Guardians vs. Twins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/30/2022

After a four-hit game last time out, Amed Rosario leads the Cleveland Guardians (38-34) as -154 favorites against the Minnesota Twins (43-35). Action gets underway from Progressive Field at 1:10 PM ET on Thursday. Cleveland’s Shane Bieber and Minnesota’s Chris Archer have been named the starters for this contest.

Guardians vs. Twins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Guardians vs. Twins

We have the Twins on the moneyline at +132 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Minnesota Twins (+132) and Over (8.5)

Guardians vs. Twins Game Info

• Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Shane Bieber
• Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Chris Archer
• Game Day: Thursday, June 30, 2022
• Game Time: 1:10 PM ET
• Location: Cleveland, Ohio
• Stadium: Progressive Field

Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Matchup

Guardians Starter Shane Bieber

• Bieber gets the start for the Guardians, his 15th of the season. He is 3-4 with a 3.18 ERA and 88 strikeouts in 85 innings pitched.
• The right-hander last pitched on Saturday against the Boston Red Sox, when he threw 7 2/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up six hits.
• The 27-year-old has an ERA of 3.18, with 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings, in 14 games this season. Opponents are hitting .250 against him.
• Bieber is seeking his fourth quality start in a row.
• Bieber is aiming for his fourth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.0 innings per appearance on the mound.
• He meets a Twins offense that ranks 11th in the league with 353 runs while batting .253 as a unit. It has a collective .418 slugging percentage (fifth in MLB action) and has hit a total of 93 home runs (eighth in MLB).
• Bieber has a 1.5 ERA and a 1.667 WHIP against the Twins this season in six innings pitched, allowing a .292 batting average over one appearance.
• The 27-year-old ranks 27th in ERA (3.18), 34th in WHIP (1.176), and 18th in K/9 (9.3) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Twins Starter Chris Archer

• Archer (2-3) will take to the mound for the Twins and make his 15th start of the season.
• The right-hander did not allow a run in 5 2/3 innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Colorado Rockies.
• The 33-year-old has pitched in 14 games this season with an ERA of 3.14, a 1.875 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.221.
• Archer has not earned a quality start in 14 starts this season.
• In 14 starts this season, Archer has lasted five or more innings three times, with an average of 4.0 innings per appearance.
• The Guardians rank 10th in MLB with a .248 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 18th in the league (.384) and 55 home runs.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Guardians have won 23 out of the 35 games, or 65.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Cleveland is 7-4 this season when entering a game favored by -154 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Guardians, based on the moneyline, is 60.6%.
• So far this season, Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 37 of their 78 games with a total.
• In 78 games with a spread this season, the Guardians are 40-38-0 ATS.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Twins have been underdogs in 29 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (41.4%) in those contests.
• This season, Minnesota has come away with a win four times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +132 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 43.1% chance of pulling out a win.
• Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 36 of their 79 opportunities.
• The Twins have posted a record of 38-41-0 against the spread this season.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians in home runs (16) and runs batted in (63).
• Ramirez’s home runs rank him 18th in MLB, and he is third in RBI.
• Ramirez takes a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .316 with four doubles and a walk.
• Rosario is batting .293 with 12 doubles, five triples, two home runs and 13 walks.
• Rosario ranks 289th in homers and 172nd in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Rosario carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .500 with two doubles, two walks and three RBI.
• Steven Kwan has eight doubles, three triples, a home run and 27 walks while batting .288.
• Josh Naylor is hitting .271 with 13 doubles, nine home runs and 15 walks.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Luis Arraez paces the Twins with a .337 batting average.
• Among all batters in the majors, Arraez’s home run total ranks 207th and his RBI tally ranks 136th.
• Byron Buxton has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 20 home runs and 36 runs batted in.
• Buxton is sixth in home runs and 60th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Max Kepler is hitting .240 with 11 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 34 walks.
• Gio Urshela is batting .258 with 13 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 20 walks.