Mariners vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/12/2022

by | Jul 11, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Mariners vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/12/2022

The Washington Nationals (30-58) are -105 underdogs for their meeting with the Seattle Mariners (45-42) on Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET. Josh Bell has 97 hits on the season and will hope to hit his milestone 100th once the game begins at Nationals Park. Seattle’s Chris Flexen and Washington’s Josiah Gray have been named the starters for this contest.

Mariners vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Mariners vs Nationals Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Mariners -115 -105 10.5 -110 -110 -1.5 +135 -155

Computer Predictions for Mariners vs. Nationals

After looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at -105. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 10.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (-105) and Over (10.5)

Mariners vs. Nationals Game Info

  • Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Chris Flexen
  • Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Josiah Gray
  • Game Day: Tuesday, July 12, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Location: Washington D.C.
  • Stadium: Nationals Park

Seattle Mariners vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Flexen Gray
16 GS 16
5-8 W-L 7-5
4.00 ERA 4.14
90.0 IP 87.0
32 BB 36
66 SO 99

Mariners Starter Chris Flexen

  • The Mariners are sending Flexen (5-8) to the mound for his 17th start of the season. He is 5-8 with a 4.00 ERA and 66 strikeouts in 90 innings pitched.
  • The right-hander’s most recent appearance came on Monday against the San Diego Padres, when he tossed 6 2/3 scoreless innings while giving up four hits.
  • The 28-year-old has an ERA of 4.00, with 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings, in 16 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .267 batting average against him.
  • Flexen is seeking his third quality start in a row.
  • Flexen will try to extend a nine-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing).
  • The opposing Nationals offense has a collective .248 batting average, and is ninth in the league with 731 total hits and 26th in MLB action with 341 runs scored. It has the 26th-ranked slugging percentage (.373) and ranks 26th in home runs (68) in all of MLB.
  • The 28-year-old’s 4.00 ERA ranks 43rd, 1.400 WHIP ranks 58th, and 6.6 K/9 ranks 52nd among qualifying pitchers this season.

Nationals Starter Josiah Gray

  • The Nationals will send Gray (7-5) to the mound for his 17th start this season.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed four hits in 6 2/3 innings pitched against the Philadelphia Phillies on Wednesday.
  • The 24-year-old has pitched to a 4.14 ERA this season with 10.2 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.7 walks per nine across 16 games.
  • He has six quality starts in 16 chances this season.
  • Gray will look to pitch five or more innings for the eighth start in a row.
  • The Mariners rank 23rd in MLB with 354 runs scored this season. They have a .234 batting average this campaign with 93 home runs (14th in the league).

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Mariners have won 22 out of the 34 games, or 64.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Seattle has entered 31 games this season favored by -115 or more and is 21-10 in those contests.
  • The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 53.5% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
  • Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 41 of their 87 opportunities.
  • The Mariners are 46-41-0 against the spread in their 87 chances this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Nationals have come away with 23 wins in the 73 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Washington has been victorious 23 times in 71 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Contests with Washington have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 43 of 88 chances this season.
  • The Nationals are 37-51-0 against the spread in their 88 games that had a posted line this season.

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Julio Rodriguez’s 15 home runs in 2022 are the most on the Mariners. He’s also driven in 44 runs while hitting .277.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Rodriguez is 31st in home runs and 45th in RBI.
  • Ty France’s 45 RBI and .306 batting average both pace his team.
  • France is 83rd in homers and 38th in RBI in the bigs.
  • J.P. Crawford is batting .266 with 16 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 31 walks.
  • Eugenio Suarez has shown off his power as he paces his team with 15 home runs.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Julio Rodríguez 86 .277 .337 .480 15 44 90
Ty France 74 .306 .379 .460 10 45 89
J.P. Crawford 78 .266 .345 .386 5 24 78
Eugenio Suárez 86 .242 .336 .443 15 44 77
Carlos Santana 64 .228 .359 .377 7 27 49

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Juan Soto has hit a team-high 17 home runs.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Soto’s home run total is 19th and his RBI tally ranks 76th.
  • Soto takes a hitting streak of five games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .500 with two home runs, five walks and four RBI.
  • Bell’s 47 runs batted in and .307 batting average both lead his team.
  • Bell is 55th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 29th in RBI.
  • Nelson Cruz paces the Nationals with 47 runs batted in.
  • Cesar Hernandez is hitting .241 with 18 doubles, two triples and 27 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Juan Soto 85 .236 .392 .466 17 37 69
Josh Bell 87 .307 .389 .494 12 47 97
Nelson Cruz 80 .241 .326 .363 8 47 71
César Hernández 87 .241 .301 .305 0 19 84
Keibert Ruiz 67 .255 .315 .356 3 19 63

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