Mariners vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/29/2022

by | Jun 29, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baltimore Orioles 9 Mariners vs. Orioles Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 6/29/2022

The Seattle Mariners (35-41) host the Baltimore Orioles (35-41) Wednesday to close out a three-game series. The Mariners are favored (-146) to win the rubber match, which starts at 4:10 PM ET from T-Mobile Park. Seattle’s Chris Flexen gets the start, and he’ll go against Baltimore’s Austin Voth.

Mariners vs. Orioles Spread and Betting Line

Mariners vs Orioles Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Mariners -146 +125 8 -109 -111 -1.5 +142 -169

Computer Predictions for Mariners vs. Orioles

Our best bet is the Orioles on the moneyline at +125 after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer predicts the scoring will over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Baltimore Orioles (+125) and Over (8)

Mariners vs. Orioles Game Info

  • Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Chris Flexen
  • Baltimore Orioles probable starting pitcher: Austin Voth
  • Game Day: Wednesday, June 29, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Location: Seattle, Washington
  • Stadium: T-Mobile Park

Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore Orioles Pitching Matchup

Flexen Voth
14 GS 2
3-8 W-L 0-0
4.31 ERA 7.81
77.1 IP 27.2
27 BB 10
55 SO 28

Mariners Starter Chris Flexen

  • Flexen makes the start for the Mariners, his 15th of the season. He is 3-8 with a 4.31 ERA and 55 strikeouts in 77 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Saturday, the righty tossed 5 2/3 innings against the Los Angeles Angels, giving up three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • In 14 games this season, the 27-year-old has amassed an ERA of 4.31, with 6.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .273 against him.
  • Flexen has five quality starts under his belt this year.
  • Flexen will look to last five or more innings for his seventh straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.2 frames per outing.
  • He will face an Orioles offense that ranks 21st in MLB with 587 total hits (on a .229 batting average). The team also slugs a collective .381 (19th in MLB) with 79 total home runs (15th in MLB).
  • Flexen has a 5.4 ERA and a 1.4 WHIP against the Orioles this season in five innings pitched, allowing a .286 batting average over one appearance.
  • The 27-year-old’s 4.31 ERA ranks 50th, 1.422 WHIP ranks 58th, and 6.4 K/9 ranks 57th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Orioles Starter Austin Voth

  • Voth will take to the mound for the Orioles, his third start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he threw 3 2/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox, giving up one earned run.
  • He has pitched to a 7.81 ERA this season with 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.3 walks per nine across 24 games.
  • The Mariners rank 25th in MLB with a .232 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 23rd in the league (.378) and 79 home runs.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mariners have entered the game as favorites 28 times this season and won 17, or 60.7%, of those games.
  • Seattle has a record of 6-7, a 46.2% win rate, when favored by -146 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 59.3% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
  • Games involving Seattle have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 35 of 76 chances this season.
  • The Mariners have an ATS record of 39-37-0 in 76 games with a spread this season.

Orioles Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Orioles have been victorious in 31, or 44.3%, of the 70 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Baltimore has been victorious 23 times in 50 chances when named as an underdog of at least +125 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 44.4% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Baltimore and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 33 of their 77 opportunities.
  • The Orioles have an against the spread mark of 49-28-0 in 77 games with a line this season.

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Julio Rodriguez is batting .276 with 15 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 22 walks.
  • Rodriguez ranks 51st in homers and 64th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Rodriguez brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with a double, two home runs, two walks and two RBI.
  • J.P. Crawford is hitting .261 with 15 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 30 walks.
  • Including all major league hitters, Crawford is 167th in homers and 202nd in RBI.
  • Jesse Winker has 12 doubles, six home runs and 49 walks while batting .228.
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit 13 home runs to pace his team.
  • Suarez has recorded at least one hit in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .400 with three doubles, two walks and two RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Julio Rodríguez 75 .276 .337 .452 11 35 78
J.P. Crawford 71 .261 .346 .383 5 19 69
Jesse Winker 74 .228 .350 .344 6 32 59
Eugenio Suárez 75 .237 .328 .437 13 38 66
Adam Frazier 75 .221 .293 .293 2 21 61

Orioles Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Austin Hays has recorded a team-best 45 runs batted in.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Hays is 51st in homers and 23rd in RBI.
  • Cedric Mullins is hitting .254 with 18 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 19 walks.
  • Mullins is 134th among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 120th in RBI.
  • Anthony Santander has 14 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
  • Ryan Mountcastle has 14 doubles, 13 home runs and 13 walks while batting .267.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Austin Hays 70 .279 .337 .478 11 45 76
Cedric Mullins 74 .254 .308 .381 6 29 76
Anthony Santander 69 .236 .331 .428 14 39 59
Ryan Mountcastle 64 .267 .303 .475 13 38 68
Trey Mancini 67 .281 .359 .422 7 28 72

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