Mariners vs. White Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/5/2022

by | Sep 4, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Mariners vs. White Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/5/2022

The Seattle Mariners (75-58) roll into Monday’s matchup with the Chicago White Sox (67-67) looking to extend a six-game winning streak. The contest starts at 6:40 PM ET with the Mariners listed as -121 favorites on the moneyline. Marco Gonzales starts for Seattle while Lance Lynn is Chicago’s starter for the contest.

Mariners vs. White Sox Spread and Betting Line

Mariners vs White Sox Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Mariners -121 +101 7.5 -115 -105 -1.5 +100 +119

Computer Predictions for Mariners vs. White Sox

After taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the White Sox on the moneyline at +101. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Chicago White Sox (+101) and Over (7.5)

Mariners vs. White Sox Game Info

  • Seattle Mariners probable starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales
  • Chicago White Sox probable starting pitcher: Lance Lynn
  • Game Day: Monday, September 5, 2022
  • Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
  • Location: Seattle, Washington
  • Stadium: T-Mobile Park

Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox Pitching Matchup

Gonzales Lynn
26 GS 15
10-12 W-L 4-5
3.99 ERA 4.70
146.2 IP 84.1
44 BB 13
80 SO 91

Mariners Starter Marco Gonzales

  • Gonzales (10-12) gets the starting nod for the Mariners in his 27th start of the season. He has a 3.99 ERA in 146 2/3 innings pitched, with 80 strikeouts.
  • His most recent appearance came on Wednesday against the Detroit Tigers, when the left-hander threw six innings, surrendering three earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • The 30-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.99, with 4.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 26 games this season. Opponents have a .277 batting average against him.
  • Gonzales is trying to continue a second-game quality start streak in this matchup.
  • Gonzales will try to build on a 15-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing).
  • He will face off against a White Sox offense that ranks second in MLB with 1211 total hits (on a .261 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .388 (17th in MLB) with 117 total home runs (23rd in MLB).
  • Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 30-year-old ranks 39th in ERA (3.99), 47th in WHIP (1.384), and 52nd in K/9 (4.9).

White Sox Starter Lance Lynn

  • Lynn (4-5) will take to the mound for the White Sox and make his 16th start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in seven innings pitched against the Kansas City Royals on Thursday.
  • The 35-year-old has an ERA of 4.70, a 7 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.138 in 15 games this season.
  • He’s going for his third quality start in a row.
  • Lynn has pitched five or more innings in nine straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • The Mariners rank 20th in MLB with 557 runs scored this season. They have a .230 batting average this campaign with 155 home runs (10th in the league).

Mariners Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Mariners have been favored 61 times and won 42, or 68.9%, of those games.
  • Seattle has entered 53 games this season favored by -121 or more and is 36-17 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
  • Seattle and its opponents have hit the over in 61 of their 133 games with a total this season.
  • The Mariners have an ATS record of 72-61-0 in 133 games with a spread this season.

White Sox Betting Picks & Insights

  • The White Sox have been underdogs in 48 games this season and have come away with the win 21 times (43.8%) in those contests.
  • This year, Chicago has won 19 of 43 games when listed as at least +101 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The White Sox have an implied victory probability of 49.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Contests with Chicago have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 59 of 138 chances this season.
  • The White Sox are 61-77-0 against the spread in their 138 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Mariners Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Ty France’s .283 average leads the Mariners this year. His resume also includes 18 homers and driven in 69 RBI.
  • France is 54th in home runs and 37th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • France carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .313 with a double, four home runs, two walks and seven RBI.
  • Julio Rodriguez is hitting .263 with 20 doubles, three triples, 22 home runs and 34 walks.
  • Rodriguez is 34th in homers and 45th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Rodriguez carries a five-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .238 with a double, a home run, three walks and an RBI.
  • Eugenio Suarez has a team-best 25 home runs and 76 runs batted in.
  • J.P. Crawford is hitting .252 with 21 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 50 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Ty France 113 .283 .350 .450 18 69 125
Julio Rodríguez 116 .263 .323 .466 22 65 119
Eugenio Suárez 132 .231 .333 .444 25 76 110
Adam Frazier 130 .245 .310 .318 3 33 113
J.P. Crawford 119 .252 .334 .344 5 34 110

White Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

  • The White Sox are lead in runs batted in by Jose Abreu with a mark of 63, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .310.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Abreu ranks 96th in home runs and 49th in RBI.
  • Abreu brings a hitting streak of eight games into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .293 with two doubles, three walks and five RBI.
  • Andrew Vaughn has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 15 home runs and 63 RBI.
  • Vaughn is 81st overall in home runs and 49th in RBI this year.
  • Luis Robert is batting .300 with 18 doubles, 12 home runs and 17 walks.
  • Elvis Andrus has 27 doubles, 10 home runs and 33 walks while batting .245.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
José Abreu 132 .310 .384 .454 14 63 157
Andrew Vaughn 110 .286 .335 .454 15 63 122
Luis Robert 90 .300 .336 .451 12 56 107
Elvis Andrus 121 .245 .304 .382 10 41 102
A.J. Pollock 112 .241 .291 .381 10 46 95

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