Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks – NHL Playoffs First Round Game 3

by | May 5, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Hockey 9 Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks – NHL Playoffs First Round Game 3

The Tampa Bay Lightning host the Toronto Maple Leafs Friday at Amalie Arena in Game 3 of the NHL Playoffs First Round, starting at 7:30 PM ET. The series is tied up at 1-1. Lightning (-118) versus Maple Leafs (-102) looks rather even, according to the moneyline odds. Find more below on the Lightning vs. Maple Leafs betting line, injury report, head-to-head stats, best bets and more.

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Spread and Betting Line

Lightning vs Maple Leafs Betting Information
Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Lightning -118 Maple Leafs -102

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Game Info

  • Game Day: Friday, May 6, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Location: Tampa, Florida
  • Arena: Amalie Arena

Computer Predictions for Lightning vs. Maple Leafs

Computer picks for Lightning vs Maple Leafs
ATS Over/Under Score Prediction
Maple Leafs (+1.5) Over (6.5) Lightning 4 Maple Leafs 3

Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Betting Trends

  • Tampa Bay has been victorious in 48 of the 71 games it’s played as the moneyline favorite this season.
  • In 68 games with moneyline odds shorter than -118 this season, the Lightning have won 46 times.
  • There is a 54.1% chance that Tampa Bay wins this game, per the moneyline.

    • Tampa Bay Lightning Leaders

  • Steven Stamkos is currently one of Tampa Bay’s top contributors (106 total points), having amassed 42 goals and 64 assists.
  • Victor Hedman is another top contributor for Tampa Bay with 86 points (one per game), scoring 20 goals and adding 66 assists.
  • Nikita Kucherov’s season total of 69 points has come from 25 goals and 44 assists.
  • Andrei Vasilevskiy has a record of 39-18-5. He has allowed 156 goals (2.49 goals against average) and recorded 1712 saves.

    • Tampa Bay Lightning Season Stats

  • The Lightning’s 285 goals this season make them the seventh-best scoring team in the league.
  • On defense, the Lightning are one of the best squads in NHL action, allowing 228 goals to rank sixth.
  • With a +57 goal differential, they’re ranked seventh-best in the league.
  • The Lightning’s 63 power-play goals this season are fourth-best in the NHL (on 260 power-play chances).
  • The Lightning’s 24.2% power-play conversion rate ranks seventh-best in the NHL this season.
  • The Lightning’s offense has capitalized with seven shorthanded goals this season (12th among all teams).
  • The Lightning’s penalty-kill percentage (81.4%) is the league’s ninth-best.
  • The Lightning’s players win 50.1% of their faceoffs to rank 15th in the NHL.
  • The Lightning connect on 11.3% of their shots, ranking third in the league.
  • The Lightning have yet to shut out an opponent this season, averaging 25.9 hits and 12.7 blocked shots per game.

    • Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Betting Trends

  • The Maple Leafs have been listed as the underdog 10 times this season, and upset their opponent four times.
  • Toronto has won three of its nine games when it is the underdog by -102 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Maple Leafs have a 50.5% chance to win this game (implied from the moneyline).

    • Toronto Maple Leafs Leaders

  • Toronto’s Auston Matthews has collected 46 assists and 60 goals in 73 games, good for 106 points.
  • Mitchell Marner is a top contributor for Toronto, with 97 total points this season. He has scored 35 goals and provided 62 assists in 72 games.
  • William Nylander has scored 34 goals and contributed 46 assists for Toronto, giving him a point total of 80.
  • Jack Campbell’s record stands at 31-9-6 on the season, allowing 123 goals (2.6 goals against average) and amassing 1307 saves with a .914 save percentage (26th in the league).

    • Toronto Maple Leafs Season Stats

  • The Maple Leafs’ 312 total goals (3.8 per game) are the second-most in the league.
  • The Maple Leafs have given up 252 total goals (3.1 per game) to rank 19th.
  • Their +60 goal differential is sixth-best in the league.
  • The Maple Leafs have put up 63 power-play goals this season, which are fourth-best in the NHL (on 231 power-play chances).
  • The Maple Leafs have a league-leading power-play conversion rate of 27.3%.
  • The Maple Leafs have scored 13 shorthanded goals this season (an NHL high).
  • The 81.7% of opponent power plays the Maple Leafs kill is the eighth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
  • The Maple Leafs have the top faceoff win percentage in the NHL (55.1%).
  • The Maple Leafs’ collective 11% shooting percentage ranks fourth in the league.
  • The Maple Leafs have not yet shut out an opponent this season.

    • Lightning and Maple Leafs Injury Report

    Lightning: None

    Maple Leafs: Rasmus Sandin: Out (Undisclosed), Petr Mrazek: Out (Groin)

    Betting Tips for Lightning vs. Maple Leafs

    We have the Lightning as our best bet on the moneyline in this contest, and our pick against the spread is the Maple Leafs (+1.5). Our computer model has the scoring going over the total of 6.5 goals when it’s sorted out on the ice.

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