Mariners vs. Guardians Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/27/2022

The Seattle Mariners (69-57) are set to take on the Cleveland Guardians (66-58) Saturday at 10:10 PM ET. The Mariners are listed as -182 favorites by bookmakers, while the underdog Guardians have +154 odds for the contest. Luis Castillo will get the ball for Seattle while Cleveland counter with Zach Plesac.

Mariners vs. Guardians Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mariners vs. Guardians

After digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Guardians on the moneyline at +154. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Cleveland Guardians (+154) and Over (7)

Mariners vs. Guardians Game Info

• Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Luis Castillo
• Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Zach Plesac
• Game Day: Saturday, August 27, 2022
• Game Time: 10:10 PM ET
• Location: Seattle, Washington
• Stadium: T-Mobile Park

Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Matchup

Mariners Starter Luis Castillo

• The Mariners will send Castillo (5-5) to make his 19th start of the season. He is 5-5 with a 2.93 ERA and 119 strikeouts through 110 2/3 innings pitched.
• His last appearance was on Sunday against the Oakland Athletics, when the right-hander threw 5 2/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing eight hits.
• The 29-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.93, with 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in 18 games this season. Opponents are batting .209 against him.
• Castillo is trying to secure his 14th quality start of the year.
• Castillo will try to last five or more innings for his 18th straight appearance. He’s averaging 6.0 frames per outing.
• He will take the hill against a Guardians squad that is hitting .252 as a unit (10th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .385 (18th in MLB) with 99 total home runs (29th in MLB).

Guardians Starter Zach Plesac

• The Guardians will hand the ball to Plesac (2-11) for his 23rd start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, Aug. 16, when he gave up four earned runs and allowed nine hits in 5 1/3 innings against the Detroit Tigers.
• The 27-year-old has an ERA of 4.43 and 7 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .263 in 22 games this season.
• He has earned a quality start 10 times in 22 starts this season.
• Plesac will look to pitch five or more innings for the third start in a row.
• The Mariners are batting .232 this season, 24th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .383 (20th in the league) with 140 home runs.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mariners have entered the game as favorites 54 times this season and won 36, or 66.7%, of those games.
• Seattle has a record of 5-4, a 55.6% win rate, when favored by -182 or more by bookmakers this season.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 64.5% chance to win.
• Games involving Seattle have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 60 of 126 chances this season.
• In 126 games with a spread this season, the Mariners are 66-60-0 ATS.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

• The Guardians have been victorious in 33, or 47.8%, of the 69 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Cleveland has a win-loss record of 5-11 when favored by +154 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 39.4% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Cleveland and their opponents have hit the over in 58 of their 131 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Guardians are 70-61-0 against the spread in their 131 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

• Julio Rodriguez is batting .267 with 19 doubles, three triples, 20 home runs and 31 walks.
• Rodriguez ranks 37th in homers and 41st in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Ty France’s .276 batting average is a team-high mark.
• France is 82nd in homers in baseball, and 45th in RBI.
• Eugenio Suarez leads the Mariners with 23 home runs and 71 runs batted in.
• J.P. Crawford is hitting .258 with 21 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 47 walks.
• Crawford takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .308 with two walks and an RBI.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jose Ramirez has put up a team-high 25 home runs and has driven in 104 runs.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Ramirez ranks 19th in homers and fourth in RBI.
• Steven Kwan is batting .298 with 20 doubles, five triples, three home runs and 46 walks.
• Among all major league hitters, Kwan ranks 303rd in homers and 181st in RBI.
• Amed Rosario is hitting .286 with 22 doubles, seven triples, eight home runs and 23 walks.
• Andres Gimenez leads the Guardians with a .304 batting average.