Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/3/2022

Garrett Cooper, batting .320 this season, leads the Miami Marlins (36-40) into a matchup with one of the league’s other top hitters, Josh Bell (.320 AVG) and the Washington Nationals (29-51). Cooper and the Marlins are -137 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup at Nationals Park, beginning at 1:35 PM ET. Pablo Lopez gets the starting nod for Miami while Erick Fedde is Washington’s starter for the contest.

Marlins vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Marlins vs. Nationals

After analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +117. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+117) and Over (8.5)

Marlins vs. Nationals Game Info

• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Pablo López
• Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Erick Fedde
• Game Day: Sunday, July 3, 2022
• Game Time: 1:35 PM ET
• Location: Washington D.C.
• Stadium: Nationals Park

Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Marlins Starter Pablo López

• Lopez (5-4 with a 3.08 ERA and 88 strikeouts in 87 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Marlins, his 16th of the season.
• The righty last appeared on Monday against the St. Louis Cardinals, when he went 5 2/3 innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up six hits.
• In 15 games this season, the 26-year-old has a 3.08 ERA and 9 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .218 to his opponents.
• Lopez has recorded six quality starts this year.
• Lopez is aiming for his fourth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.3 frames per appearance on the mound.
• The opposing Nationals offense has a collective .252 batting average, and is sixth in the league with 677 total hits and 21st in MLB action with 321 runs scored. It has the 20th-ranked slugging percentage (.380) and ranks 25th in home runs (63) in all of MLB.
• Lopez has a 3 ERA and a 1.222 WHIP against the Nationals this season in nine innings pitched, allowing a .212 batting average over two appearances.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB play this season, the 26-year-old’s 3.08 ERA ranks 23rd, 1.084 WHIP ranks 19th, and 9 K/9 ranks 20th.

Nationals Starter Erick Fedde

• The Nationals’ Fedde (5-5) will make his 16th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Monday, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates, giving up two earned runs while allowing three hits.
• The 29-year-old has pitched in 15 games this season with an ERA of 4.40, a 1.735 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.439.
• He has started 15 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in three of them.
• Fedde will look to pitch five or more innings for the fifth start in a row.
• The Marlins have scored 334 runs this season, which ranks 17th in MLB. They have 623 hits, 15th in baseball, with 83 home runs (15th in the league).
• The Marlins have gone 3-for-16 with a home run and two RBI in one game against the right-hander this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have been favorites in 33 games this season and won 21 (63.6%) of those contests.
• Miami has a record of 9-6, a 60% win rate, when favored by -137 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.8% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
• Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 38 of their 76 opportunities.
• The Marlins are 38-38-0 ATS in their 76 games with a spread this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 66 games this year and have walked away with the win 22 times (33.3%) in those games.
• Washington has a win-loss record of 16-35 when favored by +117 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 46.1% chance of walking away with the win.
• Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 40 of their 80 opportunities.
• In 80 games with a line this season, the Nationals have a mark of 34-46-0 against the spread.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Cooper leads the Marlins with a .320 batting average.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Cooper’s home run total ranks him 176th, and his RBI tally puts him 67th.
• Cooper brings a hitting streak of five games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .474 with four doubles, three walks and an RBI.
• Miguel Rojas is hitting .246 with nine doubles, a triple, six home runs and 14 walks.
• Including all MLB hitters, Rojas ranks 149th in home runs and 188th in RBI.
• Rojas has six straight games with at least one hit. In his last 10 games he is batting .314 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and five RBI.
• Jesus Aguilar has 13 doubles, 10 home runs and 18 walks while hitting .250.
• Aguilar has at least one base hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .227 with a double, a home run and three RBI.
• Jon Berti is hitting .270 with eight doubles, two triples, two home runs and 23 walks.

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

• Bell has put up a team-best batting average of .320 while leading the Nationals in runs batted in with a mark of 46.
• In all of MLB, Bell is 55th in homers and 23rd in RBI.
• Juan Soto’s 15 home runs lead his team.
• Soto ranks 27th overall in home runs and 87th in RBI this year.
• Nelson Cruz is hitting .242 with 12 doubles, eight home runs and 33 walks.
• Cesar Hernandez is batting .259 with 17 doubles, two triples and 26 walks.