Mariners vs. Guardians Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/28/2022

The Seattle Mariners (69-58) are set to take on the Cleveland Guardians (67-58) Sunday at 4:10 PM ET. The Mariners are listed as -152 favorites by bookmakers, while the underdog Guardians have +129 odds for the contest. Robbie Ray will get the ball for Seattle while Cleveland counter with Aaron Civale.

Mariners vs. Guardians Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mariners vs. Guardians

Our best bet is the Guardians on the moneyline at +129 after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Cleveland Guardians (+129) and Over (7)

Mariners vs. Guardians Game Info

• Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Robbie Ray
• Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Aaron Civale
• Game Day: Sunday, August 28, 2022
• Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
• Location: Seattle, Washington
• Stadium: T-Mobile Park

Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Matchup

Mariners Starter Robbie Ray

• The Mariners will send Ray (10-8) to the mound to make his 26th start of the season. He is 10-8 with a 3.75 ERA and 173 strikeouts through 148 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent time out on Wednesday against the Washington Nationals, the lefty tossed 6 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering two hits.
• The 30-year-old has an ERA of 3.75, with 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings, in 25 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .221 batting average against him.
• Ray is trying to build upon a fourth-game quality start streak in this game.
• Ray will try to build on a five-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.3 frames per appearance).
• The opposing Guardians offense has a collective .251 batting average, and is 10th in the league with 1071 total hits and 17th in MLB action with 538 runs scored. It has the 18th-ranked slugging percentage (.384) and ranks 29th in home runs (100) in all of MLB.
• The 30-year-old ranks 39th in ERA (3.75), 33rd in WHIP (1.170), and eighth in K/9 (10.5) among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season.

Guardians Starter Aaron Civale

• The Guardians will hand the ball to Civale (2-5) for his 16th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up one earned run in 4 2/3 innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the San Diego Padres.
• The 27-year-old has pitched to a 5.37 ERA this season with 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.4 walks per nine across 15 games.
• In 15 starts this season, he’s earned three quality starts.
• Civale has started 15 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings six times. He averages 4.2 innings per appearance.
• The Mariners have scored 522 runs this season, which ranks 22nd in MLB. They have 973 hits, 23rd in baseball, with 143 home runs (11th in the league).

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mariners have entered the game as favorites 55 times this season and won 36, or 65.5%, of those games.
• This season, Seattle has won 16 of its 26 games, or 61.5%, when favored by at least -152 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 60.3% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
• Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 60 of their 127 opportunities.
• In 127 games with a spread this season, the Mariners are 66-61-0 ATS.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

• The Guardians have been underdogs in 70 games this season and have come away with the win 34 times (48.6%) in those contests.
• This season, Cleveland has been victorious 16 times in 35 chances when named as an underdog of at least +129 or longer on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 43.7% chance of pulling out a win.
• Contests with Cleveland have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 58 of 132 chances this season.
• In 132 games with a line this season, the Guardians have a mark of 71-61-0 against the spread.

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

• Julio Rodriguez has 19 doubles, three triples, 21 home runs and 31 walks while hitting .266.
• In all of the majors, Rodriguez ranks 32nd in home runs and 37th in RBI.
• Ty France’s .275 batting average paces his team.
• France ranks 82nd in home runs and 46th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Eugenio Suarez leads the Mariners with 24 home runs and 72 runs batted in.
• Suarez has at least one base hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with a double, two home runs, four walks and three RBI.
• J.P. Crawford is batting .256 with 21 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 47 walks.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians in home runs (26) and runs batted in (106).
• Among all hitters in the majors, Ramirez is 16th in homers and second in RBI.
• Ramirez has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .389 with a double, three home runs, three walks and seven RBI.
• Steven Kwan has 20 doubles, five triples, three home runs and 47 walks while batting .300.
• Kwan is 303rd in homers and 185th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Amed Rosario is hitting .286 with 22 doubles, seven triples, eight home runs and 23 walks.
• Andres Gimenez paces the Guardians with a team-leading batting average of .302.