Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/13/2022

The Pittsburgh Pirates (38-50) will put their four-game win streak to the test when they visit the Miami Marlins (41-45) Wednesday at 6:40 PM ET. Sportsbooks consider the Marlins to be -185 favorites, while the Pirates are +156 underdogs to keep their streak alive. Pablo Lopez gets the starting nod for Miami while JT Brubaker is Pittsburgh’s starter for the contest.

Marlins vs. Pirates Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Marlins vs. Pirates

After analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Pirates on the moneyline at +156. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Pittsburgh Pirates (+156) and Over (7)

Marlins vs. Pirates Game Info

• Miami Marlins probable starting pitcher: Pablo López
• Pittsburgh Pirates probable starting pitcher: JT Brubaker
• Game Day: Wednesday, July 13, 2022
• Game Time: 6:40 PM ET
• Location: Miami, Florida
• Stadium: loanDepot park

Miami Marlins vs Pittsburgh Pirates Pitching Matchup

Marlins Starter Pablo López

• Lopez (6-4) gets the starting nod for the Marlins in his 18th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.00 ERA in 99 innings pitched, with 98 strikeouts.
• In his last time out on Friday against the New York Mets, the righty went 5 2/3 innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering four hits.
• The 26-year-old has put up an ERA of 3.00, with 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 17 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .214 batting average against him.
• Lopez has seven quality starts under his belt this season.
• Lopez is aiming for his sixth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 frames per appearance on the hill.
• He meets a Pirates offense that ranks 28th in the league with 324 runs while batting .221 as a unit. It has a collective .374 slugging percentage (26th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 97 home runs (13th in MLB).
• The 26-year-old ranks 20th in ERA (3.00), 20th in WHIP (1.071), and 20th in K/9 (8.9) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Pirates Starter JT Brubaker

• The Pirates will hand the ball to Brubaker (2-8) for his 18th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings while giving up three earned runs on five hits in a matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers.
• The 28-year-old has pitched to a 4.34 ERA this season with 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 3.9 walks per nine across 17 games.
• He has earned a quality start four times in 17 starts this season.
• Brubaker has six starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Marlins rank 22nd in MLB with 362 runs scored this season. They have a .239 batting average this campaign with 90 home runs (16th in the league).

Marlins Betting Picks & Insights

• The Marlins have been favorites in 37 games this season and won 23 (62.2%) of those contests.
• Miami has a record of 3-2 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -185 on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have a 64.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 41 of their 86 games with a total this season.
• The Marlins are 43-43-0 against the spread in their 86 chances this season.

Pirates Betting Picks & Insights

• The Pirates have come away with 29 wins in the 72 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 12 times in 29 chances when named as an underdog of at least +156 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 39.1% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 36 of their 89 opportunities.
• The Pirates have posted a record of 45-44-0 against the spread this season.

Marlins Leaders & Batting Stats

• Garrett Cooper paces the Marlins with a .296 batting average.
• In all of MLB, Cooper is 140th in homers and 63rd in RBI.
• Miguel Rojas is hitting .240 with 11 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 16 walks.
• Rojas is 169th in home runs and 218th in RBI among all batters in baseball.
• Jesus Aguilar is hitting .245 with 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 19 walks.
• Jon Berti has 10 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 25 walks while hitting .271.

Pirates Leaders & Batting Stats

• Ke’Bryan Hayes is batting .250 with 16 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 31 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .322.
• In all of the majors, Hayes is 232nd in home runs and 162nd in RBI.
• Hayes takes a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .250 with a double, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
• Daniel Vogelbach has driven in the most runs for the Pirates with 32 runs batted in.
• Vogelbach ranks 54th in homers and 125th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Jack Suwinski has nine doubles, 14 home runs and 22 walks while batting .201.
• Michael Chavis has nine doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 13 walks while hitting .233.