Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/4/2022

The Washington Nationals (29-52) will try to end their four-game losing streak when they host the Miami Marlins (37-40) on Monday at 11:05 AM ET. Bookmakers consider the Marlins to be -120 favorites for the contest, while the Nationals are +100 underdogs looking for the upset. Miami’s Braxton Garrett gets the start, and he’ll go against Washington’s Patrick Corbin.

Marlins vs. Nationals Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Marlins vs. Nationals

After taking a look at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup, our best bet is the Nationals on the moneyline at +100. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Washington Nationals (+100) and Over (9.5)

Marlins vs. Nationals Game Info

• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett
• Washington Nationals probable starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin
• Game Day: Monday, July 4, 2022
• Game Time: 11:05 AM ET
• Location: Washington D.C.
• Stadium: Nationals Park

Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals Pitching Matchup

Marlins Starter Braxton Garrett

• The Marlins will send Garrett (1-3) to make his sixth start of the season. He is 1-3 with a 5.24 ERA and 22 strikeouts through 22 1/3 innings pitched.
• In his most recent appearance on Tuesday, the left-hander went 4 2/3 innings against the St. Louis Cardinals, allowing five earned runs while surrendering seven hits.
• In five games this season, the 24-year-old has put up a 5.24 ERA and 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings, while allowing a batting average of .330 to his opponents.
• Garrett has not registered a quality start on the season.
• Garrett heads into this matchup with one outing of five or more innings pitched this year.
• The opposing Nationals offense has the 22nd-ranked slugging percentage (.379) and is 25th in MLB play with 64 home runs. It has a collective .251 batting average, and is sixth in MLB with 682 total hits and 21st in MLB play scoring 325 runs.

Nationals Starter Patrick Corbin

• The Nationals will hand the ball to Corbin (4-10) for his 17th start of the season.
• The left-hander’s last start was on Tuesday, when he tossed eight innings while giving up one earned run on five hits in a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
• The 32-year-old has an ERA of 6.06, a 2.5 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.702 in 16 games this season.
• He has earned a quality start five times in 16 starts this season.
• In 16 starts, Corbin has pitched through or past the fifth inning 10 times. He has a season average of 5.0 frames per outing.
• The Marlins have scored 341 runs this season, which ranks 16th in MLB. They have 631 hits, 15th in baseball, with 85 home runs (15th in the league).
• The Marlins have gone 4-for-22 with three doubles and two RBI in six innings this season against the left-hander.
• The 32-year-old ranks 64th in ERA (6.06), 64th in WHIP (1.702), and 31st in K/9 (8.3) among qualified pitchers in the majors this season.

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have won 22, or 64.7%, of the 34 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• This season, Miami has won 16 of its 26 games, or 61.5%, when favored by at least -120 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
• So far this season, Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 39 of their 77 games with a total.
• The Marlins are 39-38-0 ATS in their 77 games with a spread this season.

Nationals Betting Picks & Insights

• The Nationals have come away with 22 wins in the 67 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Washington has come away with a win 21 times in 63 chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or longer on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 50% chance of pulling out a win.
• Washington’s games have gone over the total in 41 of their 81 opportunities.
• The Nationals are 34-47-0 against the spread in their 81 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Garrett Cooper’s .315 average leads the Marlins this year. His resume also includes five homers and driven in 36 RBI.
• Of all batters in the majors, Cooper’s home run total ranks him 177th, and his RBI tally puts him 68th.
• Miguel Rojas is hitting .245 with nine doubles, a triple, six home runs and 14 walks.
• Rojas is 151st in home runs and 189th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Jesus Aguilar has 13 doubles, 10 home runs and 18 walks while batting .245.
• Jon Berti is hitting .268 with eight doubles, two triples, two home runs and 23 walks.

Nationals Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Nationals are lead in runs batted in by Josh Bell with a mark of 47, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .323.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Bell’s home run total is 49th and his RBI tally is 22nd.
• Juan Soto has collected a team-high 15 home runs.
• Among all major league hitters, Soto is 28th in homers and 92nd in RBI.
• Nelson Cruz is hitting .241 with 12 doubles, eight home runs and 33 walks.
• Cesar Hernandez has 17 doubles, two triples and 26 walks while batting .255.