Mariners vs. Rangers Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/25/2022

The Texas Rangers (43-51) will look to Adolis Garcia, after his four-hit game last time out, to lead them in a matchup with the Seattle Mariners (51-45) on Monday at 10:10 PM ET. The Rangers are +121 underdogs for the contest, according to bookmakers. Seattle’s Chris Flexen gets the start, and he’ll go against Texas’ Glenn Otto.

Mariners vs. Rangers Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Mariners vs. Rangers

We have the Rangers on the moneyline at +121 on the moneyline as our best bet in this game after taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Texas Rangers (+121) and Over (8.5)

Mariners vs. Rangers Game Info

• Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Chris Flexen
• Texas Rangers probable starting pitcher: Glenn Otto
• Game Day: Monday, July 25, 2022
• Game Time: 10:10 PM ET
• Location: Seattle, Washington
• Stadium: T-Mobile Park

Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers Pitching Matchup

Mariners Starter Chris Flexen

• Flexen gets the start for the Mariners, his 19th of the season. He is 6-8 with a 3.79 ERA and 70 strikeouts through 99 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his last appearance on Sunday, July 17, the right-hander tossed 3 2/3 innings against the Texas Rangers, giving up one earned run while surrendering four hits.
• The 28-year-old has an ERA of 3.79, with 6.3 strikeouts per nine innings, in 18 games this season. Opponents are batting .267 against him.
• Flexen has eight quality starts under his belt this year.
• Flexen has pitched five or more innings in a game 15 times this season entering this matchup.
• The opposing Rangers offense has the 12th-ranked slugging percentage (.400) and is eighth in MLB play with 121 home runs. It has a collective .240 batting average, and is 17th in MLB with 770 total hits and 13th in MLB play scoring 430 runs.
• Flexen has a 2.45 ERA and a 1.364 WHIP against the Rangers this season in 3 2/3 innings pitched, allowing a .267 batting average over one appearance.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 28-year-old ranks 40th in ERA (3.79), 54th in WHIP (1.395), and 54th in K/9 (6.3).

Rangers Starter Glenn Otto

• The Rangers’ Otto (4-6) will make his 14th start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, July 17, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed five hits in 6 2/3 innings against the Seattle Mariners.
• The 26-year-old has pitched in 13 games this season with an ERA of 5.40 and 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .249.
• In 13 starts this season, he’s earned a quality start in three of them.
• Otto has made eight starts of five or more innings in 13 chances this season, and averages 4.2 frames when he pitches.
• The Mariners have scored 393 runs this season, which ranks 23rd in MLB. They have 755 hits, 21st in baseball, with 106 home runs (13th in the league).
• This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Mariners in two games, and they have gone 7-for-37 with three home runs and five RBI over 11 innings.

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

• The Mariners have been favorites in 38 games this season and won 26 (68.4%) of those contests.
• Seattle has entered 20 games this season favored by -142 or more and is 12-8 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from the Mariners, based on the moneyline, is 58.7%.
• Seattle and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 45 of their 96 opportunities.
• The Mariners have an ATS record of 50-46-0 in 96 games with a spread this season.

Rangers Betting Picks & Insights

• The Rangers have been underdogs in 57 games this season and have come away with the win 28 times (49.1%) in those contests.
• Texas has a mark of 14-16 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +121 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Rangers have an implied victory probability of 45.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Texas and their opponents have gone over in 45 of their 95 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Rangers have posted a record of 53-42-0 against the spread this season.

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

• Julio Rodriguez has racked up a team-best 16 home runs and 52 runs batted in.
• Rodriguez’s home runs rank him 33rd in the majors, and he is 31st in RBI.
• Ty France is hitting .306 to lead his team.
• Ty France is 69th in home runs and 40th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• J.P. Crawford is batting .263 with 18 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 33 walks.
• Crawford is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .227 with two doubles, a walk and two RBI.
• Eugenio Suarez has shown off his power as he paces his team with 16 home runs.

Rangers Leaders & Batting Stats

• Corey Seager has racked up a team-best 23 home runs.
• In all of MLB, Seager is ninth in home runs and 27th in RBI.
• Seager carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with a triple, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
• Marcus Semien has 18 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks while hitting .244.
• Semien is 57th among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 56th in RBI.
• Adolis Garcia leads the Rangers with 58 runs batted in.
• Nate Lowe leads the Rangers with a .269 batting average.