has a collective .339 slugging percentage (29th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 48 home runs (30th in MLB).
  • Bieber has thrown 15 innings, giving up three earned runs on 14 hits while striking out 15 against the Tigers this season.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 27-year-old ranks 29th in ERA (3.26), 35th in WHIP (1.176), and 18th in K/9 (9.2).

Tigers Starter Michael Pineda

  • Pineda (1-3) will take to the mound for the Tigers and make his seventh start of the season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Friday, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings while giving up three earned runs on seven hits in a matchup with the Kansas City Royals.
  • The 33-year-old has pitched in six games this season with an ERA of 3.62, a 3.75 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.134.
  • He has one quality starts in six chances this season.
  • In six starts this season, Pineda has lasted five or more innings four times, with an average of 4.2 innings per appearance.
  • The Guardians rank 13th in MLB with a .243 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 21st in the league (.377) and 61 home runs.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Guardians have been favored 39 times and won 24, or 61.5%, of those games.
  • Cleveland has played as a favorite of -178 or more once this season and lost that game.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 64% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
  • Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 39 of their 85 chances.
  • The Guardians have an ATS record of 42-43-0 in 85 games with a spread this season.

Tigers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Tigers have been chosen as underdogs in 61 games this year and have walked away with the win 25 times (41%) in those games.
  • This season, Detroit has been victorious six times in 24 chances when named as an underdog of at least +152 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Tigers have a 39.7% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Detroit and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 27 of their 80 opportunities.
  • The Tigers have an against the spread record of 38-42-0 in 80 games with a line this season.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Jose Ramirez is the Guardians best power hitter, connecting on 16 homers this season in addition to accumulating 63 RBI, both team highs.
  • Ramirez’s home runs put him 23rd in MLB, and he ranks fourth in RBI.
  • Ramirez takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .176 with two doubles and two walks.
  • Amed Rosario has 12 doubles, five triples, three home runs and 17 walks while batting .278.
  • Of all MLB hitters, Rosario is 252nd in home runs and 171st in RBI.
  • Josh Naylor has 13 doubles, 11 home runs and 16 walks while batting .276.
  • Naylor is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with three home runs, a walk and five RBI.
  • Andres Gimenez is batting .298 to pace his team.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
José Ramírez 76 .293 .377 .582 16 63 84
Amed Rosario 73 .278 .317 .383 3 24 82
Josh Naylor 54 .276 .332 .510 11 43 54
Andrés Giménez 69 .298 .350 .484 9 39 67
Steven Kwan 67 .270 .357 .343 1 20 62

Tigers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Jonathan Schoop is batting .208 with 13 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 11 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .244.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Schoop ranks 157th in home runs and 187th in RBI.
  • Schoop has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .474 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
  • Javier Baez has shown his power as he leads his team with seven home runs.
  • Baez ranks 129th among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 145th in RBI.
  • Miguel Cabrera paces the Tigers with 28 runs batted in while accruing a team-high batting average of .308.
  • Harold Castro has eight doubles, two triples, four home runs and five walks while batting .276.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Jonathan Schoop 77 .208 .244 .323 6 22 60
Javier Báez 67 .213 .249 .360 7 27 55
Miguel Cabrera 69 .308 .348 .372 3 28 77
Harold Castro 53 .276 .298 .414 4 17 48
Willi Castro 56 .260 .295 .367 2 14 46

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