Mariners vs. Guardians Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/3/2022

by | Sep 3, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Mariners vs. Guardians Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/3/2022

The Seattle Mariners (74-58) and Cal Raleigh (2 HR in his last game) are favored (-150) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Cleveland Guardians (68-62) on Saturday at 7:15 PM ET. Seattle’s Robbie Ray gets the start, and he’ll go against Cleveland’s Xzavion Curry.

Mariners vs. Guardians Spread and Betting Line

Mariners vs Guardians Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Mariners -150 +128 7.5 -110 -110 -1.5 +107 -127

Computer Predictions for Mariners vs. Guardians

After analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Guardians on the moneyline at +128. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Cleveland Guardians (+128) and Over (7.5)

Mariners vs. Guardians Game Info

  • Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Robbie Ray
  • Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Xzavion Curry
  • Game Day: Saturday, September 3, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:15 PM ET
  • Location: Cleveland, Ohio
  • Stadium: Progressive Field

Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Matchup

Ray Curry
26 GS 1
11-8 W-L 0-0
3.58 ERA 5.40
155.2 IP 5.0
53 BB 1
180 SO 3

Mariners Starter Robbie Ray

  • Ray makes the start for the Mariners, his 27th of the season. He is 11-8 with a 3.58 ERA and 180 strikeouts in 155 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Sunday against the Cleveland Guardians, the left-hander went 7 2/3 scoreless innings while surrendering three hits.
  • The 30-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.58, with 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings, in 26 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .218 batting average against him.
  • Ray is trying to extend a fifth-game quality start streak in this game.
  • Ray will look to continue a six-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.3 innings per outing).
  • The opposing Guardians offense has a collective .249 batting average, and is 10th in the league with 1101 total hits and 22nd in MLB play with 544 runs scored. It has the 24th-ranked slugging percentage (.379) and ranks 29th in home runs (101) in all of MLB.
  • Ray has pitched seven innings without giving up an earned run on three hits, while striking out seven against the Guardians this season.
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 30-year-old ranks 34th in ERA (3.58), 26th in WHIP (1.137), and eighth in K/9 (10.4).

Guardians Starter Xzavion Curry

  • The Guardians’ Curry will make his second start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Monday, Aug. 15 against the Detroit Tigers, throwing 5 2/3 innings and giving up three earned runs.
  • He has pitched in one games this season with an ERA of 5.40, a 3 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.800.
  • The Mariners have scored 553 runs this season, which ranks 19th in MLB. They have 1013 hits, 23rd in baseball, with 154 home runs (10th in the league).

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mariners have been favorites in 60 games this season and won 41 (68.3%) of those contests.
  • This season, Seattle has won 21 of its 32 games, or 65.6%, when favored by at least -150 on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 60% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Seattle and its opponents have hit the over in 61 of their 132 games with a total.
  • The Mariners are 71-61-0 against the spread in their 132 chances this season.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Guardians have been victorious in 34, or 47.2%, of the 72 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Cleveland has been victorious 16 times in 35 chances when named as an underdog of at least +128 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 43.9% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
  • Cleveland and their opponents have gone over in 58 of their 137 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Guardians have posted a record of 72-65-0 against the spread this season.

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Julio Rodriguez is batting .263 with 20 doubles, three triples, 22 home runs and 34 walks.
  • Rodriguez’s home runs put him 31st in the majors, and he is 44th in RBI.
  • Rodriguez carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .200 with a double, a home run, three walks and an RBI.
  • Ty France’s .284 batting average paces his team.
  • Of all major league batters, France ranks 58th in homers and 34th in RBI.
  • France carries a five-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .474 with a double, three home runs, two walks and six RBI.
  • Eugenio Suarez has put up a team-high 25 home runs and 76 runs batted in.
  • Adam Frazier has 19 doubles, three triples, three home runs and 41 walks while batting .244.
  • Frazier is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .235 with a double, a triple, a walk and an RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Julio Rodríguez 115 .263 .324 .469 22 65 118
Ty France 112 .284 .352 .446 17 68 124
Eugenio Suárez 131 .231 .334 .445 25 76 109
Adam Frazier 129 .244 .308 .318 3 33 112
J.P. Crawford 118 .252 .333 .344 5 33 109

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Jose Ramirez paces the Guardians with 26 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 106.
  • Ramirez ranks 18th in home runs and second in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Steven Kwan is hitting .293 with 21 doubles, five triples, three home runs and 49 walks.
  • Kwan ranks 317th in home runs and 179th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Amed Rosario has 22 doubles, seven triples, eight home runs and 23 walks while hitting .279.
  • Andres Gimenez paces the Guardians with a team-leading batting average of .302.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
José Ramírez 126 .282 .352 .541 26 106 136
Steven Kwan 117 .293 .368 .385 3 37 127
Amed Rosario 124 .279 .312 .397 8 52 142
Andrés Giménez 117 .302 .368 .486 15 60 117
Josh Naylor 96 .261 .313 .450 16 61 91

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