Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/12/2022

The Pittsburgh Pirates (37-50) roll into Tuesday’s matchup with the Miami Marlins (41-44) looking to extend a three-game winning streak. The contest starts at 6:40 PM ET with the Marlins listed as -150 favorites on the moneyline to stop the Pirates’ streak. Miami’s Daniel Castano and Pittsburgh’s Chris Stratton have been named the starters for this contest.

Marlins vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Marlins vs. Pirates

We have the Pirates on the moneyline at +130 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+130) and Over (8.5)

Marlins vs. Pirates Game Info

• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Daniel Castano
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: Chris Stratton
• Game Day: Tuesday, July 12, 2022
• Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Stadium: loanDepot park

Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Marlins Starter Daniel Castano

• Castano makes the start for the Marlins, his sixth of the season. He is 1-2 with a 3.60 ERA and 17 strikeouts in 30 innings pitched.
• The lefty last pitched on Thursday against the New York Mets, when he tossed 4 2/3 innings, allowing five earned runs while giving up nine hits.
• The 27-year-old has a 3.60 ERA and 5.1 strikeouts per nine innings across eight games this season, while giving up a batting average of .289 to opposing hitters.
• Castano has two quality starts this season.
• Castano has put up three starts this season in which he pitched five or more innings.
• The opposing Pirates offense has the 26th-ranked slugging percentage (.374) and ranks 13th in MLB play with 96 home runs. It has a collective .221 batting average, and is 29th in MLB with 630 total hits and 28th in MLB action scoring 321 runs.

Pirates Starter Chris Stratton

• Stratton will make his first start of the season for the Pirates.
• The 31-year-old righty will start for the first time this campaign after coming out of the bullpen 36 times.
• He has pitched to a 5.14 ERA this season with 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 2.8 walks per nine across 36 games.
• The Marlins have scored 360 runs this season, which ranks 21st in MLB. They have 685 hits, 18th in baseball, with 90 home runs (16th in the league).

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Marlins have been favored 36 times and won 23, or 63.9%, of those games.
• Miami has entered 12 games this season favored by -150 or more and is 6-6 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 60% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
• Games involving Miami have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 41 of 85 chances this season.
• The Marlins have an ATS record of 43-42-0 in 85 games with a spread this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have been underdogs in 71 games this season and have come away with the win 28 times (39.4%) in those contests.
• Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 19-33 when favored by +130 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 43.5% chance of pulling out a win.
• Pittsburgh and their opponents have hit the over in 36 of their 88 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Pirates are 44-44-0 against the spread in their 88 games that had a posted line this season.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• The Marlins best hitter so far this season is Garrett Cooper, who’s hitting at a team-leading .299 clip along with seven homers and 40 RBI.
• Of all batters in MLB, Cooper’s home run total places him 141st, and his RBI tally ranks him 61st.
• Miguel Rojas is batting .243 with 11 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 16 walks.
• Rojas ranks 169th in home runs and 222nd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Jesus Aguilar has 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 19 walks while batting .245.
• Jon Berti has 10 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 25 walks while hitting .277.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ke’Bryan Hayes is hitting .250 with 16 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 31 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .323.
• Hayes’ home run total places him 235th in the big leagues, and he is 164th in RBI.
• Hayes brings a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .235 with a double, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
• Daniel Vogelbach has been productive as he paces his team with 32 RBI.
• Vogelbach ranks 55th in home runs and 127th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Jack Suwinski has nine doubles, 14 home runs and 22 walks while hitting .205.
• Michael Chavis is hitting .237 with nine doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 13 walks.