Mariners vs. Rangers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/16/2022

by | Jul 16, 2022

The Seattle Mariners (49-42) will put their 12-game win streak to the test when they visit the Texas Rangers (41-47) Saturday at 4:05 PM ET. Oddsmakers consider the Mariners -141 favorites to extend their streak, while the Rangers are +120 underdogs looking for the upset. Seattle’s Logan Gilbert and Texas’ Spencer Howard have been named the starters for this contest.

Mariners vs. Rangers Spread and Betting Line

Mariners vs Rangers Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Mariners -141 +120 8.5 -109 -110 -1.5 +117 -140

Computer Predictions for Mariners vs. Rangers

We have the Rangers on the moneyline at +120 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Texas Rangers (+120) and Over (8.5)

Mariners vs. Rangers Game Info

  • Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert
  • Texas Rangers probable starting pitcher: Spencer Howard
  • Game Day: Saturday, July 16, 2022
  • Game Time: 4:05 PM ET
  • Location: Arlington, Texas
  • Stadium: Globe Life Field

Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers Pitching Matchup

Gilbert Howard
18 GS 3
10-3 W-L 1-1
2.89 ERA 8.04
106.0 IP 15.2
29 BB 4
100 SO 15

Mariners Starter Logan Gilbert

  • Gilbert makes the start for the Mariners, his 19th of the season. He is 10-3 with a 2.89 ERA and 100 strikeouts in 106 innings pitched.
  • His last appearance came on Sunday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when the righty went 6 2/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up nine hits.
  • In 18 games this season, the 25-year-old has a 2.89 ERA and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .236 to opposing batters.
  • Gilbert is trying to collect his ninth quality start of the year.
  • Gilbert will look to extend a 19-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.3 innings per appearance).
  • He will match up with a Rangers team that is hitting .239 as a unit (18th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .400 (14th in MLB) with 116 total home runs (sixth in MLB).
  • Gilbert has a 0.71 ERA and a 0.947 WHIP against the Rangers this season in 12 2/3 innings pitched, allowing a .229 batting average over two appearances.
  • Among pitchers who qualify in MLB play this season, the 25-year-old ranks 17th in ERA (2.89), 32nd in WHIP (1.170), and 30th in K/9 (8.5).

Rangers Starter Spencer Howard

  • Howard (1-1) will take the mound for the Rangers, his fourth start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run in 5 2/3 innings pitched on Tuesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Oakland Athletics.
  • The 25-year-old has an ERA of 8.04, a 3.75 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.660 in five games this season.
  • Howard has one start of five or more innings this season in three chances. He averages 3.0 innings per outing.
  • The Mariners rank 23rd in MLB with a .236 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks 16th in the league (.389) and 100 home runs.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Mariners have entered the game as favorites 36 times this season and won 24, or 66.7%, of those games.
  • This season, Seattle has won 11 of its 19 games, or 57.9%, when favored by at least -141 on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 58.5% chance to win.
  • Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 44 of their 91 chances.
  • The Mariners are 49-42-0 against the spread in their 91 chances this season.

Rangers Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Rangers have been victorious in 27, or 50%, of the 54 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Texas has a mark of 15-15 in contests where bookmakers favor them by +120 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rangers have a 45.5% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Texas and their opponents have hit the over in 42 of their 89 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Rangers have an against the spread mark of 50-39-0 in 89 games with a line this season.

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Julio Rodriguez has racked up a team-best 16 home runs and 50 runs batted in.
  • Rodriguez is 31st in homers and 31st in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Rodriguez takes a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with a home run, a walk and seven RBI.
  • Ty France has a club-high .302 batting average.
  • France ranks 87th in homers and 41st in RBI on the year.
  • France has two straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .182 with three doubles and two RBI.
  • J.P. Crawford has 16 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 32 walks while batting .266.
  • Crawford will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with a double, two walks and an RBI.
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit 16 home runs with 50 runs batted in. Both are team-highs.
  • Suarez is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .235 with a double, a home run, four walks and six RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Julio Rodríguez 89 .278 .338 .482 16 50 94
Ty France 77 .302 .372 .456 10 47 92
J.P. Crawford 80 .266 .345 .382 5 24 80
Eugenio Suárez 90 .241 .336 .446 16 50 80
Jesse Winker 83 .232 .341 .357 8 35 69

Rangers Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Corey Seager paces the Rangers with 22 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 51.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Seager’s home run total ranks ninth and his RBI tally ranks 25th.
  • Seager carries an eight-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is batting .378 with a double, seven home runs, seven walks and 15 RBI.
  • Marcus Semien has 15 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 29 walks while batting .239.
  • Semien ranks 58th overall in home runs and 64th in RBI this year.
  • Adolis Garcia has sent home a team-best 51 runs batted in.
  • Nate Lowe paces the Rangers with a .273 batting average.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Corey Seager 86 .246 .321 .475 22 51 83
Marcus Semien 87 .239 .296 .395 12 42 84
Adolis García 84 .236 .280 .442 15 51 79
Nate Lowe 83 .273 .327 .434 12 38 85
Jonah Heim 68 .258 .310 .467 12 32 58

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