Guardians vs. Twins Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/11/2022

by | Sep 11, 2022

The Cleveland Guardians (72-65) will play the Minnesota Twins (69-69) on Sunday at 2:10 PM ET. Josh Naylor will be looking for his 100th hit of the season for the favored Guardians (-135) when the game gets underway at Target Field. Cleveland’s Shane Bieber and Minnesota’s Josh Winder have been named the starters for this contest.

Guardians vs. Twins Spread and Betting Line

Guardians vs Twins Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Guardians -135 +115 7 -115 -105 -1.5 +130 -150

Computer Predictions for Guardians vs. Twins

After digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Twins on the moneyline at +115. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Minnesota Twins (+115) and Over (7)

Guardians vs. Twins Game Info

  • Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Shane Bieber
  • Minnesota Twins probable starting pitcher: Josh Winder
  • Game Day: Sunday, September 11, 2022
  • Game Time: 2:10 PM ET
  • Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • Stadium: Target Field

Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Matchup

Bieber Winder
26 GS 0
9-8 W-L 0-0
2.96 ERA
167.0 IP 0
34 BB 0
171 SO 0

Guardians Starter Shane Bieber

  • Bieber (9-8 with a 2.96 ERA and 171 strikeouts in 167 innings pitched) aims for his 10th victory when he makes the start for the Guardians, his 27th of the season.
  • In his last time out on Wednesday, the right-hander tossed eight innings against the Kansas City Royals, allowing one earned run while surrendering four hits.
  • The 27-year-old has amassed an ERA of 2.96, with 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in 26 games this season. Opponents are batting .230 against him.
  • Bieber is seeking his ninth quality start in a row.
  • Bieber is looking for his 16th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.1 frames per appearance on the hill.
  • The opposing Twins offense has the 11th-ranked slugging percentage (.408) and is 12th in MLB play with 159 home runs. It has a collective .249 batting average, and is 12th in MLB with 1163 total hits and 17th in MLB action scoring 604 runs.
  • Head-to-head against the Twins this season, Bieber has pitched 12 innings, giving up four earned runs on 12 hits while striking out 12.
  • The 27-year-old’s 2.96 ERA ranks 15th, 1.060 WHIP ranks 17th, and 9.2 K/9 ranks 11th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Twins Starter Josh Winder

  • The Twins will send Winder to the mound for his first start this season.
  • The 25-year-old right-hander will make his season debut.
  • The Guardians are batting .250 this season, 11th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .378 (25th in the league) with 106 home runs.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Guardians have entered the game as favorites 68 times this season and won 42, or 61.8%, of those games.
  • Cleveland has a record of 33-13 in games where oddsmakers favor them by at least -135 on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 57.4% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
  • So far this season, Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 62 of their 144 games with a total.
  • The Guardians are 75-69-0 against the spread this season.

Twins Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Twins have been underdogs in 61 games this season and have come away with the win 20 times (32.8%) in those contests.
  • Minnesota has a win-loss record of 8-25 when favored by +115 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 46.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Minnesota’s games have gone over the total in 70 of their 143 opportunities.
  • The Twins have posted a record of 67-76-0 against the spread this season.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

  • The Guardians best power option comes in the form of Jose Ramirez and his 26-home-run 109-RBI season, both team highs.
  • In all of Major League Baseball, Ramirez ranks 24th in home runs and second in RBI.
  • Ramirez has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with two walks and three RBI.
  • Steven Kwan is batting .287 with 21 doubles, five triples, three home runs and 55 walks.
  • Kwan is 322nd in homers and 194th in RBI on the year.
  • Amed Rosario is hitting .277 with 22 doubles, seven triples, nine home runs and 23 walks.
  • Rosario will look to build on his six-game hitting in this game. During his last 10 games he is hitting .209 with a home run and three RBI.
  • Andres Gimenez has a club-high .300 batting average.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
José Ramírez 133 .280 .351 .525 26 109 143
Steven Kwan 124 .287 .366 .374 3 37 133
Amed Rosario 130 .277 .309 .395 9 54 149
Andrés Giménez 124 .300 .369 .473 15 61 124
Josh Naylor 102 .265 .319 .457 17 64 99

Twins Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Luis Arraez leads the Twins with a .316 batting average.
  • Arraez’s home run total places him 194th in the majors, and he is 140th in RBI.
  • Arraez carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .292 with four doubles, a walk and an RBI.
  • Carlos Correa is hitting .280 with 18 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 53 walks.
  • Correa ranks 52nd overall in home runs and 90th in RBI this year.
  • Gio Urshela is batting .267 with 23 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 31 walks.
  • Max Kepler is hitting .227 with 18 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 49 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Luis Arraez 124 .316 .377 .429 8 46 151
Carlos Correa 114 .280 .358 .457 19 54 122
Gio Urshela 120 .267 .313 .416 11 54 111
Max Kepler 114 .227 .319 .349 9 43 88
Jose Miranda 101 .277 .331 .451 14 61 99

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