Mariners vs. Guardians Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/2/2022

The Seattle Mariners (73-58) will vie for their fifth straight victory when they visit the Cleveland Guardians (68-61) on Friday at 7:10 PM ET. The Mariners are listed as -143 favorites by bookmakers, while the Guardians are +122 underdogs. Luis Castillo will get the ball for Seattle while Cleveland counter with Zach Plesac.

Mariners vs. Guardians Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mariners vs. Guardians

After taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Guardians on the moneyline at +122. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Cleveland Guardians (+122) and Over (7.5)

Mariners vs. Guardians Game Info

• Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Luis Castillo
• Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Zach Plesac
• Game Day: Friday, September 2, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Cleveland, Ohio
• Stadium: Progressive Field

Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Matchup

Mariners Starter Luis Castillo

• Castillo (5-5) gets the starting nod for the Mariners in his 20th start of the season. He has a 2.85 ERA in 116 2/3 innings pitched, with 129 strikeouts.
• His most recent time out came on Sunday against the Cleveland Guardians, when the right-hander went six innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing four hits.
• In 19 games this season, the 29-year-old has a 2.85 ERA and 10 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .207 to opposing batters.
• Castillo is trying to pick up his 15th quality start of the season.
• Castillo will aim to pitch five or more innings for his 19th straight start. He’s averaging 6.0 innings per outing.
• He meets a Guardians offense that ranks 22nd in the league with 543 runs while batting .249 as a squad. It has a collective .380 slugging percentage (23rd in MLB play) and has hit a total of 101 home runs (29th in MLB).
• Castillo has pitched six innings, giving up one earned run on four hits while striking out 10 against the Guardians this season.

Guardians Starter Zach Plesac

• Plesac (3-11) will take to the mound for the Guardians and make his 24th start of the season.
• The right-hander gave up three earned runs and allowed three hits in seven innings pitched against the Seattle Mariners on Sunday.
• The 27-year-old has pitched in 23 games this season with an ERA of 4.39, a 2.676 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.307.
• He has 11 quality starts in 23 chances this season.
• Plesac has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Mariners rank 20th in MLB with 547 runs scored this season. They have a .231 batting average this campaign with 152 home runs (11th in the league).
• The right-hander has faced the Mariners one time this season, allowing them to go 3-for-24 with three home runs and three RBI in seven innings.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mariners have been favorites in 59 games this season and won 40 (67.8%) of those contests.
• Seattle is 24-14 this season when entering a game favored by -143 or more on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 58.8% chance to win.
• Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 61 of their 131 chances.
• The Mariners are 70-61-0 against the spread this season.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

• The Guardians have won in 34, or 47.9%, of the 71 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Cleveland has a win-loss record of 19-23 when favored by +122 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 45% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Cleveland’s games have gone over the total in 58 of their 136 opportunities.
• In 136 games with a line this season, the Guardians have a mark of 72-64-0 against the spread.

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

• Julio Rodriguez is batting .264 with 20 doubles, three triples, 22 home runs and 34 walks.
• Among all hitters in baseball, Rodriguez’s home run total ranks him 31st, and his RBI tally ranks him 44th.
• Rodriguez brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .211 with a double, two home runs, three walks and two RBI.
• Ty France is hitting .284 to lead his team.
• France is 57th in home runs in MLB, and 34th in RBI.
• France has four games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .471 with three home runs, a walk and six RBI.
• Eugenio Suarez paces the Mariners in home runs (25) and runs batted in (76).
• Suarez is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .368 with two home runs, a walk and five RBI.
• J.P. Crawford is hitting .253 with 21 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 48 walks.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 26 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 106.
• Ramirez’s home run total places him 18th in the majors, and he is second in RBI.
• Ramirez carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .316 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
• Steven Kwan is batting .293 with 21 doubles, five triples, three home runs and 49 walks.
• Kwan is 314th in home runs and 179th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Amed Rosario has 22 doubles, seven triples, eight home runs and 23 walks while batting .281.
• Andres Gimenez leads the Guardians with a .302 batting average.