Mariners vs. Padres Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/14/2022

by | Sep 14, 2022

The Seattle Mariners (79-62) will be out to avoid the sweep when they host the San Diego Padres (78-64) to complete a two-game series. Sportsbooks have listed the Mariners as -154 favorites for the series finale, while the Padres are +132 underdogs. Seattle’s Luis Castillo gets the start, and he’ll go against San Diego’s Mike Clevinger.

Mariners vs. Padres Spread and Betting Line

Mariners vs Padres Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Mariners -154 +132 7.5 -106 -114 -1.5 +140 -169

Computer Predictions for Mariners vs. Padres

Our best bet is the Padres on the moneyline at +132 after taking a look at all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer predicts the total score will over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: San Diego Padres (+132) and Over (7.5)

Mariners vs. Padres Game Info

  • Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Luis Castillo
  • San Diego Padres probable starting pitcher: Mike Clevinger
  • Game Day: Wednesday, September 14, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Location: Seattle, Washington
  • Stadium: T-Mobile Park

Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres Pitching Matchup

Castillo Clevinger
21 GS 18
6-5 W-L 5-6
2.81 ERA 4.13
128.1 IP 93.2
38 BB 30
141 SO 81

Mariners Starter Luis Castillo

  • Castillo (6-5) takes the mound for the Mariners in his 22nd start of the season. He’s put together a 2.81 ERA in 128 1/3 innings pitched, with 141 strikeouts.
  • In his last time out on Wednesday, the righty went 5 2/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox, giving up three earned runs while surrendering five hits.
  • The 29-year-old has an ERA of 2.81, with 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 21 games this season. Opponents have a .209 batting average against him.
  • Castillo has 15 quality starts under his belt this year.
  • Castillo will try to last five or more innings for his 21st straight appearance. He’s averaging 6.0 innings per outing.
  • The opposing Padres offense has a collective .240 batting average, and is 16th in the league with 1151 total hits and 14th in MLB play with 622 runs scored. It has the 24th-ranked slugging percentage (.380) and ranks 21st in home runs (133) in all of MLB.

Padres Starter Mike Clevinger

  • The Padres will send Clevinger (5-6) to the mound for his 19th start this season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed five innings while giving up four earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Los Angeles Dodgers.
  • The 31-year-old has pitched in 19 games this season with an ERA of 4.13 and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .226.
  • He has five quality starts in 18 chances this season.
  • Clevinger has made 11 starts of five or more innings in 18 chances this season, and averages 4.3 frames when he pitches.
  • The Mariners have scored 589 runs this season, which ranks 20th in MLB. They are batting .229 for the campaign with 169 home runs, 10th in the league.
  • The Mariners have gone 6-for-23 with a double, a home run and four RBI in six innings this season against the right-hander.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mariners have entered the game as favorites 65 times this season and won 44, or 67.7%, of those games.
  • Seattle has a record of 19-10, a 65.5% win rate, when favored by -154 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The bookmakers’ moneyline implies a 60.6% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
  • Seattle and its opponents have hit the over in 65 of their 141 games with a total this season.
  • The Mariners are 77-64-0 against the spread in their 141 chances this season.

Padres Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Padres have won in 21, or 50%, of the 42 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • San Diego has a win-loss record of 6-6 when favored by +132 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The Padres have an implied victory probability of 43.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • San Diego’s games have gone over the total in 70 of their 143 opportunities.
  • In 143 games with a line this season, the Padres have a mark of 61-82-0 against the spread.

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Julio Rodriguez has a team-best batting average of .275.
  • Of all batters in baseball, Rodriguez’s home run total places him 28th, and his RBI tally ranks him 43rd.
  • Rodriguez carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .471 with two doubles, two home runs, five walks and four RBI.
  • Ty France’s .275 batting average leads his team.
  • France ranks 62nd in home runs and 40th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Eugenio Suarez has a team-best 30 home runs and 82 runs batted in.
  • Suarez is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .350 with five home runs, a walk and six RBI.
  • J.P. Crawford is hitting .250 with 23 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 52 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Julio Rodríguez 124 .275 .337 .488 25 70 133
Ty France 121 .275 .339 .438 18 71 130
Eugenio Suárez 140 .236 .336 .467 30 82 119
J.P. Crawford 127 .250 .330 .347 6 38 116
Adam Frazier 138 .241 .307 .315 3 35 117

Padres Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Manny Machado leads the Padres with 28 home runs and 90 runs batted in, while posting a team-best batting average of .302.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Machado is 15th in home runs and 13th in RBI.
  • Juan Soto is batting .237 with 20 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 121 walks.
  • Soto is currently 32nd in homers and 104th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Josh Bell has 29 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 71 walks while hitting .277.
  • Jurickson Profar has 32 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 69 walks while batting .240.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Manny Machado 131 .302 .371 .540 28 90 152
Juan Soto 134 .237 .402 .448 24 53 108
Josh Bell 139 .277 .367 .447 17 68 140
Jurickson Profar 134 .240 .334 .395 14 56 121
Jake Cronenworth 139 .243 .339 .398 16 73 126

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