Mariners vs. Guardians Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/4/2022

The Cleveland Guardians (68-63 look to avoid the sweep when they host the Seattle Mariners (75-58) in the final game of a three-game set. Bookmakers have listed the Mariners as -130 favorites, while the Guardians are +109 underdogs to pick up a win. Seattle’s George Kirby gets the start, and he’ll go against Cleveland’s Cal Quantrill.

Mariners vs. Guardians Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mariners vs. Guardians

We have the Guardians on the moneyline at +109 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Cleveland Guardians (+109) and Over (7.5)

Mariners vs. Guardians Game Info

• Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: George Kirby
• Cleveland Guardians probable starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill
• Game Day: Sunday, September 4, 2022
• Game Time: 2:40 PM ET
• TV Channel: BSGL
• Location: Cleveland, Ohio
• Stadium: Progressive Field

Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians Pitching Matchup

Mariners Starter George Kirby

• Kirby (6-3 with a 3.16 ERA and 107 strikeouts in 102 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Mariners, his 20th of the season.
• In his most recent appearance on Tuesday against the Detroit Tigers, the righty went five scoreless innings while surrendering two hits.
• The 24-year-old has an ERA of 3.16, with 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings, in 19 games this season. Opponents have a .259 batting average against him.
• Kirby has eight quality starts under his belt this year.
• Kirby will look to prolong a six-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.1 innings per outing).
• The opposing Guardians offense has the 24th-ranked slugging percentage (.378) and ranks 29th in MLB play with 101 home runs. It has a collective .249 batting average, and is 10th in MLB with 1110 total hits and 23rd in MLB play scoring 544 runs.

Guardians Starter Cal Quantrill

• The Guardians will hand the ball to Quantrill (11-5) for his 26th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed six innings while giving up one earned run on one hit in a matchup with the Baltimore Orioles.
• The 27-year-old has an ERA of 3.50, a 2.390 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.181 in 25 games this season.
• He’s looking to extend his two-game quality start streak.
• Quantrill has 10 starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Mariners rank 20th in MLB with 557 runs scored this season. They have a .230 batting average this campaign with 155 home runs (10th in the league).
• Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 27-year-old’s 3.50 ERA ranks 33rd, 1.181 WHIP ranks 33rd, and 5.9 K/9 ranks 50th.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Mariners have been favored 61 times and won 42, or 68.9%, of those games.
• Seattle has entered 47 games this season favored by -130 or more and is 33-14 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.5% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
• Games involving Seattle have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 61 of 133 chances this season.
• The Mariners have an ATS record of 72-61-0 in 133 games with a spread this season.

Guardians Betting Picks & Insights

• The Guardians have won in 34, or 46.6%, of the 73 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• Cleveland has a mark of 26-30 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +109 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 47.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Cleveland and their opponents have gone over in 58 of their 138 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Guardians are 72-66-0 against the spread in their 138 games that had a posted line this season.

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ty France leads the Mariners with a .283 batting average.
• Including all MLB hitters, France is 28th in batting average, 35th in on-base percentage, and 47th in slugging.
• France has collected a hit in six straight games. During his last 10 games he is hitting .313 with a double, four home runs, two walks and seven RBI.
• Julio Rodriguez has 20 doubles, three triples, 22 home runs and 34 walks while batting .263.
• Rodriguez ranks 32nd in home runs in baseball, and 45th in RBI.
• Rodriguez enters this game looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .238 with a double, a home run, three walks and an RBI.
• Eugenio Suarez leads the Mariners with 25 home runs and 76 runs batted in.
• J.P. Crawford is batting .252 with 21 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 50 walks.

Guardians Leaders & Batting Stats

• Jose Ramirez has posted a team-leading 26 home runs and has driven in 106 runs.
• Ramirez’s home run total places him 18th in the big leagues, and he ranks third in RBI.
• Steven Kwan is hitting .295 with 21 doubles, five triples, three home runs and 49 walks.
• Kwan ranks 318th in home runs and 180th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Amed Rosario is batting .279 with 22 doubles, seven triples, eight home runs and 23 walks.
• Andres Gimenez leads the team in batting average with a mark of .302.