Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/16/2022

Led by Andres Gimenez (two-game homer streak), the Cleveland Guardians (62-54) are favorites versus the Detroit Tigers (44-74) Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET. Sportsbooks have named the Guardians as -220 favorites for the game. Cleveland’s Zach Plesac gets the start, and he’ll go against Detroit’s Garrett Hill.

Guardians vs. Tigers Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Guardians vs. Tigers

We have the Tigers on the moneyline at +181 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Detroit Tigers (+181) and Over (8.5)

Guardians vs. Tigers Game Info

• Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Zach Plesac
• Detroit Tigers probable starting pitcher: Garrett Hill
• Game Day: Tuesday, August 16, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Cleveland, Ohio
• Stadium: Progressive Field

Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Pitching Matchup

Guardians Starter Zach Plesac

• Plesac makes the start for the Guardians, his 22nd of the season. He is 2-10 with a 4.32 ERA and 90 strikeouts through 114 2/3 innings pitched.
• The right-hander last appeared on Thursday against the Detroit Tigers, when he tossed 6 1/3 innings, allowing one earned run while giving up four hits.
• The 27-year-old has put up an ERA of 4.32, with 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings, in 21 games this season. Opponents are batting .257 against him.
• Plesac has recorded 10 quality starts this season.
• Plesac will look to secure his 18th game of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 5.1 innings per appearance.
• The opposing Tigers offense has a collective .226 batting average, and is 26th in the league with 879 total hits and last in MLB action with 376 runs scored. It has the worst slugging percentage (.331) and ranks last in home runs (69) in all of MLB.
• Head-to-head against the Tigers this season, Plesac has thrown 16 innings, giving up five earned runs on 16 hits while striking out 13.

Tigers Starter Garrett Hill

• The Tigers will hand the ball to Hill (2-3) for his eighth start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in five innings against the Cleveland Guardians.
• The 26-year-old has pitched to a 4.66 ERA this season with 4.4 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.9 walks per nine across seven games.
• He has one quality starts in seven chances this season.
• Hill has seven starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Guardians rank 16th in MLB with 505 runs scored this season. They have a .253 batting average this campaign with 93 home runs (29th in the league).
• The right-hander has allowed the Guardians to go 6-for-38 with two home runs and two RBI in 11 innings this season.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

• The Guardians have won 36, or 64.3%, of the 56 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Cleveland is undefeated in four games this season when favored by -220 or more on the moneyline.
• The Guardians have a 68.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 57 of their 124 chances.
• The Guardians are 66-58-0 ATS in their 124 games with a spread this season.

Tigers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Tigers have won in 35, or 35.4%, of the 99 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Detroit has a mark of 5-16 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +181 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 35.6% chance of walking away with the win.
• Detroit and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 41 of their 119 opportunities.
• The Tigers are 52-67-0 against the spread in their 119 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians in home runs (22) and runs batted in (94).
• Among all MLB hitters, Ramirez is 33rd in batting average, 37th in on-base percentage, and 10th in slugging.
• Amed Rosario is batting .283 with 21 doubles, six triples, eight home runs and 22 walks.
• Rosario ranks 165th in home runs and 73rd in RBI in the majors.
• Steven Kwan is hitting .297 with 18 doubles, four triples, three home runs and 42 walks.
• Kwan will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .238 with two walks and an RBI.
• Gimenez’s .312 batting average paces his team.
• Gimenez brings a nine-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last nine games he is batting .441 with two doubles, two home runs, two walks and six RBI.

Tigers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Javier Baez has a team-high 11 home runs and has driven in 45 runs.
• Among all batters in the majors, Baez is 113th in home runs and 100th in RBI.
• Baez brings a hitting streak of six games into this game. In his last 10 games he is batting .244 with three doubles, a home run and four RBI.
• Harold Castro is hitting .277 with 15 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 13 walks.
• Castro ranks 238th overall in homers and 223rd in RBI this year.
• Jonathan Schoop is batting .203 with 18 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 15 walks.
• Jeimer Candelario has 11 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 21 walks while batting .198.