Guardians vs. Twins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/10/2022

Andres Gimenez, batting .302 this season, leads the Cleveland Guardians (71-65) into a matchup with one of the league’s other top hitters, Luis Arraez (.313 AVG) and the Minnesota Twins (69-68). Gimenez and the Guardians are -124 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup at Target Field, beginning at 7:15 PM ET live on FOX. Triston McKenzie will get the ball for Cleveland while Minnesota counter with Chris Archer.

Guardians vs. Twins Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Guardians vs. Twins

Our best bet is the Twins on the moneyline at +105 after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Minnesota Twins (+105) and Over (7.5)

Guardians vs. Twins Game Info

• Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Triston McKenzie
• Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Chris Archer
• Game Day: Saturday, September 10, 2022
• Game Time: 7:15 PM ET
• TV Channel: FOX
• Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
• Stadium: Target Field

Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Matchup

Guardians Starter Triston McKenzie

• McKenzie (9-11) is looking for his 10th win when he gets the starting nod for the Guardians in his 26th start of the season. He has a 3.18 ERA in 158 1/3 innings pitched, with 154 strikeouts.
• The right-hander last appeared on Tuesday against the Kansas City Royals, when he went 5 2/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up three hits.
• The 25-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.18, with 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings, in 26 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .198 batting average against him.
• McKenzie is looking to secure his 15th quality start of the season.
• McKenzie will look to pitch five or more innings for his 14th straight appearance. He’s averaging 6.0 innings per outing.
• He will take the mound against a Twins team that is batting .248 as a unit (12th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .408 (ninth in MLB) with 159 total home runs (12th in MLB).
• McKenzie has an 8.31 ERA and a 1.385 WHIP against the Twins this season in 17 1/3 innings pitched, allowing a .290 batting average over three appearances.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 25-year-old’s 3.18 ERA ranks 20th, .966 WHIP ranks fifth, and 8.8 K/9 ranks 19th.

Twins Starter Chris Archer

• The Twins will send Archer (2-7) to the mound for his 25th start this season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Monday, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the New York Yankees, giving up two earned runs while allowing four hits.
• The 33-year-old has pitched in 24 games this season with an ERA of 4.47, a 1.766 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.311.
• None of Archer’s 24 starts this season have met the criteria for a quality start.
• Archer has started 24 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings six times. He averages 4.1 innings per appearance.
• The Guardians have scored 565 runs this season, which ranks 22nd in MLB. They have 1164 hits, 11th in baseball, with 105 home runs (29th in the league).
• The Guardians have gone 1-for-13 with an RBI in four innings this season against the right-hander.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Guardians have won 41 out of the 67 games, or 61.2%, in which they’ve been favored.
• Cleveland has entered 56 games this season favored by -124 or more and is 35-21 in those contests.
• The Guardians have a 55.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 61 of their 143 opportunities.
• The Guardians are 74-69-0 ATS in their 143 games with a spread this season.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Twins have come away with 20 wins in the 60 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Minnesota has a win-loss record of 13-31 when favored by +105 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 48.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 69 of their 142 opportunities.
• The Twins have posted a record of 67-75-0 against the spread this season.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jose Ramirez paces the Guardians in home runs (26) and runs batted in (108).
• Among all MLB hitters, Ramirez ranks 32nd in batting average, 36th in on-base percentage, and 10th in slugging.
• Steven Kwan is hitting .288 with 21 doubles, five triples, three home runs and 51 walks.
• Kwan ranks 319th in homers in the majors, and 193rd in RBI.
• Amed Rosario is batting .278 with 22 doubles, seven triples, eight home runs and 23 walks.
• Rosario will look to build on his five-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .261 with .
• Gimenez has a club-leading .302 batting average.

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Arraez leads the Twins with a .313 batting average.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Arraez’s home run total ranks 193rd and his RBI tally ranks 143rd.
• Arraez has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .208 with two doubles and a walk.
• Carlos Correa has 18 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 53 walks while hitting .277.
• Correa ranks 52nd in homers and 86th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Gio Urshela is batting .266 with 23 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 30 walks.
• Max Kepler has 18 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 49 walks while hitting .230.