Mariners vs. Braves Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/9/2022

The Seattle Mariners (77-60) will look to Eugenio Suarez, who is coming off a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the Atlanta Braves (86-51) Friday at 9:40 PM ET. The Mariners are -115 favorites for the contest, according to sportsbooks. Robbie Ray will get the ball for Seattle while Atlanta counter with Charlie Morton.

Mariners vs. Braves Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mariners vs. Braves

Our best bet is the Braves on the moneyline at -105 after looking at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 6.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Atlanta Braves (-105) and Over (6.5)

Mariners vs. Braves Game Info

• Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Robbie Ray
• Atlanta Braves probable starting pitcher: Charlie Morton
• Game Day: Friday, September 9, 2022
• Game Time: 9:40 PM ET
• Location: Seattle, Washington
• Stadium: T-Mobile Park

Seattle Mariners vs Atlanta Braves Pitching Matchup

Mariners Starter Robbie Ray

• Ray gets the start for the Mariners, his 28th of the season. He is 12-8 with a 3.45 ERA and 183 strikeouts in 161 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his last appearance on Saturday, the lefty went six scoreless innings against the Cleveland Guardians while surrendering six hits.
• In 27 games this season, the 30-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.45, with 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .220 against him.
• Ray is looking to claim his seventh quality start in a row in this matchup.
• Ray will look to pitch five or more innings for his seventh straight start. He’s averaging 5.3 frames per outing.
• He will face off against a Braves team that is batting .254 as a unit (eighth in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .446 (second in MLB) with 206 total home runs (second in MLB).
• The 30-year-old’s 3.45 ERA ranks 31st, 1.132 WHIP ranks 26th, and 10.2 K/9 ranks eighth among qualifying pitchers this season.

Braves Starter Charlie Morton

• Morton (7-5) will take the mound for the Braves, his 27th start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Friday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Miami Marlins.
• The 38-year-old has pitched in 26 games this season with an ERA of 4.01 and 10.8 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .225.
• In 26 starts this season, he’s earned nine quality starts.
• Morton has pitched five or more innings in 17 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Mariners rank 21st in MLB with 574 runs scored this season. They have a .230 batting average this campaign with 160 home runs (11th in the league).
• The 38-year-old’s 4.01 ERA ranks 40th, 1.185 WHIP ranks 32nd, and 10.8 K/9 ranks sixth among qualified pitchers in the majors this campaign.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Mariners have been favored 64 times and won 44, or 68.8%, of those games.
• Seattle has a record of 43-18, a 70.5% win rate, when favored by -115 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.5% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
• Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 63 of their 137 opportunities.
• In 137 games with a spread this season, the Mariners are 75-62-0 ATS.

Braves Betting Picks & Insights

• The Braves have won in 10, or 33.3%, of the 30 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Atlanta has a mark of 6-16 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -105 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Braves have a 51.2% chance of walking away with the win.
• Atlanta and their opponents have hit the over in 69 of their 136 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Braves are 69-67-0 against the spread in their 136 games that had a posted line this season.

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

• Julio Rodriguez is batting .268 with 21 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 36 walks.
• Rodriguez ranks 34th in homers and 44th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Ty France’s .278 batting average leads his team.
• Of all MLB hitters, France is 58th in home runs and 36th in RBI.
• France enters this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .174 with two doubles, a home run and three RBI.
• Suarez leads the Mariners in home runs (27) and runs batted in (79).
• Suarez has at least one base hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .278 with a double, two home runs, two walks and three RBI.
• J.P. Crawford is hitting .253 with 22 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 52 walks.

Braves Leaders & Batting Stats

• Austin Riley leads the Braves with 35 homers while recording a team-best batting average of .285.
• Riley’s home run total puts him third in the majors, and he is ninth in RBI.
• Matt Olson has capitalized on opportunities as he paces his team with 90 RBI.
• Among all major league hitters, Olson is 13th in homers and sixth in RBI.
• Dansby Swanson has 30 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 44 walks while hitting .284.
• Michael Harris II is batting .310 with 23 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 16 walks.