Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 4/28/2022

The Washington Nationals (6-14) hope to avoid their eighth straight defeat when they host the Miami Marlins (9-8) Thursday at 1:05 PM ET. The Marlins are listed as -156 favorites, while the Nationals are +135 underdogs as they try to snap their losing skid. Trevor Rogers will get the ball for Miami while Washington counter with Patrick Corbin.

Marlins vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Marlins vs. Nationals

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+135) and Over (8)

Marlins vs. Nationals Game Info

• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers
• Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin
• Game Day: Thursday, April 28, 2022
• Game Time: 1:05 PM ET
• Location: Washington D.C.
• Stadium: Nationals Park

Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Marlins Starter Trevor Rogers

• Rogers gets the start for the Marlins, his fourth of the season. He is 0-3 with a 6.94 ERA and 10 strikeouts through 11 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent outing on Friday against the Atlanta Braves, the left-hander went five innings, allowing no earned runs while surrendering four hits.
• The 24-year-old has amassed an ERA of 6.94, with 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings, in three games this season. Opposing hitters have a .304 batting average against him.
• He will face off against a Nationals offense that ranks 13th in MLB with 142 total hits (on a .218 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .311 (27th in MLB) with 11 total home runs (25th in MLB).

Nationals Starter Patrick Corbin

• The Nationals will hand the ball to Corbin (0-3) for his fifth start of the season.
• The left-hander gave up seven earned runs in 1 2/3 innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the San Francisco Giants.
• The 32-year-old has pitched in four games this season with an ERA of 11.20, a 1.364 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 2.561.
• In four starts, Corbin has pitched through or past the fifth inning one time. He has a season average of 3.1 frames per outing.
• The Marlins rank 19th in MLB with 66 runs scored this season. They have a .237 batting average this campaign with 14 home runs (21st in the league).

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have won five of the seven games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Miami has not entered a game this season as a bigger favorite on the moneyline than the -156 odds on them winning this game.
• The implied probability of a win from the Marlins, based on the moneyline, is 60.9%.
• So far this season, Miami and its opponents have hit the over in six of their 17 games with a total.
• The Marlins are 10-7-0 ATS in their 17 games with a spread this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Nationals have been victorious in four, or 26.7%, of the 15 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, Washington has won two of six games when listed as at least +135 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 42.6% chance of walking away with the win.
• Washington’s games have gone over the total in seven of their 20 opportunities.
• The Nationals are 6-14-0 against the spread in their 20 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Marlins best power option comes in the form of Jazz Chisholm and his four-homer 15-RBI season, both team highs.
• Among all hitters in baseball, Chisholm ranks 13th in home runs and sixth in RBI.
• Chisholm has collected a hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with a double, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
• Joey Wendle has a club-high .333 batting average.
• Including all major league hitters, Wendle is 129th in homers and 78th in RBI.
• Jesus Sanchez is hitting .277 with two doubles, two triples, three home runs and five walks.
• Garrett Cooper is batting .275 with three doubles, a home run and six walks.

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Josh Bell has posted a team-leading batting average of .333 and leads the Nationals in runs batted in with a mark of 13.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Bell’s home run total ranks 67th and his RBI tally ranks 12th.
• Juan Soto has shown off his power as he leads his team with three home runs.
• Soto ranks 32nd in homers and 233rd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Maikel Franco has three doubles, two home runs and four walks while batting .278.
• Nelson Cruz is hitting .167 with two home runs and nine walks.

Betting Tips for Marlins vs. Nationals

After analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +135. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.