Game 4 of the NHL Playoffs First Round at Amalie Arena showcases the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Toronto Maple Leafs facing off at 7:00 PM on Sunday, May 8 ET. The Maple Leafs are up 2-1. The bookmakers see this as a tight game, with the Lightning -118 to win on the moneyline, and the Maple Leafs at -103. Find more below on the Lightning vs. Maple Leafs betting line, injury report, head-to-head stats, best bets and more.
Table of Contents
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Spread and Betting Line
| Favorite | Moneyline | Underdog | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lightning | -118 | Maple Leafs | -103 |
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Game Info
- Game Day: Sunday, May 8, 2022
- Game Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Location: Tampa, Florida
- Arena: Amalie Arena
Computer Predictions for Lightning vs. Maple Leafs
| ATS | Over/Under | Score Prediction |
|---|---|---|
| Maple Leafs (+1.5) | Over (6.5) | Lightning 4 Maple Leafs 3 |
Lightning vs. Maple Leafs Betting Trends
- In 72 games as the moneyline favorite this season, Tampa Bay has won 48 times.
- Through 69 games with moneyline odds shorter than -118 this season, the Lightning have been victorious 46 times.
- There is a 54.1% chance that Tampa Bay wins this game, per the moneyline.
Tampa Bay Lightning Leaders
- A major offensive player this season for Tampa Bay, Steven Stamkos has scored 106 points in 81 games (42 goals and 64 assists).
- Victor Hedman has 86 points (one per game), scoring 20 goals and adding 66 assists.
- Nikita Kucherov’s season total of 69 points has come from 25 goals and 44 assists.
- Andrei Vasilevskiy (39-18-5) has a goals against average of 2.5 on the season, and 1712 saves. His .916 save percentage ranks 21st in the league.
Tampa Bay Lightning Season Stats
- The Lightning offense’s 285 total goals (3.5 per game) are ranked seventh in the NHL this year.
- The Lightning are ranked sixth in NHL play for the fewest goals against this season, having allowed 228 total goals (2.8 per game).
- With a +57 goal differential, they’re ranked seventh-best in the league.
- The Lightning’s 63 power-play goals they’ve recorded this season (on 260 power-play chances) are the fourth-most in the NHL.
- The Lightning have the league’s seventh-best power-play conversion rate at 24.2%.
- The Lightning’s offense has recorded seven shorthanded goals this season (12th among all squads).
- The Lightning’s penalty-kill percentage (81.4%) is the league’s ninth-best.
- The Lightning’s players win 50.1% of their faceoffs to rank 15th in the NHL.
- The Lightning have an 11.3% shooting percentage as a squad, ranking third in the NHL.
- The Lightning average 25.9 hits and 12.7 blocked shots per game.
Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Betting Trends
- The Maple Leafs have claimed an upset victory in five, or 45.5%, of the 11 games they have played while the underdog this season.
- Toronto has won four of its 10 games when it is the underdog by -103 or longer on the moneyline.
- The win probability for the Maple Leafs, implied from the moneyline, is 50.7%.
Toronto Maple Leafs Leaders
- Auston Matthews has recorded 60 goals (0.8 per game) and put up 46 assists (0.6 per game), taking 4.8 shots per game and shooting 17.2%. That makes him among the leaders for Toronto with 106 total points (1.5 per game).
- Mitchell Marner is key for Toronto’s attack with 97 total points (1.3 per game), including 35 goals and 62 assists through 72 games.
- William Nylander has 34 goals and 46 assists, for a season point total of 80.
- Jack Campbell has a .914 save percentage (24th in the league), with 1307 total saves, while giving up 123 goals (2.6 goals against average). He has compiled a 31-9-6 record between the posts for Toronto this season.
Toronto Maple Leafs Season Stats
- The Maple Leafs have the league’s second-best scoring offense (312 total goals, 3.8 per game).
- The Maple Leafs have given up 3.1 goals per game, 252 total, which ranks 19th among NHL teams.
- They have a +60 goal differential, which is sixth-best in the league.
- The Maple Leafs have recorded 63 power-play goals this season (on 231 power-play chances). That’s the fourth-most in the NHL.
- The Maple Leafs’ power-play conversion rate (27.3%) tops the league.
- The Maple Leafs have scored 13 shorthanded goals this season (an NHL high).
- The 81.7% of opponent power plays the Maple Leafs kill is the eighth-best penalty-kill percentage in the league.
- The Maple Leafs have the NHL’s top faceoff win percentage (55.1%).
- The 11% shooting percentage the Maple Leafs have amassed ranks fourth in the league.
- The Maple Leafs have not yet shut out an opponent this season.
Lightning and Maple Leafs Injury Report
Lightning: None
Maple Leafs: Rasmus Sandin: Out (Undisclosed), Petr Mrazek: Out (Groin)
Betting Tips for Lightning vs. Maple Leafs
Our best bet is Lightning on the moneyline at -118 and Maple Leafs (+1.5) against the spread after digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will finish over the total of 6.5 goals.
Sign up for a FREE Consultation to start working with Legendary Sports Bettor Jon Price